Here's a quick breakdown of some W-L splits during Wedge's tenure....
1. Difference between Exp W-L and actual record
03 Predicted - 73 Wins, Actual - 68 Wins
04 Predicted - 81 Wins, Actual - 80 Wins
05 Predicted - 96 Wins, Actual - 93 Wins
06 Predicted - 89 Wins, Actual - 78 Wins
Total underperformance = 20 games
2. Record in 1-run games
03 15-25
04 26-20
05 22-36
06 18-26
Combined record in 1-run games = 81-107
3. Record in Extra Inning Games
03 7-11
04 11-13
05 6-8
06 5-3
Combined record in extra innings = 29-35
I don't doubt that plausible explanations can be posited in Eric's favor to explain the above records. Has anyone heard anything about the internal study the Indians commissioned after the '05 season to study the teams 36 1-run losses?