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Interesting article on BABIP from THT.

This caught my attention today, because of some recent discussion of BABIP and a pitchers control of BABIP on here a week or so ago. The author does a case study based off some new researh (new to me anyways) and is a good example of integration of new information into a previoius line of thought about "randomness" of BABIP. Specifically he looks at "well hit balls in play" vs. "other balls in play", and applies the findings that "well hit balls in play" result in 59% likelyhood of a hit and "other balls in play" result in 19% likelyhood of a hit to create this statement, "The pitcher controls his rate of well-hit in-park balls in the same manner as he controls strikeouts, walks, and home runs". Basically, he suggests that a pitcher may actually have more influence on BABIP than previously thought, and outlines this by comparing Barry Zito and Zack Greinke.

Check out the comments as well, the third guy down makes an interesting point about the author ignoring Zito's BABIP from previous years and how this may indicate that the author is giving too much credit to Zito having "skill" to control his BABIP...

Here's the link

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