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Week In Review: April 29-May 5



This week:  2-3
Overall:  14-17
Scoring:  15-18
Old Mood:  5.2
New Mood:  3.1

  W L % GB
Minnesota 16 14 .533 -
Chicago 14 16 .467 2.0
Cleveland 14 17 .452 2.5
Kansas City 14 17 .452 2.5
Detroit 14 19 .424 3.5

The series:  Hosted the Mariners (loss, win, win) and the Royals (loss, loss).

The big story:  The lineup suffered a massive power outage from every player except Sizemore, as our other 12 "hitters" combined for zero home runs, zero triples and just nine doubles over 145 at-bats — and incidentally only 11 walks over 163 plate appearances — for a .262 slugging percentage.  (The major league average last season was .422.)  Our middle infielders produced just one single in 30 at-bats.  Blake and Hafner combined for just four hits, though all were doubles, in 29 at-bats.  The other four regulars (Martinez, Garko, Gutierrez and Dellucci) went the "empty batting average" route, hitting a solid .294 but combining for just three doubles and three walks between them.

The team's curious response was to jettison Jason Michaels in favor of Ben Francisco.  Curious, because after a horrendous 3-for-33 start in the team's first 15 games, Michaels had posted an 880 OPS over the past 16 games and was not part of the team's problems in any visible way.  Curious, because Michaels has a very team-friendly contract.  Curious, because Francisco had gotten off to an equally slow start in Buffalo and had made less of a rebound.  Curious, because the two players bring a very similar mix of skills to the roster.  Curious, because most in the industry expect Francisco to be a role-player or fringe everyday player, just like Michaels.

Curious, in sum, because it's not clear the Indians have done anything at all except replace one face with another, and usually, that kind of superficial move is reserved for the manager's job.  But, you know, they say you can't start a fire without a spark.  I guess.  Whatever.

In other news:  The rest of the rotation also continued to dominate, allowing just one earned run all week before the 7th inning, capped off by Aaron Laffey, who tossed an even better Sunday gem than he did last week, making the Indians look smart for not taking an easy chance to skip his turn in the rotation.  Paul Byrd continued a totally unpublicized four-game tear in which he's given up four home runs but only six runs total, and just one walk total, averaging 6.6 IP with a 1.71 ERA.  Garko more or less broke out of a hellacious 0-for-24 slump.  Wedge seethed a lot.  Betancourt was less than inspiring, failing to record a scoreless appearance in three tries.

Meanwhile, over on the Bizarro Planet, Cliff Lee was untouchable for six more innings before finally ending his un-scored-upon streak at 28 innings — giving up a three-run bomb, reducing his outing to a mere quality start, and ballooning his ERA all the way up to 0.96, still easily the best in the majors this season.  Like two regressions passing in the night, Sabathia's start was eerily similar to Lee's, beginning with six scoreless innings and ending with three straight hits to start the 7th.  Sabathia pitched well overall but still owns the league's worst ERA at 7.51.

Post of the week:  Maybe I need to rethink this.

Who fed it:  Byrd pitched the best game of the week, allowing just four singles and one walk.  Two of those five baserunners were erased trying to steal second, and none of them ever reached second.  Byrd retired the leadoff batter in all eight innings, and only two batters reached base with less than two outs.  Laffey was nearly as good in his start, allowing just one unearned run on four singles and two walks.  Sizemore busted out a 1311 OPS, including as many extra bases (nine) as the rest of the roster combined, and as many walks (five) as the four corner positions plus DH and catcher.  Perez had an odd but successful week, at one point earning a "Hold" without facing a single batter; he faced four batters over three other games, producing three groundballs and one flyball, resulting in a single and three outs.  Jensen Lewis allowed no hits and one walk over 4.1 innings, and Tom Mastny struck out one guy and allowed another to reach on a groundball error, the only two batters he's faced in the last 19 days. Absolute Best:  Sizemore.  Relative Best:  Byrd.

Honorable mention:  in his final start as an Indian (and only start of the week), Jason Michaels hit a double and a sac fly.  The next day, he scored the 11th inning game-winner as a pinch-runner in his final game here.  Not as dramatic as a farewell home run, but a fitting send-off for a role player who always seemed to be working his ass off out there.

Who ate it:  It's been feast-or-famine almost every week for Peralta, and this week, it was an all-out 0-for-13 famine.  Cabrera was nearly as bad at 1-for-16.  Blake's strikeouts (six) were double his times on base (three); he's played every inning of the last nine games, producing a line of .100/.206/.167.  Betancourt, filling in capably for Borowski, yielded two home runs and four singles while retiring only five batters.  Hafner hit two doubles in one game but went 0-for-10 in three others; he's struck out 14 times in his last 56 trips to the plate, hitting just four singles and four doubles and drawing only five walks for a line of .167/.250/.250.  Breslow totally crapped the bed in his only appearance in the last 19 days.  Absolute Worst:  Peralta.  Relative Worst:  Betancourt.

The other guys:    The Twins surged while the White Sox struggled and the Tigers scuffled.  The division more than ever looks like it will go to any team that can manage anything close to 90 wins, as the Tigers' pitching and the Indians' hitting look no more likely to come together than the White Sox or Twins going on a big flukey run.

False alarms:

  • Not one single hitter having a good year by his own standards.
  • Betancourt, terrible.
  • Roger Clemens, apologizing for something.
  • Not one formidable opponent in the AL Central.

Open questions:

  • Can the starters walk on water long enough for the lineup to regroup and win a few games?
  • Is there something fundamentally wrong with the organizational approach to hitting, and how long can Derek Shelton keep his job?
  • When Cliff Lee returns to reality, what will that look like?
  • Which teams are really in the AL Central race, anyway?
  • Just how bad will the game have to be going before we see Mastny or Breslow again, and how bad will they be after a 15-day layoff?
  • Too soon to write Laffey's name into our starting rotation plans, 2009-2013?
  • Can Betancourt regain anything remotely resembling his 2007 dominance for any amount of time, or will he scuffle back-and-forth all season as he did in 2006?
  • Is Jensen Lewis back on track, sort of?
  • How many relievers would have to be failing completely for Adam Miller to get the call to the big-league bullpen?  Do we even want to see him there?
  • Could Sowers be on the block soon?
  • Could the Indians really consider Marte more or less expendable and Blake more or less untouchable?
  • Really?

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This is the first time I’ve played this game…

Can the starters walk on water long enough for the lineup to regroup and win a few games?
Yes…at least ‘wade’ in the water long enough…

Is there something fundamentally wrong with the organizational approach to hitting, and how long can Derek Shelton keep his job?
No…we’ve just got a lot of bad mojo floating around. Shelton’s got 4 weeks (June 1) before he gets the J-Mike treatment (even if, like Michaels, it’s not his fault)

When Cliff Lee returns to reality, what will that look like?
A good, above average pitcher who vascilates between great and mediocre depending on his control from start to start

Which teams are really in the AL Central race, anyway?
All of them.

Just how bad will the game have to be going before we see Mastny or Breslow again, and how bad will they be after a 15-day layoff?
Dogs and cats and cats playing togeter…mass hysteria!

Too soon to write Laffey’s name into our starting rotation plans, 2009-2013?
No. But TINSTAAPP…and 5 years in the future for a small-mid market team is a long time.

Can Betancourt regain anything remotely resembling his 2007 dominance for any amount of time, or will he scuffle back-and-forth all season as he did in 2006?
Yes…but not for an entire season the way he did last year.

Is Jensen Lewis back on track, sort of?
I hope so….although I’m holding out for an increase in velocity to say for sure.

How many relievers would have to be failing completely for Adam Miller to get the call to the big-league bullpen?
Not as many as we might think. Were one of last year’s surprises (Perez/Jensen) and one of the expecteds (Betancourt/Borowski) to do down, AND Miller was doing well in Buffalo…I think we could see him before July.

Do we even want to see him there?
If he’s doing well in Buffalo, why not?

Could Sowers be on the block soon?
Isn’t everyone not named Sizemore, Martinez, Carmona or Cabrera?

Could the Indians really consider Marte more or less expendable and Blake more or less untouchable?
No. Please for the love of all things holy and good…no.

Really?
no

by APV on May 6, 2008 2:06 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Jay, I think you are on the right track here with your Sowers question. At some point, Shap will need to deal some pitching depth to pick up a bat. I need to look more closely at what would even be available, but I think Shap is watching the on field product and is finally getting pushed to the point where he will look to make an impact trade.

by Roger Dorn on May 6, 2008 2:07 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Possibly, but a lesson I learned from last year is that the degree to which pitching depth is a luxury is inversely proportionate to payroll: That is, the less cash you’ve got, the more arms you need, since you’re working with lesser means to seek replacements on the market. I also feel, perhaps incorrectly, as though that may be more true of the Indians, who don’t have much in the way of position-player talent; in other words, since it’s a safe bet our handful of legitimate position-player prospects aren’t going anywhere, that only increases the need for the Tribe to have its own pitching.

I guess what I’m saying is, sign Bonds, and consequences be damned.

by fleerdon on May 6, 2008 2:28 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Sowers becomes a necessity next year when Byrd and Sabathia are gone. So I don’t see him being traded, unless it is part of a deal to fill a long term hole. Besides 3B, there are no easy upgrades, and with Hodges doing well, starting pitching is more of a long term need than 3B.

by oxforddave on May 6, 2008 5:07 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Miller had another rocky outing the other day. I think he’s still a way from being ready to help out.

Given that, I say they keep Sowers. With Westbrook hurt, he’s one injury away from being the fifth starter and he’s the only real option who’s ready.

i also think they won’t trade Sowers because of what Shapiro said yesterday—making a trade makes sense ONLY if several of the hitters come around. If that happens, however, the team’s need to make a trade will be really reduced, since the problem IS the hitting. Under those circumstances, I doubt they’d trade one of their most attractive “extra” players unless someone made them a really attractive offer.

I still think it’s going to be Detroit or Cleveland, but Minnesota does make me just a little nervous, improbably.

by peter m on May 6, 2008 2:07 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Radical suggestion, why not go with an eleven man pitching staff?

by ClarkM on May 6, 2008 2:29 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Kind of like pulling the goalie and putting in a stiff, no? If you can’t replace your 12th pitcher with a guy who can rake, why put the strain on the rest of your staff? You might be underestimating the innings workload: We’ve had a lot of good starts lately, and we’ve been at home.

by fleerdon on May 6, 2008 2:35 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

The extra position guy doesn’t neccessarily have to be a masher to add a benefit. For example, when Choo becomes healthy, he could give us an extra lefty off the bench, who could not only start in right against righties, but could pinch hit late in games. He could be a defensive replacement, he could pinch run. The downside is that it will supposedly tax the bullpen too much. Wedge has never used his 6th and 7th bullpen members an extraordinary amount and that’s because he comes from the Joe Torre School of Bullpen Management and also because we have good starters. I can’t believe there would be any significant change in Wedge’s bullpen management if he only had 6 starters. Also, what does us having played games at home have anything to do with it? On the road is where you are less likely to use your bullpen more because no bottom of the 9th when you are losing.

by ClarkM on May 6, 2008 3:23 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

He may not use his 6th and 7th pen guys much, but it’s not like he goes deep into the bench for hitters either. Seems to me like we don’t have enough ABs to go around as it is. I think Wedge will be fine with a 21 man roster.

by dgcambridge on May 6, 2008 3:44 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

You know, that sure FELT a lot worse than a 2-3 week. Thank god for off days & rainouts.

Despite all of my best intentions, I have not, in fact, grown up to be a debaser.

by zempf on May 6, 2008 2:30 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

I had the same thought.

by Jay on May 6, 2008 2:33 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Yeah, I think because the extra inning win felt almost like a loss. And every run seems to be such hard work.

By the way Jay, I think there’s a mistake in our “scoring” record. Or does it mean something other than our expected record based on runs scored?

by dgcambridge on May 6, 2008 5:47 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

It means, simply, runs scored and runs allowed for the week.

by Jay on May 6, 2008 6:02 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

my mood meter is at like .72

Sizemore-Shapiro 2008. The Official Red Bull of Let's Go Tribe Game Threads.

by Gradyforpresident on May 6, 2008 2:31 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

same here. I thought “2-3 … could that be true?”

The Disabled List just called ... it was trying to unload Joe Borowski. I offered a bagel but balked at giving up a ham sandwich. It wanted to keep Westbrook.

by westbrook on May 6, 2008 4:03 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

whoops – that should have been a reply to the post above yours.

The Disabled List just called ... it was trying to unload Joe Borowski. I offered a bagel but balked at giving up a ham sandwich. It wanted to keep Westbrook.

by westbrook on May 6, 2008 4:03 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Please don’t throw anything too heavy at me, but… Trade Sabathia for bat? With Fausto, Westbrook, Lee, Byrd, Laffy and Sowers all looking like MLB quality starters… Berkman? I’m just sayin’...

by gte619n on May 6, 2008 2:34 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Oh, and I would prefer to Sign Bonds before doing this.

by gte619n on May 6, 2008 2:34 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

You know I’m thinking the same thing. CC for a corner OF is a good idea, what with Westbrook coming back and Laffey lookin’ awful strong. He’s gone next year anyway – he better be at least, since there’s no way in hell we can afford him – and I think we’ve been fine with him as the pitcher with the highest ERA in baseball. Surely Laffey can match that.

On a related note: how do you rank our pitchers now? You know, who’s the number one starter, 2, 3 4 etc.

"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on May 8, 2008 7:03 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Lee’s obviously been the best pitcher (although Westbrook was awfully good too). But, who would you start in game 1 of a playoff series? I think it’s probably still CC, despite his initial struggles. He’s still the veteran guy with the best track record (and he seems to be back to pitching well again). Right now I’d say Byrd is the 5 (he’s pitched well, but he’s the guy they’re most likely to skip if they have to juggle the rotation, I suspect), Carmona the 4 (his control is worrisome), and Lee/Westbrook are 2 and 3. In a short series, I think Lee and Westbrook would get the call after CC. Whether Carmona pitched a game 4 might depend on how the first 3 went, days off, etc.

by peter m on May 8, 2008 8:31 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Jay, a couple of comments.

One, if it was the week (7days) that was, it really should include the Yankee loss on Monday as well. But if you are only commenting on the last two series it should be Mariners (L, W, W) and Royals (rainout, L, L) not (W, L) and (W, L, L).

Also, can we change “Who ate it” to “Who Bled it” so it rhymes with “Who Fed it”?

Can the starters walk on water long enough for the lineup to regroup and win a few games? Yes, I think they can.

When Cliff Lee returns to reality, what will that look like? I think he’ll be a better version of 2005, not 2007 and not this dominant, but imagine if he does, we’ll have the best rotation in the majors, hands down.

Which teams are really in the AL Central race, anyway? Us, Detroit, and whichever of the other three goes on the first hot streak.

Too soon to write Laffey’s name into our starting rotation plans, 2009-2013? Nope, he gots my vote to take a spot when both CC and Byrd vacate this offseason.

by talonk on May 6, 2008 2:41 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

I think Jay is channeling Mike Celizic with the Fed/Ate thing.

You know Selig? Ombudsman.

by rolub on May 6, 2008 2:52 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

I think I got it from Dennis Miller’s old show, but I’m not sure, and who knows where he got it.

by Jay on May 6, 2008 6:09 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

The report covers the dates listed, starting Tuesday, April 29. All four Yankees games were covered in the last one.

I decided at the outset to always keep whole series together. There are (I think) only three series that end on a Monday, and many Mondays are off-days. This will result in one “weekly” report that has eight days and eight games, June 2-9, but other than that (and the All-Star break), all of them should have 6-7 scheduled games.

by Jay on May 6, 2008 6:07 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Sounds fine to me … was just being picky. But you really should fix the Mariners to Loss, Win, Win and the Royals to Loss, Loss or Rainout, Loss, Loss. Just for accuracy’s sake ;)

by talonk on May 6, 2008 6:33 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Ah, yes, well, that was just a mistake.

by Jay on May 6, 2008 6:43 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Tis ok, Jay, you can’t be perfect all the time ;)

by talonk on May 6, 2008 6:45 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Eddie Murray was replaced by Derek Shelton on June 4, 2005, when the Indians were 25-29, and 11.5 games behind the White Sox and 7 games behind the Twins, which held the wild card position at the time.

Over the rest of the season, the Indians went 68-40 (.630), the best in the AL, but the ultimate post-season teams all played .579 or better over the same stretch, well enough to keep the Indians out.

by palcal on May 6, 2008 3:13 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

POTW nominee, from Sunday’s GT:


Betancourt is taking the title of "Indians Closer" too seriously.

by DaytonDogg on May 4, 2008 3:37 PM EDT

by NickFantana on May 6, 2008 3:18 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

thanks for the nominee Nick

by DaytonDogg on May 6, 2008 4:20 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Mosesness of Starters: Considering that they may need to wait 2 months for the bats to wake up, I say there’s a good chance they don’t.

Hitting/Shelton: Yes … I think if this keeps up for another 3-4 weeks, he has to be gone.

Cliff: I don’t know … a poor man’s Cole Hamels?

Central Race: Your guess is as good as mine.

Bres/Mast: Bad enough that one of them could have been sent to AAA and Michaels could have pitched in his spot.

Laffey: If Adam Miller is a complete beast, then it is too early. If not, it itsn’t.

Betan: Won’t be as good as last year. I’d be happy if he can keep his ERA in the 2-3 range.

Jensen on track? YEs.

Miller: None. I think he’s coming regardless. And this is good.

Sowers on block? Not unless we continue to suck for the periods in ?s 1 and 2.

HIRE BLAKE, FIRE MARTE – Yes, somehow.

Really? – Yes, indeed.

The Disabled List just called ... it was trying to unload Joe Borowski. I offered a bagel but balked at giving up a ham sandwich. It wanted to keep Westbrook.

by westbrook on May 6, 2008 3:58 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Not to be picky, but I think Moses parted water, while Jesus walked on water

by Roger Dorn on May 6, 2008 4:44 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

oops I guess you’re right.

The Disabled List just called ... it was trying to unload Joe Borowski. I offered a bagel but balked at giving up a ham sandwich. It wanted to keep Westbrook.

by westbrook on May 6, 2008 6:16 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

I really think at some point we need to call Miller up and put him in the bullpen. AAA doesn’t seem to be doing anything for him .. and god knows when the next injury is going to happen. Another injury at this point in his career without any solid MLB stats to his credit will severely hamper any kind of value he possesses.

by Toxicadam on May 6, 2008 4:38 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

I can’t stop looking at the mugshot.

by gte619n on May 6, 2008 5:28 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Avatar of the Week!

by SuddenSam on May 6, 2008 5:48 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

... how did we win eight …

by gte619n on May 6, 2008 5:38 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

it’s a miracle

by macasson on May 6, 2008 6:47 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

It’s a miracle.

by Jay on May 6, 2008 9:21 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

tonight, Francisco in LF batting 8th, Marte at 3B batting 9th

by palcal on May 6, 2008 6:06 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

also Carroll at 2B batting 2nd

a mini shake-up

by palcal on May 6, 2008 6:07 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Desperation lineup, but if this lineup hits like it should, we could end up with these 9 guys playing against every lefty for the rest of the year.

The Disabled List just called ... it was trying to unload Joe Borowski. I offered a bagel but balked at giving up a ham sandwich. It wanted to keep Westbrook.

by westbrook on May 6, 2008 6:19 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Desperation, but only because of what we think we know about Wedge. I can’t come up with any reason to think this lineup won’t be as productive as any other we could construct at this moment.

by Jay on May 6, 2008 6:23 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

P.S. NPR said it was George Clooney’s birthday yesterday (Tuesday). Forgot to mention it. Perhaps the weird line up (and the win) were a gift for George/Jay?

by peter m on May 7, 2008 11:27 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs


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