Scoreboard watching
As far as I am concerned, it is never to early to scoreboard watch. But sometimes I get confused on which teams to root for (or, more importantly, against). For instance, if the Yankees are playing the Twins, who do we want to win to improve the Tribe's chance of making the playoffs?
Luckily, the postseason odds at baseball prospectus
give us some insight. Using them, I have created this handy dandy list, that can be referred to as necessary. As we want the tribe to make the playoffs, this list is in descending order on who we wish to lose the most.
Tigers
Yankees
Twins
A's
Mariners
Angels
Red Sox
Blue Jays
For instance, the A's are about to play the Yankees. In this series, we want the A's to win as they are lower ranked than the Yankees. Note that the White Sox have been so bad, they are not even on the list anymore! (The Red Sox and Blue Jays are barely on the list, and probably can be ignored).
Finally, as the standings change, the list changes, and I will update it periodically.
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Comments
Re: Scoreboard watching
So, how does that help?
I'd rather go by the actual standings than odds, imho.
by emd2k3 on Jun 28, 2007 9:24 PM EDT 0 recs
Re: Scoreboard watching
For example, when the Tigers play the Yankees, both teams can't win that day, which helps our odds, so the question is, how many times will that actually happen? The standings don't tell you that; they "assume" that any team could run the table.
by Jay on
Jun 29, 2007 12:14 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
Otherwise, I'm in full agreement with your rankings.
by mauichuck on Jun 28, 2007 9:50 PM EDT 0 recs
Re: Scoreboard watching
I would love to root against the Yankees reflexively, without really worrying about them, knowing they are not really a threat. In fact I am starting to do that, just takes a little getting used to.
by plato on Jun 28, 2007 10:53 PM EDT 0 recs
Re: Scoreboard watching
The Mariners are leading the American League (and second overall only behind Arizona) in win deltas according to BP's adjusted standings. I'm imagining they might come back down to Earth.
/COMPUTER ALERT
by CarnegieAndOntario on
Jun 28, 2007 11:18 PM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by Jay on
Jun 29, 2007 12:12 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by APV on
Jun 29, 2007 1:30 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
While Walter's rants don't have the same effectiveness on Network TV, it was nicely timed with the day game.
by The DiaTriber on
Jun 29, 2007 10:13 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by APV on
Jun 29, 2007 10:32 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
Dave
by dgcambridge on
Jun 29, 2007 1:28 PM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by APV on
Jul 1, 2007 5:50 PM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by The DiaTriber on
Jun 29, 2007 4:50 PM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by mauichuck on
Jun 29, 2007 7:10 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
You don't think we were underperforming last year?
The only thing I could think of is the couple of games we have over Pythagoras.
by nickjs21 on
Jun 29, 2007 7:37 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
It's hard to evaluate a team's collective competitiveness by looking at the team as a collection of individuals. If I look at the rooster player by player I guess I'd put Hafner, Nixon, Marte, Sowers and Delucci as underperformers and Peralta, Marinez, CC, Casey, Byrd, Michaels, Shoppach and Betancourt as outperforming my expectations. Grady, Westbrook, Lee, Barfield, and Garko are performance neutral IMO.
The Pythagoras thing is useful when you look at how teams collectively performed. I think it's very limited when you look at a particular team in a particular year. Last year the Indians grossly underperformed their Pythagoras projection. I think that this is the result of their incredibly poor relief pitching and yes clutch hitting.
by mauichuck on
Jun 29, 2007 8:03 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by Fundamentals on
Jun 29, 2007 8:42 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
I guess the bottom line is this: I didn't expect last year's fourth place club to be up around first place half way through the season. A very pleasant suprise.
by mauichuck on
Jun 29, 2007 9:30 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by Jay on
Jun 29, 2007 8:49 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by oxforddave on
Jun 29, 2007 9:47 AM EDT
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Re: Scoreboard watching
by mauichuck on
Jun 29, 2007 9:50 AM EDT
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