FanPost

Team choke?

My thesis here is that Wedge's style makes his players likely to press and choke in key situations/games. Consider how the indians and white sox have outperformed their respective runs scored/runs against ratio since 2002. The data are in actual wins above expected wins determined from the run ratio.

Year  Tribe  white sox
2002  2.7    -5.6
2003  -3.8   -2.8
2004  -1.1   -1.2
2005  -3.4   7.6
2006  -3.4   2.1

Guillen took over in 2004, Wedge in 2003. Since then the tribe has consistently underperformed and the white sox have consistently overperformed (after underperformance under Jerry Manuel). This is through good pitching and bad, good offenses and bad. This does not even take into account the team runs underperforming their base stats (for the tribe at least, the white sox are the other way), another form of choking.

Is there something to this? Is it the managers, or a function of the experience of the players, or just plain luck? This cost the tribe a playoff spot last year, will it again this year? I'm concerned.
 

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Let's Go Tribe

You must be a member of Let's Go Tribe to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Let's Go Tribe. You should read them.

Join Let's Go Tribe

You must be a member of Let's Go Tribe to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Let's Go Tribe. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker