Guthrie
Not sure if this has been discussed, but does anyone have any thoughts on Guthrie's success with Baltimore? Just wondering what (if any) adjustments he has made and whether Leo Mazzone can be credited with this. His last eight starts are as follows.
IP H R ER BB SO
6 6 1 1 0 2
8.1 3 1 0 2 2
7 4 1 1 0 10
7 7 3 3 2 3
7 3 2 2 1 3
8 3 2 1 0 4
8 6 2 2 1 6
7 4 1 1 2 5
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Re: Guthrie
I'm happy for Guthrie. There was no room at the inn in Cleveland and I'm glad he's found a new home where he can succeed. It was time for the organization and he to part ways and it's worked out well for everyone.
Re: Guthrie
Or something like that. But I'm happy for him as well - I've actually used the mlb.com archive video to watch a couple of his starts (takes about a 1/2 hour of fast forwarding) and he's looked great. Same stuff he had here, but under control. He's a horse.
Re: Guthrie
if guthrie came to this point in his career in 04 or even 05 the indians could have kept him and seen, but he didn't so they really couldn't (knowing what they knew at the time).
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Note I am not assigning blame. It was pretty clear what the rotation was going to be going into the spring, and there was no place for Guthrie.
Unlike Davis, I've always considered Guthrie a good pitcher waiting for it to come together. I was bummed we ran out of time with him. I think one of my first posts on this site over the winter advocated bundling Byrd for an OF and using the #5 slot for giving the younger pitchers a chance to prove themselves, beginning with Guthrie since it was his last shot. But I have a hunch he did need to be somewhere else to start having success.
Re: Guthrie
Money post.
Re: Guthrie
It always hurts to lose a pitcher who turns out to be really good but his success was, in my opinion, caused by the change of organizations and, especially, Mazzone. Things have worked out well for the Orioles because Guthrie is a bright spot in another sinkhole of a season. Things have worked out for the Indians because they're atop the division with talent locked up for years.
Just because a player is a win for another team doesn't mean that he has to be a substantial loss for the team that gave him away.
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Re: Guthrie
by Rayman @ Let's Go Tribe! on Jun 15, 2007 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions
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The talent evaluation guys have to be happy though.
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The glut of near-ML ready relievers says good things about the Indians pitching coaches.
Guthrie says bad things.
What are we supposed to believe? Neither. It's about observing the process of coaching and if it's line with the philosophy from on-high. Whenever fans start blaming hitting/pitching coaches I always try to figure what exactly they know those coaches are doing. Oftentimes, nobody knows what they're doing day to day. So I don't really see how we're in any position to judge them unless it's obvious that they're great (Mazzone) or terrible.
Re: Guthrie
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But that's how the cookie crumbles. I wish Guthrie well, especially against the Yankees and Red Sox. But here's hoping we torch him if we face him.
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Re: Guthrie
He gave up 1 ER in 16 1/3 innings against the Red Sox and Angels (the 2 contenders he has faced) but neither resulted in a decision.
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Re: Guthrie
by Fiddlesticks on Jun 16, 2007 12:12 AM EDT up reply actions
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Re: Guthrie
BP never proved himself at the ML level to deserve a shot at playing everyday. And when he went back to AAA, he wasn't hitting that well either. Now that may have been a personality conflict between him and Wedge/FO, and that should not happen. But he didn't produce, thus we had to let him go.
Guthrie also never produced like this for us. Every shot we gave him, he did not exhibit this control. Mainly with him, I think it was mental. Since he was signed to a ML deal right off the bat, he kept trying to pitch like that to "prove" himself. Now that he is with another organization, he does not have to live up to that expectation, and thus is more relaxed and performing pretty well.
While I agree the FO has not done an awesome job with some of out upper level prospects, they have been pretty good overall. The numbers speak for them (Vic, Grady, Jhonny, CC, Jake, Raffy, Garko).
Re: Guthrie
I don't cheer for those guys. Or wish them well in any way.
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But I am not sure how your comment relates to my previous comment in any way, shape, or form.
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I always cheer for former Indians that contributed, as long as they didn't screw the team on the way out. If they were a net negative and then become productive elsewhere, boo. Regardless of attitude. On a unrelated note, I'm probably still bitter about the Finals.
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That is your prerogative. But by limiting yourself to not drafting those players, you are putting yourself at an extreme disadvantage. May as well just donate your $$ to the pot and call it a season.
Do I go out of my way to draft Yankees or White Sox? Not usually, but I did draft Abreu this year. Not because he's a Yankee, but because he is normally a fantasy stud.
Re: Guthrie
i said "IF" i have them i basically don't care if they do bad if it's good for the indians.
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Marte has so much more promise than either of those guys did. The organization will not give up on him as easily because they know how foolish that would be.
Phillips and Guthrie's upsides are such that we will never completely kick ourselves for giving up on them. They're just good enough. Marte, contrastingly, has so much talent that giving up on him would be managerial blunder of epic proportions. Seeing him hit 40 HR's as a 3b while playing GG defense is going to bother me much more than seeing an slightly above average second basemen or an at best above average 4th starter.
Re: Guthrie
But we've been fighting this fight against a handful of people for a year now and it doesn't look like we're even going to get a pyrrhic victory.
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INT - PETE AND DEWEY'S - NIGHT.
It's Pete and Dewey's, all right, but there's something ... darker ... about it on this night. This rainy, unpredictable night.
ANGLE ON a gnarled hand POUNDING on a corner table. This dark, unpredictable corner table.
OLD MAN (o.s.)
You there!
ANGLE ON the OLD MAN, a sorry sight dressed like Parma Heights in April. But darker.
OLD MAN
Sit here, will ye? I've a cautionary tale for them that's wise enough to hear it.
He coughs; a hacking, unpredictable cough.
OLD MAN
I know what ye must be thinkin. Who's he that's sunk to the bottom of this barrel to tell me what ter do? But listen, while you're young! Are ye an Indians fan, boy?
(beat)
Well, I were an Indians prospect, once!
He hacks again, removes his cap, beats the dust from it until a faded Chief Wahoo appears.
OLD MAN
Aye, a prospect. Highly touted, I tell ye. Ranked by some as thought they knew the sport. Kinston! Akron! Buffalo! I were the best of 'em all. Be warned, lad!
He leans back, swings his leg onto the table ... and there is only a stump, and a Louisville Slugger for a peg.
OLD MAN
'Tis true! The front office and Eric Wedge mismanaged me transition to the major leagues! I were supposed to be brought up QUICKLY, I SWEAR to ye!
He hacks again, harder this time, and falls forward onto the table. He starts to gasp for breath.
OLD MAN
My time's come, lad! Before I pass, let me tell ye the secret of player development, known only to this old overdeveloped farmhand. 'Tis...
The Old Man freezes mid-sentence. His eyes glaze over, and he collapses to the floor with a shuriken-shaped Treo lodged the back of his neck.
ANGLE ON the Treo's screen. It reads: "Never speak of this again if you value your life. PS - Fireworks at the ballpark this Friday! Bring the whole family! - M.S."
FADE OUT.
by fleerdon on Jun 15, 2007 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Guthrie
yesyesyesyesyes
ghahahahaha
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Re: Guthrie
by E5 on Jun 15, 2007 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions
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by E5 on Jun 15, 2007 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions
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by E5 on Jun 15, 2007 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions
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specifically
Drafted in 2002, signed Oct 2002 (contract specified he be placed on 40 immediately with a call-up to 25 man roster before Aug 31 in 2004).
Year 1: 2003
Year 2: 2004 (option 1 used)
Year 3: 2005 (option 2 used)
Year 4: 2006 (option 3 used)
Even if we didn't call him up in 2005 or 2006, he had to stick to the ML roster in 2007 or be exposed to waivers. Each year he was called up the 25, he had to be optioned back down to the minors.
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But it did not specify anything about the 25-man roster, and options aren't about calling a guy up, they're about sending a guy down. Once a guy is on the 40-man, if you send him down to the minors, you've used up an option -- and this includes sending him down at the end of Spring Training.
Meaning: The Indians used up an option in each of the four years of his contract, 2003-2006, since Guthrie optioned to Akron or Buffalo at some point in each of the four years.
So you're wondering: Four options, what? Yes, in some cases, a team can get four option years on a player, specifically, if after using three options, the player still has not played five full seasons in the minors. Alex Escobar and Andy Brown also got fourth option years, because they missed full seasons with injuries.
Because of this rule, a team will get four option years on any draftee who is signed to a major league deal, i.e., put on the 40-man. But the stakes are higher now, because the new CBA mandates an August 15 signing deadline -- so you can't do the four-starting-next-year deal anymore.
Re: Guthrie
Drafted in 2002, signed Oct 2002 put on the 40 per contract requirements:
Year 1: 2003 (option 1 used in ST)
Year 2: 2004 (option 2 used in ST, called up in Aug)
Year 3: 2005 (option 3 used in ST, called up in Aug)
Year 4: 2006 (option 4 used in ST, called up in April, June, Aug, and Sept).
Since he didn't show anything in any of those ML callups or in his AAA numbers, why on earth would we have him burn a spot on our 25 this year E5? More than likely he would have eaten Jason davis' spot, but you would have railed the FO on that as well.
Re: Guthrie
In AAA he had 7.91 ERA in 4 starts, a 2.12 WHIP and a sparkling 0.55 K/BB ratio.
Why on earth did he get called up Aug 28 (and put up a pedestrian 4.63 ERA in 11.2 IP, 1.29 WHIP, 1.16 K/BB ratio) when he hadn't proven himself in AAA in 2004 (or 2003 for that matter: 6.52 ERA in 18 starts, 1.64 WHIP, 2.06 K/BB)? Because his contract said so.
We used up one option that year, one in 2005 (this one is debatable, he made 1 appearance for Cle), and one in 2006. His cumultive stats in MLB were a 6.08 ERA in 37 IP with a whopping 1.76 WHIP and a 1.04 K/BB ratio.
If we hadn't had to burn that first option in 2004, he would have been able to work in Buffalo this year, proving his craft for a shot at the rotation. As it was, his stats were not superior to Carmona, Slocum, or Stanford for that matter. We had to let him go.
Re: Guthrie
by E5 on Jun 15, 2007 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions
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Considering the start was made on August 13th, in the midst of a nearly historic charge to put Cleveland in the playoffs, you can hardly fault the FO for trying to get one good start out of him as part of a playoff push.
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It may well be that only Mazzone could have helped this guy. We don't know, and we're not gonna know. What we know is that Guthrie never once said anything about how he was handled except to be highly complimentary, even once he was cut loose. And his agent Scott Boras, generally willing to criticize if a client is being mistreated, also never said anything critical.
Where exactly did the Indians do the wrong thing with this guy? Be specific.
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But I think he was pretty much off their radar at that point - as long as they kept the rotation intact Guthrie really didn't have a spot.
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http://www.rotoauthority.com/2007/06/a_look_at_jerem.html#comments
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Re: Guthrie
No numbers he put up with us could justify keeping him on the 25 this year. Zero. Nada.

by notsince48 on 














