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meet the met

bob nightengale of USA today says that Johan Santana is officially a New York Met. All still pending a deal for the Mets to sign Santana. The Twins are getting  Carlos Gomez and pitchers Phil Humber, Deolis Guerra and Kevin Mulvey.

link:
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/2008-01-29-twins-mets-santana_N.htm

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Re: meet the met
Who are CC and Fausto going to flat out own half a dozen times a year, now?

by Brick. on Jan 29, 2008 4:45 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I hope this goes through.  I have no qualms watching him leave the AL.

by Nat on Jan 29, 2008 4:48 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
He'll be lucky to win 15 with the Mets awesome bullpen.

by emd2k3 on Jan 29, 2008 4:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
He'll be unlucky to win less than 20 with the National League's awesome hitting.
You know Selig? Ombudsman.

by rolub on Jan 30, 2008 9:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Good news. My biggest fear was NY/Bos locking him up.

by Toxicadam on Jan 29, 2008 4:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
im not sure i like the idea of the yankees and red sox figuring out the value of major league minimum salary players any more than them paying huge for santana. and hughes, cabrera, kennedy or ellsbury/lester, lowrie, masterson in the AL isn't going to be much more enjoyable.

by 7foot3 on Jan 29, 2008 5:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I agree, this is great news, taking the best pitcher out of our division.  However, according to Sickels, the Twins got the #2, 3, 4 and 7 prospects in the Mets system.  Pair this with Delmon Young and their young pitching and in two years they will be our biggest competition it seems.  

On a side note, would you take this package, minus Humber or Mulvey, for Sabathia?

by NickFantana on Jan 29, 2008 5:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
No way, but our needs are pretty different from the Twins. Also, I feel like Gomez is pretty overhyped as a prospect. I realize he's young & all that, but he's never really put up any eye-popping numbers.

by zempf on Jan 29, 2008 5:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
This is unfair, but everytime I hear "outstanding Mets outfield prospect" two words enter my brain:

Alex Escobar

by APV on Jan 29, 2008 5:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I'll third the notion that I'm happy to see him out of the AL.

What does everyone think of their haul from this deal? I feel like Humber's stock has fallen a bit, but I know Gomez was pretty highly though of. I thought they were really trying to get Martinez thrown in too, weren't they?

by zempf on Jan 29, 2008 5:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
You have to squint and cross your fingers to see dependable major league starters in this package. Maybe there is something I'm missing, but I don't see a single potential all star in that group. Okay, it was several of their top prospects, but I don't think I'd take any of them over anybody above Laffey (5 or 6) in our system. I mean they didn't even give up a Weglarz, a Mills, or Hodges quality prospect - at least as far as ceiling goes.  

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/G/Carlos-Gomez-1.shtml
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/H/Philip-Humber.shtml
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/M/Kevin-Mulvey.shtml
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/G/Deolis-Guerra.shtml

The guy I like the most may be Mulvey, and that's largely because 4 HR in 151 IP is stellar stuff. Gomez hasn't shown much pop or a discerning eye, Humber looks good but doesn't have the ceiling, and Guerra is just a baby  (who also put up pedestrian numbers).  

I guess the only thing that makes sense is that the package Santana wants dictates that the other bidding teams' offers weren't as high as reported.  In other words, the cost of acquiring him is the contract as much as the players involved. Even that explanation is weak, though, I admit.

by Thommy on Jan 29, 2008 11:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Sorry for essentially repeating what you said, in far more words, below Tom. I hadn't read this comment closely.

by afh4 on Jan 30, 2008 1:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Guerra is supposedly the highest ceiling prospect in the bunch, part of it is his age and level, although the numbers don't show it, the scouting really likes  him.

Gomez looks pretty nice though if you take into consideration his speed and some projection of power. Mulvey could be a decent back end rotation starter and Humber at this point is only that good as well barring a return to pre-TJ Humber

by hans on Jan 30, 2008 10:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Santana out of the AL?  To borrow a line from Tommy Lee Jones in Batman Forever:

"Yes!  Yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes, oh happy day!"

by maledicta on Jan 29, 2008 5:05 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Ha ha, suck it Yankees/Red Sox!
Burn on, big river, burn on...

by Turkmenbashi on Jan 29, 2008 5:07 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
So with Santana and Silva gone, the Twins' starting five is looking like this:

Liriano (pending injury)
Boof Bonser
Scott Baker
Matt Garza
Phil Humber?

Yeah, I'll take ours.

by maledicta on Jan 29, 2008 5:14 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Right... and they didn't get any pitchers in that trade, either.  So Liriano, Bonser, Baker, Humber, and Kevin Slowey?

by maledicta on Jan 29, 2008 5:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
garza went to the rays in the delmon young deal

kevin slowey and glen perkins are rotation candidates

maybe they'll also look to ramon ortiz and sydney ponson again, if we are lucky.

by rick on Jan 29, 2008 5:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I don't expect Liriano to be pre-surgery Liriano, and yes Garza is now on the D-Rays

by Roger Dorn on Jan 29, 2008 5:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Do you guys feel like this deal was better than the Yankees deal? I'm not really familar with these NL players .. but on the surface it seems the Yankee deal was better.

So, would this mean that the Yankees actually did "leave the table", so to speak?

by Toxicadam on Jan 29, 2008 5:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
olney was saying as recently as today that the yanks package included hughes AND kennedy, which strikes me as totally ridiculous.  if that were the case, yanks definitely.  

by emil minty on Jan 29, 2008 5:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
some scouts don't think kennedy is anything special.

i think you have to give some deference to the twins when it comes to identifying talent.  

johan santana himself may turn out to be the best rule five pick ever, and that's a list that includes roberto clemente.

i think the twinkies know how to pick arms, for sure.  if there's any criticism, it's in their lack of offensive prospects.  

but give them some credit for mauer, morneau, cuddyer, and the likes of jacque jones and torii hunter. that's a lot more that some teams have produced in the last 10 years.

by rick on Jan 29, 2008 6:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
oh...

and some scouts still think ellsbury's value is at an all-time high right now, and that he's closer to the .740OPS player he was in 363 AAA ABs last season before having an unreal 116 ABs with the big club.

think coco crisp in his last two years in cleveland.

by rick on Jan 29, 2008 6:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I think the Twins got a poor grab bag for the best pitcher in baseball, even if he only has a year on his contract.
Sizemore-Shapiro 2008. The Official Red Bull of Let's Go Tribe Game Threads.

by Gradyforpresident on Jan 29, 2008 6:00 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Great news if Santana has left the AL.  Small bad news is that we can't lure anyone in the AL into a bidding war for Sabathia, but (a) that probably wouldn't have happened anyway, and (b) there's always the Phillies.

by Jay on Jan 29, 2008 6:48 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I 14th the gladness of Santana leaving the AL.  Or more accuretly, not becoming a yanker or sux.
I would have taken the yankers offer too, but I am glad they didn't.
It looks like the twins are going to be where we were in 03-04, but they have a considerable head start with Liriano, Mauer, Nathan, et al.  As of now they may be average, but in a few years they should be fearsome.
With the big two getting hip to keeping their young players, it may lead to a leveling off of salary escalation, which can only help us.

by pdx on Jan 29, 2008 6:49 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Hello pdx and all, first time poster here.  It makes me nervous that the Yankees and Sox may be getting smarter by valuing their good prospects and realizing that good cheap prospects are gold.  It doesn't mean they will spend any less on free agents.  It just means they may keep Hughes, Joba, Lester, Bucholtz and others and still be able to throw buckets of cash at CC.
Where have you gone Joe Charboneau

by Nof on Jan 29, 2008 9:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I know, I know.  Good cheap prospects are worth very little.  Good cheap major leaguers are a different animal.  From now on, I'll try to let others critisize what I write.
Where have you gone Joe Charboneau

by Nof on Jan 29, 2008 10:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Welcome NoF, I am quite new myself.  I think that with the big two not throwing a mint at every shiny thing that rolls down the street, it could only help to depress salaries somewhat.  I am not suggesting that we will get CC or any other comparable player on the cheap, only the with the yanksox's restraint, the salaries might go up 8% a year rather than 10%+.  If so, that can only help when it comes time to sign our guys before they reach free agency.  Because, lets face it, the only free agents worth targeting are ususally out of our budget from the jump.

by pdx on Jan 29, 2008 11:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
On the other hand if high-budget teams start locking up their young players (like the Yankees just did with Cano), it will also decrease the number of free agents that actually hit the market, with those free agents getting higher contracts.  I'm no economist, but if supply goes down, won't the price go up??

And in the end, a team with a bigger budget will be more able to take a risk on a free agent.  I see the biggest difference between the small market teams (ie Indians) and the big market teams (ie Red Sox/Yankees) exemplified by the JD Drew signing.  If we had that contract, we wouldn't be able to do anything.  On the other hand, the Red Sox were looking at acquiring Santana and giving him a $150M contract despite the fact that they already  had $30.5M locked up in pitching for 2007.

by Nat on Jan 30, 2008 7:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
How much of an impact will Santana's pending extension have on CC's negotiations?

by Roger Dorn on Jan 29, 2008 7:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
It would definitely give some guidance to both sides, or at least provide the ceiling for a Sabathia contract.

Between that and Santana leaving the AL Central, I like the trade from an Indians fan's perspective.

by Ryan on Jan 29, 2008 9:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
You have to trade Nathan now.  There's no reason not to, is there?

by nickjs21 on Jan 29, 2008 7:29 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Not that it's a need but what do you think we would have to give up?

by NickFantana on Jan 29, 2008 9:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I really don't know.  Wagner's trade is the only similar move I can think of off the top of my head.  Gutz and Slocum.  More if you don't think Gutz has a high ceiling.  I don't know.  

by nickjs21 on Jan 29, 2008 10:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
One of the Nicks: "Nathan for sale"

The other one of the Nicks: "How much?"

Such was life that fateful day at LGT. The day Santana left America's League.

by Brick. on Jan 29, 2008 10:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Sometimes you are strange.

by nickjs21 on Jan 30, 2008 7:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Is there something I'm missing about the changing leagues thing. The Indians are not at any more of an advantage or disadvantage playing against him than the other teams in the division. We just don't get to watch one of the great pitchers of our generation face off against one of our greats.

Every AL Central Division team plays every other Central Division team, what, 16 games/year or so. They all will face any pitcher about the same number of times. Teams from other divisions in the AL have a slight advantage for the wild card because they only face Central Division teams 6 times/year and so are likely to face Santana two fewer times than the Indians will.

All of which is to say, a player switching leagues is incredibly unlikely to make a damn bit of difference within the division.

by madherb on Jan 29, 2008 7:32 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I don't think the argument is about being better off within the division, it's about making the playoffs which you compete against every team in the AL for. It's pretty simple, face the best pitchers fewer times and you will probably win more games as a result. More wins = playoffs

by Roger Dorn on Jan 29, 2008 7:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Among the teams competing with us, either one of them has Santana, or none.  We're better off if it's none.  That's all.

by Jay on Jan 29, 2008 7:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
not at all sad santana left our league---but it kind of dwindles the teams we can trade sabathia to---lets be honest, if he doesnt sign before spring training the odds of his ever signing are pretty much nil---time to go, we can work around his loss--it begins to grate on fans when stars come through our system, that we have nurtured, only to lose them for nothing. it has happened too many times with this franchise. does anyone really want the guy to become a FA and sign with the red sox or yankees?  let him stay and thats what happens.  surely the dodgers or rockies or padres can put together a package---we can win without CC--trade him when his value is highest.  just ny opinion, i've been known to be wrong before maybe once.

by rustyparts on Jan 29, 2008 7:51 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
In fairness to the franchise, we haven't lost a player like that since Thome left in 2002 -- we lost Vizquel because we didn't really want him anymore -- and the franchise was better off for not keeping Thome anyway.  Prior to Thome, we're talking about losing Manny after 2000.

by Jay on Jan 29, 2008 7:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
so now if he signs a ridiculous extension with the mets, that could really hurt in the indians-cc extension talks...

by Brick. on Jan 29, 2008 7:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I don't think so.  I think there is broad understanding of what Santana (or Sabathia) can get on the open market, and I doubt any deal with the Mets will redefine that radically.  The Mets are pretty stupid, but the market almost always gets set by a stupid team.

by Jay on Jan 29, 2008 7:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
i doubt extension talks with sabathia will go on much after spring training opens, it rarely does.  im sorry, i just dont see the guy signing for less than santana and teams like the yankees throw around money like its candy and its all about money, lets not kid ourselves.  loyalty and/or home team discounts no longer exist in this day.  i'm not mad at sabathia, i just think its time to rid ourselves of him and get something back--it is difficult to blow up the salary structure of an entire team for one individual--especially not an everyday player---not saying he cant hit better than trot nixon---lol.

by rustyparts on Jan 29, 2008 8:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Jake Westbrook and Travis Hafner disagree with your statement that talks usually stop after spring training.

by Ryan Kelsey on Jan 29, 2008 11:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
And about the whole hometown-discount thing.

by Voltaire on Jan 29, 2008 11:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Okay, that's two almost-off-topic nervous-tick mini-rants about re-signing C.C. within the span of a few minutes.  Take a deep breath and move on.

by Jay on Jan 29, 2008 11:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Good news, our division is no longer the strongest by far...  Bad News, what if most if these prospects blossom in the next few years...  Doubt it.  I think at least a couple of these guys pull a Munson.
Natasha! Must get Moose and Squirrel for Fearless Leader! Sign big contract to hit ball!

by crackaddictwhit on Jan 29, 2008 10:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I was thinking about this, too.  Fact is, the Twins only got position players from the Mets, and the Twins have a pretty bad track record for evaluating and developing hitters.  So that's another good thing about it for us.

by Jay on Jan 29, 2008 11:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
this is either over-elaborate sarcasm, or i'm confused.

by emil minty on Jan 30, 2008 12:27 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
  1. The Twins are bad at evaluating hitting talent.

  2. Therefore, the Twins generally would do worse in a trade where all the players coming back were hitters.

  3. The Twins are bad at developing hitters.

  4. Therefore, the Twins generally will get a poorer result out of the hitters they acquired than another team might have.

by Jay on Jan 30, 2008 9:19 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I'm with Emil.  The Twins got three starting pitchers and one position player.  What you're saying makes no sense.

by NickFantana on Jan 30, 2008 9:33 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Don't know what I was thinking when I posted that ... you're right, it makes no sense at all.  I must have been momentarily confusing it with one of the other deals.

by Jay on Jan 31, 2008 2:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
OK, now you're like 1456 out of 1457 with your Posting Average.  But, as we can see in the Julio diary, you broke out of the slump rather quickly.

Brick, on the other hand, with spelling errors and all, is posting about .381

by NickFantana on Jan 31, 2008 2:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
yeah, i've found that if i'm either at work, or drinking, or both - that i make a lot of mistakes.

by Brick. on Jan 31, 2008 2:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I've found that not mixing work and alcohol usually is my biggest mistake.  Every day, I flirt with sneaking in a little bottle of something and I never do it.

It's sort of a Catch 22 because if I was drinking I would be more brave, more likely to sneak in a drink but I can't start drinking without sneaking in the drink.  See what I'm saying?

by NickFantana on Jan 31, 2008 3:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
See if Ryan woulda started that Wire thread we could smoothly segued into discussing how McNulty's drinking had inspired him to invent the fake murder scheme.  But noooooooo... we hafta hijack a thread about Johan Santana and the Mets in order to discuss this plot twist.  

Man, I'm ready for the Wire to end and the baseball season to start.

"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Jan 31, 2008 3:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I want to talk about how it's obvious that McNulty is going to conspire with the dissatisfied Sun reported to take his fake serial killer to the next level.

by NickFantana on Jan 31, 2008 4:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
*reporter

Also, what happened to Bubbles in the past two episodes?  They had this whole thing going with him getting over Sherod's death and then he disappears.  I'm worried for him.

by NickFantana on Jan 31, 2008 4:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Hey could somebody explain "John From Cincinnatti" to me?  That's about 10 hours of my life I'll never get back.
"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Jan 31, 2008 5:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I kinda wanted to see that one.  Is it back?  It looked different and interesting, but I had a hunch it wouldn't last.  I guess it's inspired by the John Frum cargo cult or something, right?  

by jhon on Jan 31, 2008 5:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Watched two episodes. Gave up on it.
Sizemore-Shapiro 2008. The Official Red Bull of Let's Go Tribe Game Threads.

by Gradyforpresident on Jan 31, 2008 5:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Kind of an aside - but Butchie's and Prop Joe's  deaths were really upsetting to me.
Sizemore-Shapiro 2008. The Official Red Bull of Let's Go Tribe Game Threads.

by Gradyforpresident on Jan 31, 2008 5:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Templeton is a true hack. Way worse than Hoynes, Ocker, etc.
Sizemore-Shapiro 2008. The Official Red Bull of Let's Go Tribe Game Threads.

by Gradyforpresident on Jan 31, 2008 5:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I never want The Wire to end. I'm in the process of preaching the gospel of David Simon et all to anyone and everyone I know.
Sizemore-Shapiro 2008. The Official Red Bull of Let's Go Tribe Game Threads.

by Gradyforpresident on Jan 31, 2008 5:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Looking at the comments above, it's safe to say you like The Wire, GFP.

by NickFantana on Jan 31, 2008 6:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Yes.
Sizemore-Shapiro 2008. The Official Red Bull of Let's Go Tribe Game Threads.

by Gradyforpresident on Jan 31, 2008 6:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
The Wire is a hack.

by nickjs21 on Jan 31, 2008 8:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Fighting words.
Sizemore-Shapiro 2008. The Official Red Bull of Let's Go Tribe Game Threads.

by Gradyforpresident on Jan 31, 2008 8:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
It seems to me that there is another non-positive ramification to this. If the deal is completed, it means that the Mets have locked up Santana for several years. In that case, Sabathia becomes the most desirable pitcher in the free agent class of 2009. I would think that this would increase the likelihood of a bidding war for him. If he and his agent share this perception, then it becomes even less likely that he is willing to sign an extension with the Tribe. Looked at this way, the best thing that could have happened was for Santana to remain a Twin.

by CaptainPenny on Jan 29, 2008 11:11 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Shouldn't that be free agent class of 2008 ?

by Ohiokie on Jan 30, 2008 8:13 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
This might be talking out of turn, as I neither know the details of this situation particularly well nor do I have the feel for player contract negotiations that other people on this site do, but, if I may:

I think the perceived value of Johan Santana was considerably higher among fans than in actuality. Granted, this stance requires one to believe that the "other" packages were either false or taken off the table once Cashman and Epstein understood Santana's demands.

That last part is the key one for me. Trying to be clear: I think the team acquiring Sanatana was essentially purchasing, with prospects, the right to negotiate an incredibly, incredibly expensive deal with him.

So, right off the bat this reduces the market to 3, maybe 5 teams in MLB. While it's counterintuitive to say that Santana might've had more value had he been available as a rental, I think it might be accurate. If Santana did not demand an extension to go with his trade, then the Twins might've been able to get additional teams into the race and drive the price up. I'm thinking of a team like the Rockies or Diamondbacks or something; teams that don't want to extend Santana but think they have a window of opportunity for next year.

So, if you believe that Santana could only go to a max of 5 teams, then I don't think it's a huge leap of faith that the Twins went to each of those teams, had some preliminary talks (where we got leaks of Hughes/Cabrera+), and in the course of those talks, the extent of Johan's contract demands came out. Those teams decided that the price in prospects+cash was much too rich and either reduced their packages or pulled out of the race.

This is my round-about theory about how what the Mets paid was, in fact, market value for Santana. I am creating this argument largely because I find it impossible to believe that Minyana bullied the Twins around. That seems inconceivable.

I guess what I need as evidence is for Santana to sign a 7/155 deal, something so rich that I can even see Boston and NYY walking away.

In an odd way, I see it as a parallel for the Matsuzaka posting, except that the posting fee is lower because they know no reasonable contract will be agreed upon.

My other two theories are thus:

1-The Twins scouting staff is still in place and they believed these were the best pitchers available. That sounds insane, but this staff found Santana, found Liriano, found Nathan. If they really wanted these pitchers, I'm inclined to think they're right. If this is the case, I think Deolis is the key to the deal. He's the only one raw enough that I'm prepared to say scouts could have a totally different and correct read on him.

2-If Bill Smith is an idiot, maybe he drew a line in the sand and said "I will not keep Santana in the AL." It makes sense in some weird way, if you think "My team wants to win the WS, any NYY or BOS team with Santana will be better, therefore I cannot trade him within the AL since no one else can pay the price to sign him."

3-The Steinbrenner boys decided to show off and refuse to play. If that happened, I can see how this package is seen as better than Boston's. I don't really like Lester or Ellsbury. I'd still take them over this group I think but I can see it.

But, if he did that, then I think he essentially reduced the bidders to the Mets and maybe a half-hearted Dodgers. So, he had to try to get Minyana to bid against himself.

Or, maybe the other packages just aren't as good as I think and I've lost my mind as an observer. But it seems insane to me to leave any package with Hughes alone and take this one. Hell, I might take just Hughes instead of this one. I'd think about it.

by afh4 on Jan 30, 2008 1:03 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
three theories...

by afh4 on Jan 30, 2008 1:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
My belief is that all three theories are correct.  The Twins see more in Guerra than Minaya does (and they're probably right, if you want my two cents,) they decided they're way better off competing for a WS in three years if Santana (still near his prime) is in the NL and the Yankees were never serious about trading Hughes.  

Honestly, after the off-season the Yankees had, I'd believe that the new Steinbrenner is full of doo-doo and Cashman really has things under control in New York.  There was not a single trademark over-paying move, unless you count re-signing Rivera, which I would contend the Yankees almost had to do from a PR perspective.

by NickFantana on Jan 30, 2008 9:38 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
This Vince Gennaro article from a couple weeks ago makes the same argument--that factoring in the cost of Santana's next contract makes a deal not worth it for almost any team.  In fact, according to him it wouldn't be worth it even for the Yankees; the Mets were the team for whom a trade made the most sense.  Seems pretty prescient today.

A fourth alternative theory, currently making the rounds among Aaron Gleeman's commenters, is that Santana himself suddenly gave Smith a deadline of now to complete a deal or he would invoke his no-trade clause and walk at the end of the season, and the Mets' current offer was the best Smith could do immediately.  Seems pretty farfetched to me--more of a "stabbed in the back" rationalization by disappointed Twins fans--but I suppose it is at least theoretically possible.

As a Tribe fan I am pleased Santana is leaving the AL, but I can't help feeling a twinge of regret as well.  I live in Minneapolis and it was a neat feeling to know that, fifteen or sixteen times a year, I only had to drive a few blocks (Twins fans being notorious frontrunners, the Metrodome was almost never sold out) to see the best pitcher in baseball.  I usually made it down at least once or twice a season (most recently on Labor Day, when he and his team got shut out by CC and company) and it makes me sad to think that will never happen again.

by Jackdaw on Jan 30, 2008 3:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Why are we glad that Santana left the AL Central?  Man we own this dude!  

I can hear E5 now, "with Santana gone the Indians lose at least 4 wins.  Next year's projected record: 82 and 80"

"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Jan 30, 2008 6:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I think the team acquiring Sanatana was essentially purchasing, with prospects, the right to negotiate an incredibly, incredibly expensive deal with him.

I never thought of it that way, but I agree.  Good point.

by Pronk33 on Jan 30, 2008 12:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
just... I mean... perfect.

by gte619n on Jan 30, 2008 8:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Not sure what that's from, but I nearly spit out my orange juice.
Burn on, big river, burn on...

by Turkmenbashi on Jan 30, 2008 9:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
It's from a game called Baseball Mogul. You should check it out sometime.

by Toxicadam on Jan 30, 2008 11:41 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I want to know what happens if you can click on "Hint."  Awesome.
-Erik

by drerikbrady on Jan 30, 2008 9:13 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I'd guess Hint has the trade starting with either Wright or Reyes.  It looks like that game doesn't adequately evaluate prospects.  Adam, you need to check out OOTP.

by NickFantana on Jan 30, 2008 9:35 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I realize OOTP is probably superior (as it delves more into other metrics), but I grew up on BM and am a creature of habit.

by Toxicadam on Jan 30, 2008 11:42 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Certainly not intended to condescend.  If I were you, I'd just play both.

by NickFantana on Jan 30, 2008 11:49 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
I played a lot of Baseball Mogul back in the day as well. When I tried OOtP I felt like I was cheating but it was quite worth it.
I swear, next year is it.

by fwembt on Jan 30, 2008 11:54 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re: meet the met
Hilarious, but the game says Santana is under control for 3 years. What's the ingame date?

by Voltaire on Jan 30, 2008 1:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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