News and Notes
Given their roster makeup, the Indians can afford to keep Andy Marte with the major-league club, but he'll make it in a reserve role:
After hitting .275/.372/.506 in AAA at the age of 21, Marte's regressed the past two seasons. Injuries and a couple of poor major-league stints makes this season extremely important both for Marte and the Indians. He's only 24 years old, and current third baseman Casey Blake is only signed through this season, so Andy remains the long-term solution at the hot corner. But he'll have to win the job playing only sporadically. And third base is really his only opportunity to play, since the Indians aren't going to want to sit Ryan Garko or Victor Martinez that often.
Shin-Soo Choo, who is also out of options, won't be able to play in the field until May, though he's hitting now. Like third base, left field isn't a settled position, so I would imagine the Indians will make sure Choo's rehab is very thorough, if you know what I mean.
Eric Wedge will go with seven pitchers in the bullpen:
Whoever loses out shouldn't feel that disappointed, for bullpens almost never keep the same configuration over the course of a season, let alone a month. I'm partial to Edward Mujica over the long haul, but Mastny seems to be a better fit for long relief.
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Re: News and Notes
i hope julio gets a shot and mastny is waiting ready when someone roberto hernandezes himself out of town or when a perez or someone have some troubles - performance or injury wise.
every time they say someone has reported to camp 10-15 pounds lighter i hope they mention perez packed on 2 or 3, which has to be what, like 20% of his body weight...
by Brick. on Feb 18, 2008 11:50 PM EST 0 recs
Re: News and Notes
- Mastny's performance against Boston ought to go down in Tribe lore -- but expecting anything like that on a regular basis is asking too much. I realize, of course, that the last man in the pen is not going to be eating up high-leverage spots, but it's also easy to get drunk on one legendary game.
- Brick touched on weight; I'm constantly wondering about those kinds of reports. It seems that every spring, EVERY player is "reporting to camp in the best shape of their life!"
Anyway, cheers to spring training.
by tabler84 on Feb 19, 2008 7:45 AM EST 0 recs
Re: News and Notes
by mauichuck on
Feb 19, 2008 8:01 AM EST
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by gte619n on
Feb 19, 2008 8:13 AM EST
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Re: News and Notes
... oh, wait ...
by Jay on
Feb 19, 2008 9:14 AM EST
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Re: News and Notes
THIS, is my promise to you.
by gte619n on
Feb 19, 2008 4:01 PM EST
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- It is funny how the ALCS performance fits in with the post-2006 mentality that maybe he's a potential closer, isn't it?
- Not every player. Hector Luna comes to mind.
by Jay on
Feb 19, 2008 9:15 AM EST
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Re: News and Notes
by Turkmenbashi on
Feb 19, 2008 3:55 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
Imagine CC in a similar jersey.
by mauichuck on
Feb 19, 2008 3:58 PM EST
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by Turkmenbashi on
Feb 19, 2008 4:44 PM EST
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by jhon on
Feb 19, 2008 4:29 PM EST
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by Gradyforpresident on
Feb 19, 2008 5:24 PM EST
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by Ghostof WillHartley on Feb 19, 2008 10:25 AM EST 0 recs
Re: News and Notes
Now, Will Hartley, he never got a chance.
by dgcambridge on
Feb 19, 2008 11:01 AM EST
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Re: News and Notes
What a brutal draft that was:
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/teams/draft/cleveland-indians-1999.shtml
Man, all those Hart drafts were just horrendous, with the exception of CC in '98.
by mrich on
Feb 19, 2008 4:59 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
Why? Is it because now I believe Marte will hit like is proponents have been saying? Hardly. My guess is that his BA will be about 40 points below Blake's with equal isolated power and walks. That is pretty far below Blake.
No, the difference is that Blake's defense at 3B is pretty horrible (mainly range), while Marte is above average. Looking at David Pinto's numbers, I think it is conservative that Marte will turn 25 more batted balls into outs than Blake (mainly this is Blake's ineptness, not Marte's greatness). (Aside: Remember 3 years ago, the tribe signed Aaron Boone because they did not like Blake's defense at third. And now it is passable 3 years later?) This makes up for a lot of batting average at the plate, and makes Blake and Marte about equal in 08. With the age difference and option situation, Marte should get the nod.
Note that this is very unlikely to happen, as the real world is not the analytic world, and you can't shuffle players around like chess pieces, besides the love Wedge has for Blake and the obvious disdain for Marte. Anyway, the win difference between the players in 08 is probably less than 1. Also in either case, 3B will be like LF (and RF?) for the tribe in the sense that it will be manned by below average performers. Hopefully Beau Mills or Wes Hodges has a breakout year in 08, so we won't have to suffer through a another year of weak 3B performance in 09.
by oxforddave on
Feb 19, 2008 11:10 AM EST
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Re: News and Notes
You make a bunch of interesting comments here, and this is the one that even many serious fans seem to lose sight of. Blake looked really good upon switching back to third base in April, we all saw that, but it didn't last, and looking good isn't the same as being effective anyway. The idea that his defense can somehow be better at age 34 than it was at age 30 is simply not credible, and by the way, it was very bad at age 30.
PECOTA's take on their hitting is 767 for Blake and 720 for Marte, pretty similar to your prediction with just a little less difference between the two. Over 600 PA, you're right, it's less than a 1 win difference.
by Jay on
Feb 19, 2008 1:36 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
by FranklinScott on
Feb 19, 2008 1:51 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
There's no real-world justification for starting Marte over Blake except for defense. Marte hit .267/.309/.457 in AAA last season, and that was after an awful stretch in Cleveland. Translate those numbers to the majors, and it's below replacement-level.
Now when you bring other things into the decision-making process (age, service time, etc), then you could begin to justify it. But it would still be a rather large leap of faith to do it, especially considering the high regard Blake is held in by Shapiro and Wedge.
But you have to think that everyone on the Indians knows that Andy Marte at third base is the best thing for the team going forward. The trick is in the exexcution. Of course, if Marte stinks again, then there isn't much you can do.
by Ryan on
Feb 19, 2008 2:21 PM EST
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by dgcambridge on
Feb 19, 2008 2:49 PM EST
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by APV on
Feb 19, 2008 2:51 PM EST
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by Jay on
Feb 19, 2008 9:00 PM EST
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by Voltaire on
Feb 19, 2008 4:10 PM EST
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by Fundamentals on
Feb 19, 2008 4:21 PM EST
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by Roger Dorn on
Feb 19, 2008 4:47 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
There, now when you link this at the end of the year everyone will see that too.
by Brick. on
Feb 19, 2008 4:50 PM EST
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by Gradyforpresident on
Feb 19, 2008 5:24 PM EST
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by Jay on
Feb 19, 2008 8:59 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
The obnoxious part is that one has to wait so long to find out who wins.
When he was still a minor leaguer I once made a $50.00 bet that Eric Milton would win a Cy Young within 5 years. I owned one of his pitching videos and studied it closely. People were calling him a left handed Greg Maddux. A left-handed Maddux would surely win multiple Cy Youngs, I figured.
by jhon on
Feb 19, 2008 5:27 PM EST
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by Jay on
Feb 19, 2008 8:58 PM EST
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I studied Milton (the pitcher, not the DWM) primarily to learn how to pitch. Didn't work out; guess I'll have to make a career out of being correct about something instead.
The little I know about prospects I gather most intensely in Spring training, or as revealed on this site. This time and the first couple months of the season is probably the peak of my pan-MLB fanaticism, which usual wanes through the summer months.
So, who's the next Big Thing? I know it in my gut.
by jhon on
Feb 19, 2008 9:50 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
I have a habit of omission.
by jhon on
Feb 19, 2008 9:52 PM EST
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by Voltaire on
Feb 19, 2008 5:53 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
Last year, Kevin Kouzmanoff hit even worse than Barfield during April, putting up a .354 OPS. Had he been the Tribe third baseman, he would have demoted to Buffalo. The Padres stuck with him, largely because they had no attractive alternatives. His second half OPS: .890.
There is general agreement on this site that the Indians do not block prospects, but I believe that the club too often demands immediate success at the major league level.
Marte should get an extended shot now. If he does not, a year from now he will be gone.
by Rochester on
Feb 19, 2008 9:00 PM EST
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by Jay on
Feb 19, 2008 9:03 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
The corner outfield situation is below average, but players may step up (Choo, Francisco, Delucci, etc.). Third base is just ugly.
by oxforddave on
Feb 19, 2008 2:23 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
I really haven't seen enough of Marte's defense to really make a good comparison, but the Indians keep saying they like his glove. If take that at face value, Andy isn't going to have to hit that well to justify him playing every day.
by Ryan on
Feb 20, 2008 11:09 AM EST
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Re: News and Notes
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/spring2008/news/story?id=3250820
Based on amount of sand alone, I'm going with Arizona.
by supermarioelia on Feb 19, 2008 6:33 PM EST 0 recs
Re: News and Notes
by crackaddictwhit on Feb 19, 2008 11:06 PM EST 0 recs
Re: News and Notes
A few "high"lights...
Who didn't expect us to keep a 24-year old second baseman who isn't even arbitration eligible yet?
This statement is made while highlighting Trevor Crowe's shot at making the club this year. Really? Trevor Crowe? And by veteran 4th OFers he's presumably referring strictly to our LF platoon of Michaels and Dellucci, whose combined career R/L OPS split is over .820. Since when do Gutierrez and Francisco count as veterans?
I'm not even sure what this is supposed to mean, but I believe the Indians have "originated" quite a few things, including a comprehensive in-house stats/scouting evaluation system.
Again, this is something I'd expect to see from a Tribe beat reporter. You don't make moves so that people can have something interesting to talk about...you make moves because you have team needs or because advantageous opportunities present themselves.
Regressions a "noun", right? Especially when you tied for the most wins in baseball last season. Except maybe not so much when your team is young and and getting better...
Here's CLE vs. DET in terms of the age transition at each position from last year to this year:
C: CLE 27>28 DET 35>36
1B: CLE 26>27 DET 32>32 (Guillen replacing Casey)
2B: CLE 21>22 DET 31>32
SS: CLE 25>26 DET 31>32 (Renteria replacing Guillen)
3B: CLE 33>34 DET 30>25 (Miggy)
LF: CLE 40/31>34/32 DET 30>33 (Jones replacing Monroe)
CF: CLE 24>25 DET 26>27
RF: CLE 24>25 DET 33>34
The pitching staffs are somewhat similar in age.
Based simply on the age curves, which team would you expect to get bit more by a regressive curve?
by APV on Feb 20, 2008 10:08 AM EST 0 recs
Re: News and Notes
by Gradyforpresident on
Feb 20, 2008 11:49 AM EST
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Re: News and Notes
this, however, from lastoria's recent "prospects that can help in 2008":
by emil minty on
Feb 20, 2008 12:46 PM EST
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by fwembt on
Feb 20, 2008 1:47 PM EST
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by APV on
Feb 20, 2008 2:02 PM EST
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by 7foot3 on
Feb 20, 2008 2:34 PM EST
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by emil minty on
Feb 20, 2008 2:35 PM EST
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That isn't crazy-toolsy to begin with, but when you consider there's no evidence of that plus contact hitting ... well, where's the tools?
by Jay on
Feb 20, 2008 4:46 PM EST
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by 7foot3 on
Feb 21, 2008 1:00 PM EST
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by Jay on
Feb 20, 2008 4:40 PM EST
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by zempf on
Feb 20, 2008 12:58 PM EST
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by mkwng on
Feb 20, 2008 2:37 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
Aaron Fultz
Casey Blake
Jason Michaels
David Dellucci
...all options I would consider. But our pre-arbitration middle-infielder a year removed from an impressive rookie campaign? Odd choice.
One move to make?
Any answer but "any". Obviously he goes into a few suggestions about corner OF/IF which are reasonable - but that reflexive "any move is better than nothing" is just ignorant.
by APV on
Feb 20, 2008 2:41 PM EST
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Re: News and Notes
He will? That's news to me. Another obvious sign that someone who knows little-to-nothing about the Tribe was asked to write an article comparing them to the rest of their division. And what the hell is that comment about the "Big Three" supposed to mean? For chrissakes, we were tied for the best record in baseball last year.
by Turkmenbashi on
Feb 20, 2008 3:05 PM EST
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by jhon on
Feb 20, 2008 3:32 PM EST
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by Turkmenbashi on
Feb 20, 2008 3:52 PM EST
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by Turkmenbashi on
Feb 20, 2008 3:58 PM EST
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by Jay on
Feb 20, 2008 4:39 PM EST
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by Turkmenbashi on
Feb 20, 2008 4:45 PM EST
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by jhon on
Feb 20, 2008 5:00 PM EST
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by mauichuck on
Feb 20, 2008 7:09 PM EST
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by Turkmenbashi on
Feb 20, 2008 10:37 PM EST
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by ClarkM on
Feb 20, 2008 5:01 PM EST
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It's one thing to say, factually, I'm not sure why they're bringing Barfield back. It's quite another to say, disingenuously, that he was "expected" to be gone. "Expected" in this case means that the author thought about it carelessly for about ten seconds, four months ago, and that's not what the reader will think it means.
by Jay on
Feb 20, 2008 5:12 PM EST
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