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offseason banter

This from Mark Shapiro:

"Trading Phillips was a mistake," Shapiro said. "We erred on the side of winning now at the expense of the future.

We had a lot of divided opinion, and I think we learned from that decision. We probably won't walk through that kind of decision the same way again."

So they DID have divided opinion.  Out of curiousity, I wonder who in the organization wanted to keep Phillips.

0 recs | Comment 57 comments

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Re: offseason banter
If I had to make a guess, I would say Wedge wanted him gone.

And just to keep beating that dead horse: what if they kept BP as the utility guy and sent Vazquez back to Buffalo? Would Jhonny have played better? Would Ronnie have played better? I think the former more than the latter.  But if JP was playing better, and even of Ronnie was not, BP could have stepped in and [stat heads help me out here] how many more games could was have won?

Ultimately, I think we would have still missed the playoffs, but, I think the offseason to do list would be shorter and more of the $$ could have been used to extend CC, Pronk, and even Westbrook.

by zigsmom on Oct 4, 2006 8:36 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Considering Phillips and Peralta ended the year tied in Win Shares, the idea that keeping him gives us more wins in 2006 is a pretty specious argument.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 10:44 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I think the comparison is between Vazquez and Phillips.  If (and that's a big IF) Phillips' presence would have kept Peralta more focused, all the better.

by SpringTrainingFun on Oct 4, 2006 11:11 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
That comparison is even more pointless -- and has been done to death.  Neither would have had enough plate appearances to make a dent in the season.  I will agree that a looming Brandon Phillips might have startled Jhonny to action a little sooner -- Lord knows the sight of Hector Luna at shortstop wasn't going to scare him.

But you have to remember the context.  Phillips was this uncoachable guy, Peralta was coming off an outstanding season -- Peralta had better numbers in the majors than Phillips had ever achieved at any level of the minors, in any year.  We're talking about orders of magnitude here.  Benching Peralta for Phillips would have been like benching Cliff Lee for Jason Stanford -- no manager would have done it for at least two months.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 11:21 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I did not ever advocate benching Peralta for Phillips.  But just the fact that he is on the roster and sitting on the bench ready might have kept Peralta's head more in the game.  It's a guess.

by SpringTrainingFun on Oct 4, 2006 12:16 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Again, I agree with you on that.  Vasquez was no threat to Peralta, but Phillips, blemishes and all, was still a young, toolsy guy who wanted to earn a full-time job.  I do think it could have helped -- and I do think, the way the season unfolded, Phillips would have ended up with some significant playing time this season, both at SS and mostly at 2B -- and probably ends up with the starting job for 2007.  I think anyone who denies that probably has his head in the sand.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 3:23 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
"Phillips was this uncoachable guy..."

According to who ?  Wedge.

The Reds Jerry Narron and his staff seemed to be able to coach him just fine.

I'll end this discussion as soon as you stop bringing up invalid arguments.

The move was indefensible, and I'd leave it at that.

by SpringTrainingFun on Oct 4, 2006 12:21 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Let me rephrase that for you:

"Phillips was this uncoachable guy..."
According to who? The Coach!

If the coach says a guy is uncoachable, I mean, don't you kind of have to take his word for it? He is the coach, after all.

by dctribefan on Oct 4, 2006 1:39 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Let me clarify.  I'm not saying that Phillips is, or was, definitively uncoachable.  I was just saying, that was the perception at the time:  Phillips, uncoachable, Peralta, fringe MVP candidate.

None of us can speak with any authority about Phillips' coachability.  However, we have a pretty good idea that there was strong consensus among Wedge, Marty Brown, Torey Lovullo, and the Indians coaching and development staff in general on the subject, and Chris Kline backed it up as well.

We also don't know what Jerry Narron's staff would say on the subject.  But you will note that Phillips' best stretch of the season was his first two weeks (1070 OPS), when they had just met him, and his worst stretch was the month of September (457 OPS, not a typo), when they'd been coaching him for five months.  So you can draw whatever conclusion from that you want.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 3:19 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I think you nailed it in your last line about the money, it would have saved us come cash this offseason to focus on bullpen and resigning Haf, CC, and Westbrook.

Phillips is no All-Star but he could have been a servicable second baseman for us next year and provide better defense than Inglett/Luna.

by hans on Oct 4, 2006 11:52 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Isn't the conventional wisdom that Shapiro wanted to keep Phillips but Wedge didn't?

I like that Shapiro recognizes and admits that he made a mistake.

by Jeffrey R on Oct 4, 2006 8:38 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
The amusing part is the belief that Ramon Vasquez could, in any way, help a team "win now". I know Shapiro pulled the trigger but if Wedge forced his hand I consider that an offense so egregious that he should be fired for it.  

by exileincincy on Oct 4, 2006 8:59 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Which one Shapiro or Wedge?
Fan in Texas

by fanintexas on Oct 4, 2006 10:23 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
You can't fire someone for the fact that his boss made a bad decision.  Wedge is one of a group of key advisors on personnel issues, not the main guy in charge of them.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 10:45 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Jay,

If Shapiro was so influenced by Wedge that he went against his own better judgment, then it shows several things; indecisiveness and inexperience being two of them.

Ultimately Shapiro is the guy who has to make the call, but one gets the sense that this organization is run by committee much more so than the committee making a recommendation and the GM taking it under consideration for his final call.

One more reason why you can't always be best buddies with your subordinate co-workers as there are times of disagreement where that separation and distinction is needed.

by SpringTrainingFun on Oct 4, 2006 11:17 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I can't argue with that.  People in an advisory or subordinate role have the luxury of advocating a certain point of view, and the responsibility for advocating the needs of their part of the organization.  Wedge may be interested in the long-term talent assets of the club, but it's not his job to manage it -- it's his job to manage the roster given to him.  Wedge is advocating for his part of the organization and his point of view -- that's his job.  It's Shapiro's job to weigh the counsel of all his advisors and make the call.

I don't know if Shapiro was indecisive, or if he felt it was best to accede to Wedge's preference on this issue -- or if in fact Wedge persuaded Shapiro that he was right about this, which is entirely possible.  But I am encouraged that Shapiro is willing to admit the mistake openly -- and to admit not just a specific mistake (underestimating the talent), but a flaw in the way the decision was made.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 11:27 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I think it is a mistake to think of the GM-Manager relationship as that of true boss-subordinate relationship.

In constructing a roster, the GM must give significant credence to the Manager's opinions in order for the roster to be successful.

In this case, Shapiro had two choices:

  1. Keep BP despite Wedge's concerns, knowing that Wedge does not like the player's attitude, consider BP valuable, and thus will be unlikely to make use of the player.  As a result, the player is without value to the team and the GM has created a rift with his manager over a utility player.

  2. Do what he did and try to get some value in return.

He certainly couldn't fire Wedge at that point.

As much as we like to think otherwise, there is a lot more that goes into being GM then selecting players

by dave on Oct 4, 2006 3:24 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Speaking of the GM/Manager relationship, there's a fascinating article in today's NY Times about Beane, Macha, and salary.

It's in the business section, and it uses the Beane/Macha negotiations to discuss CEO salaries.

by mkwng on Oct 4, 2006 3:40 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Absolutely superb article. Thanks for the heads up.

by oxforddave on Oct 5, 2006 12:40 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Shapiro IS saying that if he had it to do again he would not weight the concerns of Wedge and others as heavily and most likely keep Phillips on the roster.  That implies that Wedge would have to learn how to deal with Phillips.

After all, Wedge is a young manager and needs to learn to work with a wide variety of personalites to be successful, even with the Indians desire to eliminate trouble makers.

by palcal on Oct 4, 2006 3:44 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
The amount of ire this decision still generates is unbelievable.

Shapiro has admitted it was a mistake. Isn't that sort of the end of the line? Unless you really think he should be fired for making a mistake and then admitting to it, I don't see how there's much else to discuss. He's sorry. How can everyone not be happy?

by afh4 on Oct 4, 2006 3:36 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Shapiro emphasized "we" in talking about the decision, rather than I.  That is fine with me,
but it is a slightly different emphasis than saying he made a mistake.  It may imply that he is going to override consensus on occasion and Wedge and others are going to have to accept it.

by palcal on Oct 4, 2006 3:48 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
There is a difference between a decision being a mistake and a decision being indefensible.  There's also a difference between disagreeing with a decision and being dead certain that the decision-maker should be fired, on the spot.  People who can't see those differences don't have a problem with Eric Wedge or Mark Shapiro, they have a problem seeing the forest for the trees.

I personally tend to save the word "indefensible" for things not related to baseball.  If pressed, I could easily come up with a hundred "indefensible" baseball decisions, maybe even a thousand, before getting around to trading guys who have a 665 career OPS.

I've been kicking around my own personal definition of "controversial" lately.  All "controversial" subjects share this one trait: people are more concerned with their feelings on the subject than the facts.  I have never strayed from the facts on Brandon Phillips, but I've gotten attacked repeatedly on the subject nonetheless.  It's "controversial."  And it's tiresome.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 3:52 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Jay,

I too am tired of discussing this situation ad nauseam.  But I think what I and others in this forum were so turned off by was the process by which the Tribe came to their conclusion to dump Phillips and the timing in which it was done.

Several points.

  1.  Shapiro has the backing of most Tribe fans because he has been generally forthright and accurate in his talent assessments.

  2.  When Tribe fans find out that they dumped a player because the manager didn't care for him, and then that player goes to another team and does well, that kind of pisses Tribe fan off.

  3.  Waiting until the very last day before the season starts to trade Phillips when his value was as its absolute lowest shows poor planning on the part of the front office.  That shouldn't happen again as it shows there was still indecision in the Indians camp as to who they were going to take north.

  4.  I to am glad that Shapiro has come forth and admitted the mistake and has stated that the process by which they make these decisons will change to some degree.  

by SpringTrainingFun on Oct 4, 2006 5:55 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Well summarized, and I don't have a problem with any of it.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 11:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Sometimes, two people just don't get along with each other.  Wedge and Phillips didn't.  Narron and Phillips appear to get along fine.  That's life.

It's also possible that Phillips needed a kick in the pants (Holy Crap!  They dumped me for Ramon Vazquez?!?!?) to straighten himself out.

I'm convinced that Phillips wouldn't have played as well for Wedge as he did for the Reds.  My only complaint is that Wedge's public dislike for Phillips weakened Shapiro's negotiating position.

When Wedge's gig as a manager is up, he'll never make it selling used cars.

by CaptainEasy on Oct 4, 2006 4:02 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I think everybody is a little tired of rehashing the Philips thing. What's done, of course, is done. I'm just not sold on E. Wedge as a championship caliber manager for a number of reasons one of which is that maybe he can only manage players that he likes. For any professional manager in any kind of business, that's a major handicap. Clubhouse tranquility can't be allowed to become the "goal". We'll probably never know the details of Wedge-Shapiro personal dynamics. I'm just hoping that the Philips situation truly was a learning experience for the both of them,that Wedge proves me wrong and that this team, whatever its composition, doesn't chronically under-perform because of the guy at the helm.

by exileincincy on Oct 4, 2006 4:27 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Agreed on every point.  Wedge has not proven a damned thing as a contending manager.

by Jay on Oct 4, 2006 4:44 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I don't have a high regard for Wedge. I think he shoulders a lot of the blame for this disasterous season, but in all fairness, I was selected to manage a program at work seven years ago and I made lots of mistakes the first few years - and learned from them.  I know I'm a much better program manager now than I was a few years ago.  I can only assume it's the same for a young major league manager...

(fortunately my mistakes weren't disected publicly by hoards of disgruntled fans!)

by LeftyCatcher on Oct 4, 2006 6:11 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
All the more reason to hire a guy who's been fired a time or two, so you know he's made his learning mistakes somewhere else...

by Jackdaw on Oct 4, 2006 8:15 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Ahh, but there is a dangerous assumption in this line of thought... that all fired managers learn from their mistakes.  I think it's a lot more difficult to sort out the ones who are learning from mistakes from the ones who are destined to repeat the same mistakes with a different ballclub.
-Erik

by drerikbrady on Oct 5, 2006 9:09 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Dusty Baker is still doing all the same dumb things he was doing 20 years ago.  He also does some things well, but if he's learned anything, it's hard to detect.

by Jay on Oct 5, 2006 2:02 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
He also does some things well

Uh...are you sure about that?

by Kos on Oct 5, 2006 3:31 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I'm pretty sure his players play hard for him.  An awful lot of guys say that he's the best manager they've ever had.  That's worth something, it's just not worth everything, including an absolute ignorance of statistical reality.

by Jay on Oct 5, 2006 6:11 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
An awful lot of guys say that he's the best manager they've ever had.

It's a fine reason, and I'm not saying our guys don't think he's great, but other than Randy Moss, does anyone freely admit that their manager isn't the greatest one to ever coach the game in league history?

by Kos on Oct 5, 2006 7:02 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
The kind of praise heaped on Baker -- by both current and former players -- is on a different level.  I've read several players saying Baker was their best, apparently without fear of disrespecting their current manager.

by Jay on Oct 5, 2006 8:47 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I really wish we would hire Girardi.

by Jackdaw on Oct 4, 2006 8:15 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I'd prefer Jim Tressel. Now there is a guy that really turned a team famous for sloppy play and big chokes around. Finding the baseball equivalent is not easy.

by oxforddave on Oct 5, 2006 12:36 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
So, is 2007 a make or break year for Wedge? The only thing that appears to be settled on this team is CF, DH, C, and the starting rotation-that is unless some blockbuster deal gets done. So what can Shapiro's expectations be of Wedge next year? It's not as if we are expected to contend for the Central crown. If we end at .500 can that be considered a successful year? Can it keep Eric Wedge employed?

by BoDiaz1974 on Oct 5, 2006 6:48 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
No doubt this will kick off a firestorm ... but I don't think we're settled at catcher.  I think they would consider trading Victor for a boatload of booty.  In a tight market, and an absurd free agent market, you can't transform a roster without being willing to move a major piece, and he's the one you'd move.

by Jay on Oct 5, 2006 8:22 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
The booty would have to be a big starting pitcher with a favorable contract. I don't think it's a terrible idea as long as we did it before we shipped off Shoppach, but it would have to be quite an offer for us to pull the trigger.

by Kos on Oct 5, 2006 10:15 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
It could be a lot of things.  It could be a quality, young second baseman and a good setup man.

by Jay on Oct 5, 2006 10:28 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Two months ago, I would've said that was crazy talk.  I probably did say it, actually.

But now it looks a lot more reasonable.  I think Shoppach can catch 120 games and not kill us.  And surely Victor would bring some very valuable pieces.  

by mkwng on Oct 6, 2006 9:21 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I agree with the idea that they would consider trading Victor for a ton in return.  He is not quite as untouchable as he might have been in the past.

However, I would agree that we are "set" at Catcher.  That is, I don't see the team actively searching for a replacement C.  

For that matter, I don't see them going out to look to move Victor.  It strikes me that he would come up as part of trade negotiations beginning with someone else.

We're only not set at C if we move Victor.  And even then, I'm not sold that we would go out and upgrade.

by dave on Oct 6, 2006 2:18 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Any team that would fit that bill?
Hello Jay,

Interesting idea - any teams that would fit that bill?  Arizona? - Though they have Johnny Estrada as their catcher; I was thinking Callaspo or Hudson and a reliever like Valverde (his 22 BB/69 K ratio in 49.1 IP in 2006 was very good and his 50 H/49.1 IP was acceptable, though his 5.84 ERA was high.  He did have lower ERAs, WHIP, and BAA in 2004 and 2005, however, with a comparable 20 BB/75 K ratio in 66.1 IP in 2005 and a lower 51 H/66.1 IP rate as well.)

If you did trade Victor though, wouldn't that make it more imperative that the Indians resign Hafner to a new contract (and preferably CC also, since we could lose some offensive punch without Victor's bat in the lineup, making it more imperative we have dominant starting pitching that can go 7-9 IP giving up 2-3 runs at most?)  Just wondering.

 

Go Tribe! :-)

by indiansfan on Oct 6, 2006 1:05 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: Any team that would fit that bill?
There are contenders who don't have a great-hitting catcher, or a scary monster DH, or a starter like C.C.  The last being the most rare.

It's not about individual players.  It's about the total value of the roster.  It's about the sum of the parts as well as the ways in which the parts interact, protect and augment or expose one another.

Trading Victor has everything to do with 2007.  Extending Hafner and/or C.C. has nothing to do with 2007.  I would say the two are almost completely isolated decisions.

by Jay on Oct 6, 2006 1:19 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
You probably won't believe me, but I was thinking about dealing VMart as well. Talk about upside to fetch us a return...And if you are going to make a big deal with the current roster, who else would it be? If we are talking about contending in 2007, then you have to give a lot to get a lot. So, Jay, can you give me some names-V-Mart for__ that would possibly give us a chance to contend next year? Also, what does this do to the clubhouse? You here guys saying how V is the leader. Or is it really Grady, CC and Pronk?

Personally, Valverde doesn't do it for me, I've been watching him for years now and he's all over the place-emotionally and with the baseball. Callaspo is unproven at MLB level.

by BoDiaz1974 on Oct 6, 2006 2:59 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
So, Jay, can you give me some names-V-Mart for__ that would possibly give us a chance to contend next year?

My list is pretty short: Chase Utley.

by Ryan on Oct 6, 2006 8:50 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
I bet I could name ten guys you'd swap for, straight-up for Victor.

I'll start with Miguel Cabrera.

by Jay on Oct 6, 2006 3:09 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
sure, but why deal Victor for a third baseman?

My criteria is:

(1) Plays a position where a major need exists
(2) Is as valuable as Martinez
(3) Is as affordable as Martinez

There aren't many players who meet those points. There are few, if any, closers who are as valuable as Martinez...that leaves second base.

by Ryan on Oct 6, 2006 3:18 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
It would make more sense to trade Hafner than it would be to trade Victor, Hafner value has to be at it highest and he can only DH.
Fan in Texas

by fanintexas on Oct 8, 2006 12:39 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: offseason banter
Hafner may sustain his value another year.  I think there is a significant risk -- not a likelihood, but a risk -- that Victor's value will take a dive at some point in the next two seasons.  If he cements his growing reputation (deserved or not) as a barely-tolerable defensive catcher, or if it gets worse, or if he has an off-year at the plate ... or both ... he goes from highly desirable to afterthought.

Neither an offensive or defensive nosedive by Victor are unthinkable.  The Pronk forgetting how to hit ... that's harder to imagine.  He might have one of those "Manny Off-Years" with only a 940 OPS.

Hafner's value will also diminish more quickly because his contract ends in two years, Victor's in four years.  In another season, Hafner's value has diminished to a one-year rental, while Victor will still have three years under control, only two guaranteed.  Ideal for a catcher.

by Jay on Oct 8, 2006 3:52 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

If Cabrera was acquired, do you add Marte or Kouz
to the deal?

Hello Jay,

If you could acquire Cabrera, would you think about trading either Marte or Kouz to sweeten the deal, maybe for Dontrelle Willis, Hanley Ramirez, or Dan Uggla?  Or possibly some of their young pitching talent?  I don't know many of their bullpen arms off the top of my head, but even starters like Anibal Sanchez, Scott Olsen, Josh Johnson, etc.?  Just curious.  I presume Cabrera is under contract for a few more years (or is he?)  If he's not, then trading either Marte or Kouz along with Victor wouldn't make as much sense.  

Go Tribe! :-)

by indiansfan on Oct 7, 2006 1:14 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: If Cabrera was acquired, do you add Marte or K
We are not in any way even going to consider trading Victor for Cabrera.  I was just pointing out, there are certainly several players that you would trade for him, straight up.

And this is not such a brilliant point.  All it really means is that there are a handful of players who are even more valuable than Victor, and who have comparable contracts.  In other words, young stars.

by Jay on Oct 7, 2006 4:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Thanks for the clarification!
Hello Jay,

Thinking about it more, it would probably be unrealistic for the Indians to do that, being that they just acquired Marte and believe in him enough to trade Crisp, Bard, and Riske for him (as well as Shoppach and Mota,) so to replace Marte with Cabrera is highly unlikely.

Go Tribe! :-)

by indiansfan on Oct 8, 2006 12:55 AM EDT   0 recs

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