FanPost

BP's Postseason Odd's Reports

Oh, how important it is to remember how good it is to not be the Royals.  The Royals clock in with a .06% chance of making the playoffs and when they adjust for Pecota it drops to a 0%.

Here are the AL Central projections from Baseball Prospectus's Odds report which plays the season a million times.

Playing the rest of the season a million times:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_odds.php

Playing the rest of the season a million times with some help from Pecota:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_oddspec.php

Average wins by position in AL Central:  99.3 91.8 84.5 73.3 57.8
AL Central        W    L    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs
Tigers            35   18   .552   95.8   66.2   55.01185   15.24513   70.25699
White Sox         33   19   .544   93.0   69.0   35.73172   18.23417   53.96589
Indians           26   26   .541   86.0   76.0    8.92673    9.27632   18.20306
Twins             24   28   .448   73.7   88.3     .32945     .43446     .76391
Royals            13   38   .409   58.2  103.8     .00025     .00035     .00060

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