Marte's Role In '08
Entering the holidays and hot stove doldrums, I figured this deserved a diary thread, seeing as how its likely the roster will not undergo much upheaval going into spring training.
Assuming the roster stays pat, to me one of the biggest questions for next year is what role Andy Marte plays. He was our starting 3B at the beginning of last year, and even though his avg sucked, he handled himself pretty well at the hot corner throughout the cold weather and his ISO was decent. If he hadn't pulled a hammy, he probably would have made it into the warm weather as our 3B and gotten the sustained ML at bats most have figured he needs to give some indication of what kind of player he'll be.
A year later and much is the same - nobody knows. With the crucial distinction that he's out of options. Assuming health and a decent spring training, is he our starter at third once again? A backup at third and first? DFA? Minor part of a trade package? A very unusual range of options for someone who was an uber-prospect 2 years ago, and caused ShapCo to go through a very extended and public trade negotiation to acquire him as the third baseman of the future.
I'm of the opinion that he more than others needs consistent playing time to show anything, but given last season and the pressure to win in '08, it's hard to see him handed the starting job. Which means he's in a tough spot. And there are only 25.
Any thoughts?
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Re: Marte's Role In '08
The ideal, of course, is to have Marte take off and produce like we thought he would when we acquired him. That would allow us to maximize Blake's value as someone with a bunch of versatility as a OF, 1B, 3B guy. The question is, what does Marte have to do to get the job. Our recent report of his (lack of) progress in winter ball does not excite anyone. What if he hits .135 with 4 Ks in every 10 ABs in spring training? Further, what if he is given the job, but has those type of terrible numbers through April? May? June?
While Blake has a lot of versatility, Marte does not. Blake can log some ABs at a position of weakness in my opinion (OF) as well as 3rd. However, Marte could only play 3rd and maybe 1st, but that doesn't seem to help much since we already have Garko, Victor, and Hafner splitting time there.
With a 25 man roster, you can't afford to waste a roster spot on a guy that can basically play 1 position and doesn't hit. Especially with the value that the Indians put on versatility and flexibility. Now, you could argue that if Michaels is essentially our 4th OF, and Carroll can back up every other position, we have a spot to waste on either Marte or Barfield. If that is the decision, its Marte, because Barfield can be sent to Buffalo. But, it really seems like Marte is holding on to that last roster spot and once we need it for an extra pitcher, depth, etc., he would be the first to go unless he starts to hit.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by rustyparts on Dec 20, 2007 8:58 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by E5 on Dec 20, 2007 9:05 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
this, from wedge's press conference at the end of the season:
for discussion, see here
his trade value is at a low presently, but i think shapiro should try to get what he can now, because it's only going to get worse after half a season of inconsistent ABs when we find ourselves facing a roster crunch.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
FYI - Andy's been playing some 1B in winterball, and by all accounts looks trimmer and has been playing excellent defense on either corner. I took it as the only reason he spends any time down there at 1B is because of FO dictates, prepping him for a backup role.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Casey Blake is our third baseman.
He did earn that role last season.
Doesn't mean he will be our third baseman on Opening Day. There could be a trade, an injury, an observable difference in Spring Training that can't be ignored.
I take the quote to mean that they respect that he earned the job, up to this point, but mostly that they aren't the kind of organization that's going to tell an established starter that he has to re-apply for his own job.
But a lot of things can happen. Blake is marginal, they know that. And now that Marte is out of options, well, it shouldn't take a rocket scientist to know which player you put your chips on: the one who just turned 24, or the one who just turned 34.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
All this said, I can't say I blame Wedge. Wedge's responsibility is to get the team to the playoffs, and he doesn't think that Marte gives them the best chance. In all likelihood, Marte gets traded, but not at the end of spring training like Phillips. Since I don't know who you leave off the team to keep a non-starting, non-defensive replacement, non-pinch hitter player, he will probably be traded soon.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
As for who "gives them the best chance," where are all your posts running down Gutierrez as you do for Marte? Gutierrez's Triple-A stats, while better recently (when he was oler), do not overall match up with Marte's, and Garko's are hardly any better.
If you're just sour on the guy, that's one thing. But a year ago the Tribe thought they were best off with Marte at 3B, and I don't know what has happened to change that. Marte and Blake are both a year older, but that's a good thing for Marte and a bad thing for Blake.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
As for Garko and Gutz. Garko had sub-par AAA stats, but has produced in the majors. If Marte produces close to Garko, he gets the nod, but he hasn't done so.
Gutz has been on and off with the bat, but brings speed and defense. I'm not sold on Gutz, but even if he really starts to struggle hitting, he still has value as a 4th outfielder. If Marte doesn't hit, he has no other value, and he has yet to hit. The only way to get this other value from Marte is to borrow it from Blake (make Blake a super-utility guy). I could understand why Wedge would be reluctant to do that.
Brandon Phillips (sorry, but the parallels are evident) could have come north with the big club, as he could provide value without starting with his defense. I doubt Phillips would have broken out with the tribe, so I do not mourn the loss. The only way Marte stays with the big club is if he starts. To do that he has to win the 3B job over Blake. That seems like an awful tall order right now. I guess an injury to Blake or Garko to give him an opportunity (ala Carmona). Maybe a small injury would not be the best thing.
You know I've always been suspect of Marte. But the above logic has nothing to do with my unbelief. Just the reality of the situation.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
We consistently fault Marte for things out of his control. The Garko situation is the clearest example; by all measures, heading into 2006, Marte was the better prospect. But, Marte never gets a chance in 2006, never gets a chance in 2007, and Garko lucks into consistent ABs, a hot streak of RISP hitting, and then puts together a great 2007.
You can't take anything away from Garko. He had his opportunity and seized it. Marte, on the other hand, has never had an opportunity to seize.
And, if we want to fault Marte for being less than great in AAA, well, Garko is just one of many examples of players who get frustrated and stall in AAA when they think they've earned their way out. We only start to hate the guys when the organization continues to hold the players there.
I don't know what to make of Marte anymore. I want to play him, I know that much.
I'm losing a grip on my identity as a prospect lover. I'm actually finding myself coming around on Jordan Brown and his back to back MVPs and feeling less than bullish on Marte.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Name Year Ag Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG
Garko 2006 25 CLE AL 50 185 28 54 12 0 7 45 0 0 14 37 .292 .359 .470
Marte 2006 22 CLE AL 50 164 20 37 15 1 5 23 0 0 13 38 .226 .287 .421
Marte has had many chances without success, and despite this and my personal doubts, even I would like to give Marte another chance because of his age. But can someone please explain how?
Would you like telling Blake or Garko, "Sorry you have hit better than this guy ever has, but he is younger, and hit real well in AAA 2 1/2 years ago, so you will need to play a spot role." How much leeway do you give Marte in the starting role? Would you trade Blake or Garko, giving you little back up if Marte is less than replacement level?
Again, how does this work? The same thing goes for (my boy) Cliff Lee. For Lee, you can give him the 5th starter and put Sowers and Laffey in AAA, and even being a supporter of Lee, I don't know if I'd do that. But you can't send Garko and Blake to AAA.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Garko's 2006 was absolutely blah but you know as well as I do that everybody was in love with all those RBIs.
My point was one we've been over lots of times; Garko has gotten lucky in his breaks, and he's taken advantage. Garko got lucky with all those RBIs in 2006, which raised his profile enough to make the team out of ST in 2007, and he got lucky when Marte got hurt. Marte hasn't gotten a single break.
Marte defeatists love to throw out terms like "many chances without success" but the bottom line is 278 major league ABs. He's had no chance at the MLB level and, frankly, I think that's all that matters for a player of his pedigree.
I'm tired of looking at his AAA stats, his ST stats, his winterball stats. They don't make any damn sense in relation to Marte or to each other. I just want to see him play; not until June, not as a platoon player for a whole season. I want him to be the Indians 3B until it's absolutely unsustainable.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
- Marte is three years younger
- They have the same BB-rate, K-rate and XBH%
- In 6 weeks of play, Garko had 17 more hits (with 21 more ABs). Since their XBH% numbers are identical, we're talking about Marte beating a couple of grounders for base hits each week.
- I would love telling Blake that
13 hitters
9 position starters (Martinez, Garko, Cabrera, Peralta, Marte, Dellucci, Sizemore, Gutierrez)
1 back up catcher (Shoppach)
1 utility middle infielder (Carrol)
1 utility 3B/1B (Blake)
1 utility OF (Michaels)
Who am I forgetting? Frosty the Snowman?
Re: Marte's Role In '08
How depressing is it that we can forget Travis?
Re: Marte's Role In '08
I find it weird to be on the Wedge side in a Wedge vs LGT debate, but that is where I am on this issue.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Casey Blake will be 34 entering the 2009 season. His OPS+, as a regular:
- 93
- 122
- 99
- 114
- 101
His value is in his versatility. If he signs a cheap, 1 year deal with a club option after 08, sure, why not. He posted a .697 OPS after the break in 2007. Using 07 as a reason to keep him is absolutely stupid.
by Gradyforpresident on Dec 18, 2007 3:38 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Look, there's a case to be made for stability and known quantities. But at some point, as a small market team, you have to be willing to deal with a 'trial by fire' for at least one position on a yearly basis. Not everyone is going to pull a Ryan Braun or an Albert Pujols in their first stint.
Who did these hitters become?
- 22 year old Dodger's first baseman hit .215/.272/.306 through his first 150 ABs
- 21 year old Cleveland third baseman hit .227/.282/.327 through his first 215 ABs
- 21 year old Milwaukee shortstop hit .243/.300/.371 through his first 450 ABs
Look, there are going to be many more guys who have stat lines similar to the ones above, but didn't turn into anything. My point is that through 270 odd ABs its hard to know what kind of player someone is going to turn into. Marte's track record suggests that he deserves a chance.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
I'm fine with flipping Michaels. I'm also fine with flipping Francisco or with sending him back down (though I don't know his options status).
I don't think it's all that complicated.
4 IFs, 2 C's, 5 SP's, Grady, Gutz, 3 LF's, Travis, 8 man BP.
You just have to ditch a LFielder, right? I'm fine with that, especially with Choo hanging around.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
284 PA, .264/.313/.384, 4 HR, 17BB:52K (.312 BA/bip)
That's Casey Blake's post-break 2007 line, and it's actually fairly in step with Casey's second half fall-off every year. Moreover, Casey's 2007 roughly equaled his 2006 in counting stats . . . but of course, it took him an extra 190 ABs to reach those numbers.
Casey saved our collective heine by holding the fort at third last season, and he deserves our gratitude. That doesn't make him any kind of answer for the Indians at third.
by fleerdon on Dec 18, 2007 1:20 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
At age 21, in 2004, Marte proved everything he needed to prove at the minor league level. He 'graduated' every level without showing any decline in performance as he moved up. I've seen players get progressively worse as they moved up through the minors and eventually stink it up in the minors. I've seen players repeat levels, post improved numbers on repeat stints and then proceed to suck at the ML level. I've NEVER seen anyone consistently improve at at each stop through the minors, without having to repeat a level, and then all of sudden disappear at the ML-level when given a fair chance.
The Indians are sooooo tragically risk averse that they manage to completely screw up at least one young prospect a year. Brandon Phillps was ready after 2005 by posting a .303/.363/.430 line with a good K/BB ratio in AAA. Ryan Garko was ready after 2005 by posting a .303/.384/.498 line in AAA. Andy Marte (at age 21) was ready after 2005 by posting a .269/.354/.525 line in AAA with great K/BB numbers. Jeremy Guthrie finally puts up good numbers in AAA in 2006 and only gets 19 innings in his ML call up that year! The 2006 season was toast! Why didn't they give Guthrie a few starts?
Re: Marte's Role In '08
For one, his numbers in Buffalo were ok, but not really eye-popping in terms of peripherals.
More importantly, Guthrie was up in April and May, when it mattered, and was absolutely horrid. While I can't find his AAA game log, my recollection is that he spent a while trying to figure it out in AAA, put up his "meh" numbers, got to come back and make a couple of more appearances and continue to suck.
There was no clamor to play Guthrie in 2006 and there shouldn't have been. He wasn't ruined or blocked or anything by anyone in Clevelad; he was fixed by somebody in Baltimore.
On top of that, it was his stupid contract.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Buffalo, 2006:
WHIP - 1.23
H/9 - 7.59
BB/9 - 3.50 (ok, this sucks)
K/9 - 6.42
Jeremy Guthrie was groomed to be a starting pitcher. How many starts did he make for the Cleveland Indians? One. As I recall, Fausto Carmona also had issues with pitching in a relief role.
Honestly, I agree its a little much to fault the Tribe here. They have amazing starting pitching depth in the system and Guthrie was 27 years old in 2006. At some point the Indians had to just let him go. Plus, he was a Boras client, so I'm not exactly disappointed. I just wish they'd given him 4-5 starts in 2006 when there was really nothing to play for.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
And they found one for Guthrie and Slocum two. So what? Neither guy had earned them, at all. Guthrie sucked in Cleveland and was whatever in Buffalo. Sowers and Carmona both deserved the looks and got them.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
I was pretty surprised, though, when they didn't give him a few late August/Sept starts to better make the '07 decision. When they didn't, there was pretty much no way he was going to make last year's club.
I've always (still do) feel that Shap's Achilles heel, and the unstructured part of The Plan, is having a real system in place for integrating the talent he's so good at acquiring into the ML club. A majority of the moves promoting from depth in the last two years have been forced - injury or bad performance necessitating a call up. Perhaps that's what he feels is the true function of depth, but it tends towards sink or swim scenarios, and we've been really lucky that many of them have panned out. Marte is in that situation now - the safe bet is stay with Casey and have Marte be a sub, but you'd think the smart money has to be on Marte getting a solid few months as a starter.
Hypothetical: say Marte has one option left. What are the odds he's looking at a 4th year in AAA?
Re: Marte's Role In '08
If Marte looks ok in ST, I kind of like the idea floated here of trading Michaels and letting Casey get some starts in the OF as well. Just judging from his '06 season, he's already a better OF than Michaels anyway. Blake can exemplify once again his team first attitude and still keep a significant role.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by fleerdon on Dec 18, 2007 10:23 AM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
- Make him a catcher.
- Teach him better situational hitting.
- Give him Skinner's job -- we KNOW Marte can wave his arms at nothing.
- Can he switch hit?
- Get CoCo back.
- Trade him to the Reds, where he'll blossom, in exchange for a reliever with two first names who'll be awesome in 2011.
- Screw it: Jason Michaels for Tribe 3B '08.
by fleerdon on Dec 17, 2007 11:38 PM EST reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by fleerdon on Dec 17, 2007 11:41 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j0ns8t9iQck
Should be a reggaeton version of this on the PA every time Marte came up to bat.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by fleerdon on Dec 18, 2007 10:29 AM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by rustyparts on Dec 21, 2007 6:23 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
- Has Marte shown the commitment to training necessary to grinding out a season on a championship caliber team?
- Is his glove ready for prime time?
I have hunch that Andy Marte will be our Andruw Jones. Spectacular defense, low BA, modest plate discipline and good power. Give him a freakin' chance.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
That said, I'm all about starting him at 3B on opening day.
by tribemountain on Dec 18, 2007 9:24 AM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Andruw was a freak.
Marte has a similar game I think, but his developmental arc isn't anywhere close to Andruw's.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
"I'd like to see the Indians flip Michaels for a reliever (probably from the NL) allowing them to open the season with a platoon of Blake/Marte/Dellucci at 3B/LF (Blake at 3B, Dellucci in LF against RHP, Marte at 3B, Blake in LF against LHP). That arrangement, I think, would allow Andy Marte to ease into the MLB against mainly LHP, whom he has consistently hit throughout his career. If, and when, Marte is ready to take the reins at 3B, Blake moves to his super-utility role and out of the everyday lineup."
Whether they actually will do this is an entirely different question. But I think it would be a mistake to have Michaels stand in the way of Marte's future with Cleveland. If Marte can't even handle it then, we can still plug Blake into 3rd full time, let BenFran replace Michaels and release Marte.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
The more probable scenario, though, would be Blake starting out as the third baseman, and Marte playing his way into the full-team third baseman, moving Blake to the outfield if Dellucci struggles. It worked out with Blake/Garko last year, hopefully it will work the same way this season.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Give Marte the 3B job from opening day - we'll only know what he can do with consistent ABs for at least half the season. Sign Bonds, and move the Platucci over to right. Gutz et al become trade fodder for a reliever.
pros: improved lineup depth to balance out a possible Marte bomb, value signing of Bonds
cons: not exactly the 3 CFs in the outfield we've grown to love
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Prediction #1 might happen, Predictions #2 and #3 wouldn't happen in a million years. The Indians are not going to sign Bonds, and they aren't going to choose Dellucci/Michaels over Gutierrez.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
My concern is that, without moving an outfielder, there is little room for Blake, Marte, Carrol, and four outfielders, potentially causing the FO to give up on Marte sooner than I'd like.
Maybe moving one of the Platucci makes more sense from a standpoint of retaining youth and contract control, but also garners less in a trade. Gutz could be more valuable to others as a CF.
by tribemountain on Dec 18, 2007 11:45 AM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by rustyparts on Dec 21, 2007 6:30 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
I would like to see them give him a shot. Blake is what he is -- a .270 hitter with a little pop (and poor numbers w/RISP over his career); he's an adequate third baseman with no range who makes Peralta's lack of range even more of a problem. I hope everyone remembers watching a certain Boston 3rd baseman cutting off balls to his left at least once a game. When's the last time you saw Blake do that?
I like the scenario involving trading Michaels and creating a 3-way platoon for 2 positions. That would make use of Blake, who is still a useful player, and give Marte a chance to earn Wedge's trust, something that's apparently hard to do (and hard to lose once you've earned it).
Re: Marte's Role In '08
When Marte went down at the end of April last season he was putting up a .179/.220/.333 line. Terrible. But look at what some other regulars were doing at that point. (roughly April 23)
Jhonny Peralta: .196/.303/.357
Casey Blake: .196/.288/.314
Josh Barfield: .132/.164/.226 (!)
Trot Nixon: .243/.317/.351
That meant we had 3-5 holes in the lineup everyday in April. A huge proportion of our offense those first few weeks came about solely because of Grady, Vic and Hafner. Marte, especially with the injury, was probably the easiest way to shake up the lineup and get some different options. If I were Marte, I'd be rooting hard for everyone (aside from probably Casey Blake) to get off to hot starts at the plate in April so that the FO and coaching staff feel less pressure to shake things up.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by rustyparts on Dec 21, 2007 6:37 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
I think you give Marte the nod 5 times per week at least through the end of June. If he doesn't pan out and we'll know it, but otherwise I fear another Phillips debacle. I have hope that he pans out well for us. Nothing to necessarily back that up, just irrational gut instinct. (Note: I had the same gut instinct last year with Garko, that Guthrie would eventually pan out, and that Phillips would be fine. Then again, the same gut instinct always said players like Schilling are overrated).
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by Turkmenbashi on Dec 18, 2007 12:07 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Just for fun, howsabout we make a little bet on Marte?
by Turkmenbashi on Dec 18, 2007 1:49 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Do you accept?
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by Gradyforpresident on Dec 18, 2007 3:39 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by Turkmenbashi on Dec 18, 2007 3:54 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by Turkmenbashi on Dec 18, 2007 4:52 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by fleerdon on Dec 18, 2007 7:48 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
I'm ashamed...
by Turkmenbashi on Dec 18, 2007 10:12 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Worst-case Marte bats for a low average, but still probably has a pretty good slugging percentage.
I would call Marte's upside significant. We know exactly what we are getting with Blake at best and given his age, it could be much worse. Play the kid
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
I see the rationale that the team could stick with one, but not two, of them in the lineup for an extended period of time.
Unfortunately for Marte, he got hurt and the decision was made...exacerbated by the fact that Blake ably stepped in.
by The DiaTriber on Dec 19, 2007 9:01 AM EST up reply actions
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Re: Marte's Role In '08
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Re: Marte's Role In '08
Injury insurance, yes. But longer than a couple weeks - we're in trouble.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
by rustyparts on Dec 21, 2007 6:42 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Does this make Jason Michaels completely redundant? Trading him allows Casey to get regular time in the OF, which is probably an upgrade, and also gives Ben Francisco a roster spot as the 5th OF.
Marte gets his shot, with Casey in reserve should he not pan out, Ben Fran providing depth for that move.
I like it. Not sure Wedge would go for it, but I like it.
Re: Marte's Role In '08
Re: Marte's Role In '08
For spare parts and a few dusty air fresheners.

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