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Too bad they didn’t do it sooner. He could have shared a room with Westbrook.
"It's hard to win when you don't score." Cliff Lee, 9/28/05.
by Harry Doyle on Oct 7, 2008 5:49 PM EDT 0 recs
I didn’t follow Hafner’s injury and rehab very closely, but I assume that this explains a good amount of his struggles at the plate?
by world dictator on Oct 7, 2008 5:54 PM EDT 0 recs
Hello world dictator,
This is just my opinion, but I’m not convinced the shoulder is what has been causing him to be less productive in 2007 and 2008 than he was from 2004-2006.
To me, it seems his plate discipline has become weaker for whatever reason. Ever since teams started working around him, he seems to swing at more pitches out of the zone and too often taking pitches within the zone. It also seems to me that when he does swing at pitches in the zone, he’s not making solid contact with them like he often did from 2004-2006.
Could the shoulder have something to do with that? It’s possible, but how do we explain his decline in 2007? He supposedly did not have a shoulder problem in 2007 – he just fell off after April, which is why I’m not convinced that even if his shoulder is repaired and 100% again that we are going to see the Hafner of old at the plate. Unless his plate discipline, pitch recognition, and ability to produce line drives that he exhibited from 2004-2006 comes back to him, I’m not confident this shoulder surgery is going to make him much more productive than he was in 2007, which I think most people here would agree was a down year for Hafner. I think most people are hoping that we can the 2006 version back, or even the 2004-2005 version – I’m just not sure this shoulder surgery, even if successful, is going to bring Hafner back to that level.
I hope I’m wrong, but I’m not convinced it’s all physical with Hafner; I think it’s more his approach and mental discipline at the plate that is the main reason for his decline, not the problems with the shoulder he had in 2008.
Just my 2 cents.
The "cream of the crop" doesn't always rise to the top.
by indiansfan on
Oct 7, 2008 9:34 PM EDT
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To me, it seems his plate discipline has become weaker for whatever reason. Ever since teams started working around him, he seems to swing at more pitches out of the zone and too often taking pitches within the zone.
It’s still entirely possible that this is some kind of side effect of a shoulder problem, but I agree. In 2006 you could argue that Travis Hafner was Major League Baseball’s most disciplined hitter. He flat out didn’t swing at balls— or at least it seemed that way.
Steel Nick
by nickjs21 on
Oct 7, 2008 9:51 PM EDT
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Generally, Hafner has been late on the fastball since May ‘07. I think it’s fair to assume the shoulder injury has caused this problem. I’ve seen at least one scout who was quoted as saying that bat speed was an issue, and that’s definitely the case if you watch him. If you’re having problems getting around on a fastball, you need to make a decision earlier.
Poor plate discipline is not the cause of the issue. It’s a result of the real issue.
by TribeJay on
Oct 7, 2008 11:40 PM EDT
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I remember seeing a strike zone graph with Hafner’s hot and cold zones. He had problems hitting balls in areas you’d think he’d crush, like right in the middle of the plate for example
by world dictator on
Oct 7, 2008 11:48 PM EDT
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I don’t think that “discipline” is the problem (although we may be defining the term differently). Fangraphs shows that Hafner is swinging at approximately the same amount of pitches – both inside and outside the strike zone – and making contact at approximately the same rate.
Interestingly, his line-drive rates have been approximately the same as 2005-2006 (he actually hit liners 24.7% of the time this year!), and he’s still seeing the same amount of pitches per plate appearance.
However, his groundball rates have spiked over the last two years.
It doesn’t seem like Hafner’s problem is identifying which pitches to swing at, or even making contact and hitting it hard when he does swing; rather, his problem seems to be hitting the ball in the air with authority. Which, logically speaking, could have a lot to do with his shoulder.
That being said, I’m not sure his shoulder will ever allow him to return to the 2004-2006 Hafner. But if he can return to the 2007 form – a much more reasonable proposition – he will at least have some value to the offense.
by Peter Bendix on
Oct 8, 2008 10:52 AM EDT
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certainly.
Travis Hafner is overrated. Clarity is underrated. David Dellucci is David Dellucci.
by westbrook on
Oct 8, 2008 4:13 PM EDT
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indubitably
"It's hard to win when you don't score." Cliff Lee, 9/28/05.
by Harry Doyle on
Oct 8, 2008 6:04 PM EDT
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When was “the shift” used everytime against Hafner? Is there any correlation there?
by Toxicadam on
Oct 8, 2008 1:01 PM EDT
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I don’t know if there is any hard evidence, but isn’t the shift used almost all the time against Hafner? And wasn’t it used even during the years when he was The Best Hitter Not Named Albert?
I know The Shift was used on David Ortiz during the years he was The Best Hitter Not Named Travis Or Albert. And The Shift was used on Carlos Pena in 2007, when he too was amazing.
by Peter Bendix on
Oct 8, 2008 1:04 PM EDT
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Thome, too. The shift seems to have become more common n past four or five seasons.
by odradek on
Oct 8, 2008 2:14 PM EDT
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well, the shift really mainly affects ground balls, right, which he’s hitting a lot more of. he’s just playing into their hands more now.
by Brick. on
Oct 8, 2008 1:08 PM EDT
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Yeah, but getting a few more ground ball singles wouldn’t really change much, or account for much of the dropoff. He’s still getting his fair share of singles (although he was quite unlucky on balls in play in 2008), just far fewer extra base hits.
by Peter Bendix on
Oct 8, 2008 1:16 PM EDT
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Better re-check his un-luck — that part could be the shift more than luck.
I think you basically have it right that the shift is not his problem, unless he’s making it the problem.
by Jay on
Oct 10, 2008 9:45 AM EDT
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I must just be seeing what I want then. He really looked pathetic on balls out of the zone in the last two years, and stoic in 2006. It would seem the numbers are correcting me.
Steel Nick
by nickjs21 on
Oct 8, 2008 2:48 PM EDT
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how many times did they say the problem couldn’t be fixed by surgery?
by Brick. on Oct 7, 2008 6:00 PM EDT 0 recs
They have made a strategic decision to lie about injuries as an organization. Not just cover up or play down, but actually lie.
I’m not quite sure why they did it, but it is obviously true.
by KevinV on
Oct 7, 2008 9:35 PM EDT
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I’d take it a step further. By covering up and lying about injuries, I’d assume they think they can fix whatever is wrong (or have the player “play through it”) before the competition finds out. That wasn’t the case with Victor, and not with Hanfer, and who knows how many others. And we’re obviously not talking about something simple here — if Dr. Andrews previously said no surgery, what has changed that leads the Indians to believe he was wrong? Who else weighed in? And when was the last time Dr. Andrews was wrong? There are too many unanswered questions here and their track record of lying about injuries and now totally reversing course on this treatment option is not helping my confidence that they actually know what they are doing.
by Tribe Fan Matt on
Oct 8, 2008 12:20 PM EDT
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I fail to see any connection between (a) their knowing what they’re doing, and (b) their releasing accurate public information about injuries.
by Jay on
Oct 10, 2008 9:46 AM EDT
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I’m not sayng there’s necessarily a connection, it just makes me question their competence or truthfulness when they seemingly arbitrarily change course on these things and don’t offer complete explanations as to why. I think the fans deserve clarity, and if the justification for not providing it is to conceal competitively sensitive information, I find that to be a stretch.
by Tribe Fan Matt on
Oct 10, 2008 11:52 AM EDT
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Well, the law says they can’t reveal anything without the player’s consent, first of all. And the player himself could choose to be very selective about what will get revealed.
Why do you find it a stretch anyway? Do you doubt that there is a competitive advantage in not having other clubs know the extent of injuries? I think it’s a no-brainer.
by Jay on
Oct 11, 2008 5:18 AM EDT
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I understand the law well, but I have never seen them reference that as the reason they choose to not reveal a diagnosis or treatment in this case. I doubt the competitive advantage as it applies to baseball specifically, in particular injuries that are going to be, or already are, long-term situations. There may be competitive advantage in a short series, for example, but that’s not the situation the Indians faced this year at any time. Hafner wasn’t sneaking up on anyone. Therefore, i’d argue providing information on his condition, and not flip-flopping on it after denying one course of treatment (surgery) could help at all, gained them no advantage.
Honestly, this is probably not worth this much debate, but i appreciate you engaging on it with me. Ultimately, I just want to have confidence in their moves/actions, and I have lost some of that confidence this year through both the things they said and the things they did as it relates to injuries.
by Tribe Fan Matt on
Oct 11, 2008 5:02 PM EDT
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Wait a minute. You’re saying there is a competitive advantage to concealing the extent of Hafner’s injury? With whom, pray tell. A sixth grader could see that something was terribly wrong with Hafner. I agree that there’s an advantage to concealing, say, a lefthanded pitcher’s injury in the postseason so one of your opponents will put an extra righthanded hitter on their postseason roster.
I’m obviously missing something, but I don’t see much competitive advantage to be gained by concealing an injury. With trades, perhaps, you don’t want opposing GMs to know how desperate you are for a lefthanded hitter, but that’s about it. What am I overlooking?
Otherwise, this sounds like more football-think. We spent the week drilling for quarterback A, and quarterback B shows up on Sunday.
I think the HIPA laws are a much stronger reason.
by odradek on
Oct 11, 2008 7:55 PM EDT
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No, I agree with you. I agree concealing it in this situation gained them no competitive advantage. I phrased my sentence poorly. That’s what I get for posting after drinking two BIG martinis after Colorado lost to Kansas yesterday.
by Tribe Fan Matt on
Oct 12, 2008 2:48 PM EDT
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Now that I think about it, I do remember one occasion this season after Hafner returned that he was walked intentionally. Obviously, it was a book move—righty on the mound, walk the lefty to get to the righty—but whoever did that hadn’t been paying attention to his scouting. He was thinking of Hafner 2006, not the later model. So maybe there’s an advantage—a slight one—to not calling a press conference to announce Hafner can’t hit anymore.
by odradek on
Oct 12, 2008 3:36 PM EDT
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Like I said in September. If he’s not healthy enough to play in back to back games (as DH), why is he playing at all?
by APV on Oct 7, 2008 6:36 PM EDT 0 recs
he should have had surgery last off season. this handling has just been stupid
Anti-Ben Fran before it was cool.
by Gradyforpresident on Oct 7, 2008 7:56 PM EDT 0 recs
Hafner finished 2007 strong. There was no real hint of a problem with his shoulder a year ago.
by Jay on
Oct 7, 2008 8:46 PM EDT
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I don’t think they’re sure what the problem is, to be honest. They tried avoiding surgery. Now they’re trying surgery. I don’t think we can assume that will work either.
by peter m on Oct 7, 2008 8:11 PM EDT 0 recs
We have nowhere to go but up here. We committed resources to Haf and if the surgery makes him productive, it means we get a return on our original investment.
by elsandito on
Oct 7, 2008 8:53 PM EDT
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Plus if he’ll be 100% by Spring Training, which is what they’ve said, why not do the surgery?
by world dictator on
Oct 7, 2008 11:14 PM EDT
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Unless:
“If it is more serious than we anticipate, then we’ll address it during the off-season,” Shapiro said.
Fingers crossed. So, basically, he MIGHT be OK in spring training.
by macasson on
Oct 8, 2008 12:15 AM EDT
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Has Chuck returned to medicine and taken over Haf’s case?
He’ll be ok without surgery, unless he isn’t.
He’ll be ok with surgery, unless he isn’t.
"It's hard to win when you don't score." Cliff Lee, 9/28/05.
by Harry Doyle on
Oct 8, 2008 10:10 AM EDT
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yup, point being, i don’t think we’re anywhere closer to having a resolution on the matter, surgery or not.
by macasson on
Oct 8, 2008 11:37 AM EDT
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They should surgically separate him and Amy, AM I RITE?!
Burn on, big river, burn on...
by Turkmenbashi on Oct 7, 2008 8:24 PM EDT 0 recs
maybe he just isn’t a baseball player.
Travis Hafner is overrated. Clarity is underrated. David Dellucci is David Dellucci.
by westbrook on Oct 7, 2008 8:24 PM EDT 0 recs
Point taken, but Hafner’s period of success was 1) sustained over a longer period of time and 2) just more dominant.
And even if “all” the Indians get from Hafner are some .250/.375/.475 seasons, that’ll do just fine. It’s still hard to find a hitter to put up that line—while it’s not dominant, it is exactly what (roughly speaking) Jose Guillen, Jermaine Dye, and Jim Thome get paid $10M-$15M annually to do.
It’s not superstar level, but it’s not Todd Hollandsworth.
by xrickx on
Oct 8, 2008 12:18 AM EDT
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Shapiro now says that if Hafner does not return as an effective DH his replacement will be found in-house.
The surgery will also provide cover for puuting Hafner on the DL as long as possible.
by palcal on Oct 7, 2008 8:29 PM EDT 0 recs
Which leads to the question, do we have an insurance policy on Hafner? I remember reading that insurance is covering part of Westbrook’s pay as he recovers from surgery, I would imagine we get some sort of insurance for a Hafner surgery should he miss time
by Roger Dorn on
Oct 7, 2008 9:47 PM EDT
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…Benfran or LaPorta…
Travis Hafner is overrated. Clarity is underrated. David Dellucci is David Dellucci.
by westbrook on
Oct 8, 2008 4:15 PM EDT
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This is absurd. I’m sorry, but why not do this in June? Is he afraid of needles?
Don't be stupid. PUT IN MELOAN.
by gte619n on Oct 7, 2008 9:52 PM EDT 0 recs
echoing peter, i think it’s pretty clear they have no idea what’s wrong with him. i’m guessing they are just hoping when they open up his shoulder they find something to fix.
by APV on
Oct 7, 2008 9:55 PM EDT
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That’s my sense, too.
You don’t perform surgery if you don’t know what surgery to perform. Though an appendectomy is always nice.
by Jay on
Oct 7, 2008 11:39 PM EDT
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I’M JUST MAD! Stop your “reason” talking.
CLEVELAND.COM. AHHHERHGHEFHGET. CLEVELAND.COM. CLEVELAND.COM. CLEVELAND.COM. BRING BACK OMAR!! CLEVELAND.COM. CLEVELAND.COM. CLEVELAND.COM. FIRE SHAPIRO!!! CLEVELAND.COM. CLEVELAND.COM. CLEVELAND.COM.
Don't be stupid. PUT IN MELOAN.
by gte619n on
Oct 8, 2008 9:10 AM EDT
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As far as I’m aware, they didn’t think he needed surgery.
It worked for Pujols. They waited, and he proved strong enough (obviously) to play through it instead of surgery.
Everyone seems to be overreacting perhaps a bit. There has been and will be a lot of “why didn’t they just do this when they knew the season was over??” Well, if they’re right and surgery won’t prevent him from being ready by spring training, why not just wait it out during a lost 2008 and see if surgery isn’t necessary? Things can go wrong in a surgery even if there’s only a small possibility. I don’t see there being any harm done— unless, of course, the added time he played at the end of the year actually worsened his condition past a point where surgery won’t help. Since I don’t think anyone’s really sure what the problem is I don’t think they can determine that.
Steel Nick
by nickjs21 on
Oct 7, 2008 9:57 PM EDT
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I think the concern comes from what seems like erratic decision making and commentary regarding Hafner. it just seems to give the impression of “we have no idea what’s wrong with Hafner”. And if that’s the case, it may be impossible to fix him. Which is frightening.
by APV on
Oct 7, 2008 10:00 PM EDT
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Sure it is. But let’s not accuse the FO of being idiots or liars. This is obviously turning out to be a strange medical condition. Poke away, surgeons.
Steel Nick
by nickjs21 on
Oct 7, 2008 10:13 PM EDT
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The FO does not consist of idiots or liars. Cheapskates and incompetents, yes, but not idiots.
It would appear the Tribe expected Hafner to do something upon his return to Cleveland in September. He had hit a few line drives in Buffalo, and possibly they were hoping to see some signs of life. But clearly Hafner looked pretty bad back in Cleveland, which would suggest they really don’t have a clue as to what’s going on.
by odradek on
Oct 7, 2008 10:19 PM EDT
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Referring to the familiar refrains on cleveland.com, e.g. Larry Dolan is such a cheapskate he goes through his players pockets during games to steal change,
by odradek on
Oct 7, 2008 11:54 PM EDT
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Who was thus reduced to learning the game of dominoes.
by odradek on
Oct 8, 2008 11:15 AM EDT
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And sucking at it. However, he turned out to be surprisingly good at ballet.
by world dictator on
Oct 8, 2008 11:57 AM EDT
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rec. It explains why Andy started getting playing time. Dolan stole his checkers so that he’d be bored… and thus ask for more PT… and thus getting Casey’s ass outta here… and saving Dolan money.
(except for the fact that we paid Casey’s salary.)
Travis Hafner is overrated. Clarity is underrated. David Dellucci is David Dellucci.
by westbrook on
Oct 8, 2008 4:18 PM EDT
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Say what you will, Larry Dolan is still the cheapest SOB who ever walked the face of this earth.
by odradek on
Oct 8, 2008 5:18 PM EDT
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Are you still channeling cleveland.com, or being serious? I can’t tell anymore.
by Voltaire on
Oct 8, 2008 7:27 PM EDT
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Sorry. Channeling. I have no evidence that Dolan is a tightwad, whatsoever.
by odradek on
Oct 8, 2008 10:54 PM EDT
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Umm Al Davis? (AKA I’m firing my coach with 1.5 years left on his contract but I refuse to pay him)
by world dictator on
Oct 8, 2008 9:12 PM EDT
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If Al Davis owned the Indians, would he be loved in Cleveland? I would think he’d be more popular than Dolan, just based on his looks.
by odradek on
Oct 8, 2008 10:55 PM EDT
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he wouldn’t let Shapiro do anything, and we’d end up with FA signings like Andrew Jones (Javon Walker anybody?)…
Travis Hafner is overrated. Clarity is underrated. David Dellucci is David Dellucci.
by westbrook on
Oct 9, 2008 1:27 PM EDT
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Yeah, but he would be loved because he wouldn’t be afraid to spend money to win!
by odradek on
Oct 9, 2008 7:12 PM EDT
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no trust me. Its much worse to spend all of your money on bad players and lose than to “not spend” money and win.
by world dictator on
Oct 9, 2008 8:48 PM EDT
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