Blanton to Phillies
The Athletics get second baseman Adrian Cardenas, pitcher Josh Outman and outfielder Matthew Spencer, all minor leaguers.
11 months ago
bogey021
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I don’t know if the A’s are going to be any good in 2010, but if they’re bad, it won’t be for a lack of minor leaguers.
by fleerdon on
Jul 17, 2008 8:40 PM EDT
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Billy Beane is putting on an absolute clinic right now. Ridiculous.
by Joe. on
Jul 17, 2008 9:06 PM EDT
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hard for me to say that when they’re in contention still – THIS year.
Dear Mr. Sabean, I hear you have a reputation of being stupid. Want to deal Lincecum or Cain? You can pick THREE of these 4 players for either: Borowski, Dellucci, Blake, Byrd.
by westbrook on
Jul 17, 2008 9:51 PM EDT
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What does that have to do with anything though?
by Joe. on
Jul 17, 2008 9:53 PM EDT
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it’s just about being realistic. 90 games is a lot, but the next 70 games can and will change things. teams fade. can joey devine (1.23ERA in 22IP), ben zeigler (0R in 20.2IP), and andrew brown (2.30 in 31IP) really keep it up?
will duke still be this good? will eveland and smith continue to post sub 3.50ERAs?
soooooo much has gone right there. and with their lack of hitting, it’s going to collapse.
by xrickx on
Jul 17, 2008 9:56 PM EDT
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What Beane knows is that Blanton won’t be a difference-maker for them. They may collapse, they may not, but it won’t be because of Blanton.
by Jay on
Jul 17, 2008 11:25 PM EDT
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And, Blanton hasn’t been all that great this year; they got a pretty good return for him from the Phillies, which might not have happened had they waited until he completed the year.
by peter m on
Jul 18, 2008 11:52 AM EDT
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the scary thing about oakland right now is that they started the year with a payroll of $48M.
they’ve traded blanton ($3.7M this year, arb eligible) and harden ($4.5M this year, $7M club option for next year).
they are set to lose ellis ($5M)
crosby is the only contract guy who’ll really see a big raise next year, just under a $2M increase. of course they’ll have arb eligibles in other places. but they could move houston street still too.
that team will be good next year for about $40-45M if they dont add any significant pieces.
by xrickx on
Jul 17, 2008 10:03 PM EDT
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I hate Beane/Oakland A’s. First, they are pulling a huge fraud, somehow convincing everyone that Oakland is a small market. There is no way that a baseball team in the Bay area should have one of the lowest payrolls. Second, what has Beane done? It is a results oriented question, but really- they have won 4 Division titles in a 4 team division like 12 years under Beane… woohoo. It is great to have young guys under control for 7 years, but if you sell them after 4 years every time, have you really done anyone anything? He is smart, he has made some phenomenal deals, but I think he is terribly overrated. I’m sick of smart baseball fans and writers treating him as some kind of super genius.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 18, 2008 11:02 AM EDT
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Thank you for speaking sense about Billy Beane: a very smart guy who hasn’t won anything.
by peter m on
Jul 18, 2008 11:49 AM EDT
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You obviously have Billy Beane confused with the owners of the A’s. Which is an easy mistake to make if you’re not paying attention at all. Whether Oakland should be a big market or not has absolutely nothing to do with Beane. Do you really think Beane didn’t want to keep Giambi or Tejada or Damon or Dye or Hudson?
I don’t know what you mean by overrated, but he has done more with less than anyone in baseball, with Oakland making the playoffs 5 of the last 9 years (I don’t know why you wouldn’t count a wild card appearnace when they won 102 games) on a shoestring budget. Beane cannot be blamed for Jeremy Giambi forgetting to slide, or Tejada forgetting to touch home plate, or Tim Hudson getting in a bar fight the night before he was supposed to start a playoff game.
So no, it’s not a results oriented question when it’s not a level playing field. If you tell a guy he can only bring a knife to a gunfight, and he kills everyone except the two guys who have unlimted bullets (Yankees and Red Sox), he deserves all the accolades he gets.
by Fredward on
Jul 18, 2008 1:13 PM EDT
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Oakland has won more regular season games since the year 2000 than any American League team not named “Yankees.”
by Peter Bendix on
Jul 18, 2008 1:16 PM EDT
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Haha, love the gunfight analogy. Reminds me of playing Goldeneye with invincibility turned on and killing all the enemies with just the hunting knife.
Burn on, big river, burn on...
by Turkmenbashi on
Jul 18, 2008 1:59 PM EDT
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The problem with the argument about beating everyone except the Red Sox and Yankees is that it’s not right. Beane HAS NOT beaten up all the other teams. Since he became GM in 1997, the A’s have made the ALCS once (in 2006, losing in 4 straight). In that time, I count 7 other teams that have made the ALCS BESIDES the Yanks and Sox, including Cleveland three times, Anaheim/LA twice, and Seattle twice. Beane’s a really good GM, but he’s not the only guy who’s managed to succeed in a Yankees/Red Sox world—he HAS done it on a tighter budget than most.
Peter B is right that the A’s have won a lot of games under Beane’s regime, and Beane deserves every bit of credit he gets for putting a competitive team on the field with limited resources. But the point isn’t to win lots of games; it’s to win championships. By that measure, he’s not so special. Perhaps there’s nothing he could have done, given his resources and given bad luck. But, I can understand why A’s fans might be less than satisfied with what has become a very skillful, but continuous rebuilding effort.
by peter m on
Jul 18, 2008 2:12 PM EDT
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The statistics can be used any way you want – I think counting 1997 and 1998 as “Beane failure years” is unfair, as he was just starting off, including trading McGwire in 1997. But here’s what we do know:
In his first 2 years he built a team from scratch by trading established players and drafting for talent that he was evaluating in a manner unlike any other GM. It resulted in a great run 7 year run, where the A’s consistently presented as one of the best teams in baseball with one of the lowest payroll. Sure, over that time period other teams had one-year runs that resulted in championships or ALCS appearances, but none did more with less than Beane. He succeeded in spite of ownership. (Also, it was the Yankees and Red Sox who beat the A’s 3 of the 5 times they were in the playoffs during that period, so that was the competition.)
Now the talent again priced out and he’s starting over. Again, with the way the A’s ownership group runs things, we don’t know that Beane wan’t told “get rid of these guys”, we want a winner in 2010-2011 in the new ballpark. If A’s fans are less than satisfied, it’s with ownership, as it should be.
Not having a WS championship under his belt doesn’t make Beane any less impressive of a GM. He remains one of the very best at evaluating and obtaining cheap but talented players, which is really all you could ever ask of any GM who happens to have a budget – which is most all of them. If that isn’t the standard, then let’s just anoint Theo Epstein and Brian Cashman as the greatest GMs of all time.
by Fredward on
Jul 18, 2008 3:37 PM EDT
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Eliminating 1997 and 1998 would reduce the number of non-Yankee/Red Sox teams in the ALCS to 6 and would reduce the Indians total from 3 to 1. The point, I think, remains.
I’m not arguing that Beane is a bad GM. He’s very good, clearly. He’s particularly good at evaluating and obtaining cheap talent, as you say. I’m not sure I agree, though, that that’s “all you could ever ask of any GM who happens to have a budget”—I wouldn’t accept that from Shapiro and I would ask questions about when it’s time to go for it (more below). Beane may very well be right in this case. And, yes, it’s hard to win with a small budget. But, Beane is held up as the model of how a small market GM can succeed. Until he ACTUALLY succeeds, I think we can legitimately ask if he is, in fact, the model.
by peter m on
Jul 18, 2008 4:32 PM EDT
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It’s ridiculous to say Beane hasn’t succeeded. What is the standard here? Only WS titles?
Beane has had less money to work with than 25-28 other teams and has won more games than 25-28 other teams. Is it the pinnacle of success? No. Is it success? Yes, obviously it is success.
by Jay on
Jul 18, 2008 8:16 PM EDT
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Let’s see, who has even less money to work with than the Oakland GM? Oh yeah, the Marlins! If we wanna win a WS, they’re the model we should be emulating – not the A’s.
Resident LGT beer kinda sewer
by mauichuck on
Jul 18, 2008 9:54 PM EDT
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Why? Because of one WS? 1997 doesn’t count.
by Joe. on
Jul 18, 2008 10:01 PM EDT
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They all count, dude.
Resident LGT beer kinda sewer
by mauichuck on
Jul 18, 2008 10:04 PM EDT
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Aren’t we talking about emulation? If we are, then there’s no point in talking about 1997.
by Joe. on
Jul 18, 2008 10:09 PM EDT
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Billy Beane is not the one who makes Oakland have a small payroll… that is fair. So, my criticism there is more directed to the ownership groups and other executives and front office personnel who have utterly failed to take advantage of a big resource that many other teams do not have: 7 million people in the immediate market. Even considering they share that market with the Giants does not excuse this failure of the organization. Maybe Beane’s role in this is minimal, but I think its difficult to isolate a GM completely from the marketing and revenue strategy of a team.
I would consider the wild card team a playoff team, I said he won 4 division titles in the 12 years he has been there. That is still true. I find that even less impressive since they only have 3 other teams in their division- something that is discussed less than it should be, I think. Playoff baseball is a weird thing. Small sample sizes etc., and Beane certainly follows the theory of get in and see what happens. That’s fine.
My problem with Beane is not that he didn’t keep Giambi, Tejada or Hudson. My problem is selling on Harden, Gaudin, and Blanton in mid-July of a season whcih they are still very much in. It is trading those guys who would be cheap for years to come. Maybe they were good moves, for value sake, maybe they weren’t. But let’s say Beane was the GM of the 2007 Indians and he traded CC in July. Maybe he would have traded him in 06.
Perhaps that is a good strategy; and I don’t mind calling him a good GM. I just get sick of the unrestrained praise for every move he makes as if he is some infallible baseball god.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 18, 2008 2:30 PM EDT
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I don’t think the GM has any input into marketing, ticket sales, etc. Nor should he.
Beane must’ve assessed his team and figured that either they were overperforming or he could make these moves without hurting his 2008 team. I think both are true: Dana Eveland and Greg Smith are unlikely to be this good during the rest of the year, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sean Marshall and Dallas Braden/Gio Gonzalez approximate the performance of Blanton/Harden (and that’s assuming a healthy Harden).
I don’t think Billy Beane is an infallible baseball god (how’s that Tim Hudson deal look now?), but he’s been right a heck of a lot more often than he’s been wrong.
And there were a lot of articles I read questioning the Harden trade from Beane’s end. Even optimistic articles tended to say “Beane might’ve been right to deal Harden, but couldn’t he have gotten more?”
by Peter Bendix on
Jul 18, 2008 2:49 PM EDT
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This could become a self-fulfilling prophecy though. Beane trades away some of his talented players because he thinks the team is overachieving and then they do indeed come back to earth. But we will never know if they would have come back to earth keeping those players.
The winning scenario for Beane is still making the playoffs and then we can move forward lauding these moves
by Roger Dorn on
Jul 18, 2008 3:53 PM EDT
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I think Beane made the following calculation: a. Harden is often hurt, so we can’t count on him this year or in the future. Sell high. b. Blanton is a solid, but not great pitcher, who’s not pitching all that well this year. If I get an offer, sell. In each case, he made a very justifiable, possibly wise decision.
What he did NOT do is go for it. Maybe he thinks his team isn’t good enough, but there was some speculation, earlier in the year, that he might even be a buyer in this market, maybe even renting someone like Sabathia or trying to get a hitter to bolster his offense. You can be certain that if Cleveland were in the position the A’s are/were in, the fan base would be clamoring to do just that and would be furious if the team turned around and traded two guys out of the rotation, even if there were good arguments to be made for trading them. Now, it’s entirely possible, as someone hinted, that ownership won’t ante up even for a rental and actually want to lose (or defer winning) until the team moves. And, Beane may be right in his “guess” that his team won’t make it. But compare this to what Milwaukee did. Milwaukee saw a chance and gambled on a positive outcome. Beane saw a chance and effectively gambled on a negative one.
by peter m on
Jul 18, 2008 4:20 PM EDT
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The current stadium is a dump, without high-quality luxury boxes.
The timing on the new stadium is iffy, because of all the approvals required
(2012 is probably the most optimistic now).
The Giants are using their territorial rights to keep the A’s out of San Jose which would be a much better location than Fremont economically.
Beane and the owners don’t want to waste a lot of money in the next year or two when it will be difficult to monetize it in the revenue streams.
Once the new stadium is underway, they can beef up their marketing programs.
by palcal on
Jul 18, 2008 6:20 PM EDT
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I don’t get this. does Beane decide how much money he has to work with? Is he trying to convince everyone they’re a smaller market than they truly are? And he’s not overrated, he has gone back to being incredibly underrated. When your team is over .500 and have one of the best farm systems in baseball, you are succeeding at a high level.
by Joe. on
Jul 18, 2008 9:02 PM EDT
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First, like my original post said and like I have clarified a couple times, my anger is at both Billy Beane and the A’s organization. So while it might not just be Beane that has convinced people that they are a small market team, it is the combination of writers and people who think they are a small market team just because they have a small payroll and are a poorly run organization on the non-baseball side of things.
More on point, my frustration is with baseball fans and writers who give Beane the extreme benefit of the doubt any time he makes a move. I’m not saying we should look at a move by Billy Beane the same way we would one of Bill Bavasi or Steve Phillips, but the “trust” that people have for anything Beane does is annoying. He is overrated in that he is put out as some mastermind. He is successful, yes. But so are a half dozen other GM’s that use similar strategies. There are flaws in his ways. Take this year, if they just make the playoffs, or if they get in the playoffs- I’d be pretty pissed if I was an A’s fan that I didn’t have Harden at the top of my rotation.
Again, I’m not saying he isn’t smart or isn’t good. Just that he is overrated.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 18, 2008 9:18 PM EDT
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But he isn’t. He has nothing to do with the fact that he is given a small payroll. In that sense, they are a small market team. They could be in NYC for all that it matters. If they’re not making money and the GM is given a medium to small payroll, there’s nothing he can do about it.
And don’t even mention the Cubs trade. That was some of Beane’s finest work ever. Sean Gallagher is one of the most underrated prospects in baseball. I would have traded Harden for him straight up
by Joe. on
Jul 18, 2008 9:45 PM EDT
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Yes, and again, I dislike the A’s entire organization for that, not just Beane.
And your thing on the Harden deal- this is exactly what I’m talking about. Sean Gallagher is one of the most underrated prospects in baseball? Really? Why do you say that? Is it because he put up an Aaron Laffey-esque year at AA and AAA in 2007? Baseball America had him in the 80’s going into this year. Baseball Prospectus didn’t list him in their top 100. Project Prospect listed him at 45, just under our friend Aaron Laffey before the season. He hasn’t been able to maintain a K/9 of over 9 since 2006.
I like Gallagher as much as the next guy. But, I don’t like him any more just because Billy Beane traded for him. Harden got a pull less than Sabathia. And Harden was under control for an entire season longer and the A’s also had to give up another useful piece in Gaudin. Not to mention, they are actually in the race still.
IF Gallagher turns out to be that #2-3 starter, considered his ceiling by the reports I’ve seen, great. But that isn’t going to replace Harden’s dominance in a stretch run this year.
Whatever. The dude made a couple decent trades and has built a solid team. I’d rather have Shapiro and maybe a handful of other GMs before him.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 18, 2008 10:14 PM EDT
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Laffey-esque? Not only were they better but he was a fully year younger. Age matters with prospects. I also don’t know why you referenced those rankings. If he was ranked highly and I thought he was very good, wouldn’t he be appropriately ranked? you basically laid out the reason why he’s underrated.
As for Harden, you are overrating him much more than I could ever hope to ovverate Beane. The fact that you think he should get a pull in the same stratosphere as Sabathia is truly telling. In his last four seasons in the majors, he has pitched a full season once. He has neevr broken the 200 IP mark and was injured for an extended period of time already this year. How can you compare that to a workhouse ace like Sabathia? I mean I don’t even think it’s that far fetched that Sabathia as a Brewer will accrue more innings pitched than Harden will in his tenure as a Cub (assuming neither re-signs).
As for who I would rather take over Beane? I’d say Shapiro is the only one you could really make an argument for and even then, you would not go wrong by picking Beane.
by Joe. on
Jul 18, 2008 10:27 PM EDT
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Laffey 2007:
AA – 2.31 ERA, 35 IP, 24 Ks, 7 BBs, 1.03 WHIP
AAA- 3.08 ERA, 96.1 IP, 75 Ks, 23 BBs, 1.16 WHIP
MLB- 4.56 ERA, 49.1 IP, 25 Ks, 12 BBs, 1.34 WHIP
Gallagher 2007:
AA- 3.39 ERA, 61 IP, 54 Ks, 24 BBs, 1.28 WHIP
AAA- 2.66 ERA, 40.2 IP, 37 Ks, 13 BBs, 1.13 WHIP
MLB- 8.59 ERA, 14.2 IP, 5 Ks, 12 BBs, 2.11 WHIP
Gallagher is 8 months younger. So, he had better K rates, but overall I like Laffey’s line more, especially doing more at the higher levels. My question is- it appears that he is rightly ranked as a pretty solid prospect…. why is he underrated? Other than your speculation?
The long term inning eating ability of sabathia and harden is not too relevant when dealing with a season and a half.
More later.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 18, 2008 11:29 PM EDT
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I like Gallagher’s line better. Being in AAA at 21 and performing very well is a big deal. It doesn’t matter that he’s actually 8 months younger not 12 months. In terms of prospect evaluation, he is a year younger.
As for Harden and Sabathia, forget the long term: the last two years Harden has barely even been able to pitch in the second half. This time last year people were talking about Beane wasn’t going to be able to get anything in a deal for him. He waited for Harden to put a decent string of starts together and dealt him promptly. A truly wise move.
by Joe. on
Jul 18, 2008 11:42 PM EDT
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The difference of months is significant in prospect evaluation, it’s just not profoundly significant.
Two guys who are a day apart in age can appear to be a year apart with simplified age-year breakdowns. The average “age-21” guy was born on Jan. 1, 1987, but especially for players aged 20-23, it’s worth distinguishing between July 1 and the following June 30 when thinking about how they’re doing for their season-age. And it definitely is worth noticing the real age difference between two players when comparing them.
DD’s problem with Harden seems to be similar to the Peralta discussion. It’s one thing to have a feel for (or a disagreement about) how good a player is, but understanding a player’s value as an asset is much more complex than understanding how good a player is. The discussion over whether Gallagher is better than Laffey is trivial in a sense — they are assets of fairly similar value, and what’s more interesting is that either player would be swapped for Harden.
by Jay on
Jul 19, 2008 12:57 PM EDT
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well, the value as an asset in the abstract is one thing. But the value in the context of a specific team in a specific situation is what is operative here. Sabathia had significantly more value to Milwaukee than he did to Cleveland this year. The Indians cashed in on this.
The Cubs might have a better shot at winning in 08 (and 09) than the A’s, but the difference is much finer. If the A’s were 12 games back, I wouldn’t be questioning the move at all- I’d say it was a fair “seller” type move that Beane has been relatively good at as a GM. As it is, I think it is an interesting, slightly questionable move. And I have the feeling that if the same move was made by another GM in the same situation, there would be much more skepticism.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 20, 2008 3:40 PM EDT
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Sabathia had significantly more value to Milwaukee than he did to Cleveland this year.
Right. Any time a player’s value on the trade market begins to significantly exceed his value to his current roster, trades should be getting explored. The trade market value is set by the team on whose roster that player would be the most valuable.
I think, in general, you are dramatically overrating Harden’s value as a team asset. He isn’t a lock to win five games while under contract, and there’s little chance that he’ll win 15.
by Jay on
Jul 20, 2008 10:20 PM EDT
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I may be overvaluing Harden. But, he has been damn good when healthy, I mean his rate stats are great. I guess I don’t know how much to put into the past injuries. He seems to be 100% healthy now. And with pitchers there is always the possibility of a season-threatening issue.
I realize that he has been hurt in the past, frequently and seriously. But, I think its hard to know just how much to discount his value.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 21, 2008 10:35 AM EDT
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I can’t quantify the discount, but the likelihood of him getting a lot of starts for the remainder of 2008 is not that high. Here are his second-half starts since 2004, his first full year in the bigs: 15, 8, 3, 0. Maybe he got his trip to the DL out of the way early this year, but maybe he’s just fragile and/or unlucky.
by FredOx on
Jul 21, 2008 11:07 AM EDT
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I agree, it is hard to know just how much to discount his value, but that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t discount it at all!
Read about the injury, check out his past track record for making starts without getting injured again … and pick a number. A whole lot of good estimating gets done based on just being willing to make your best guess, which at least will put you in the ballpark, or at least in a ballpark nearby the right ballpark.
by Jay on
Jul 21, 2008 4:38 PM EDT
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You might pick another good pitcher under contract for a few years who hasn’t been injured and think about what other teams were willing to pay. Haren? Colon? I’m not inspired enough to track down perfect examples, but I think any remotely comparable transaction with a healthier pitcher would have yielded a more tantalizing return.
I read an interesting comment in the THT trade recap, one I don’t know if I agree with, but I’ll throw it out there: “In Beane’s mind, the trade may have been Gaudin for prospects.”
by fleerdon on
Jul 21, 2008 6:16 PM EDT
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If you would even consider taking Shapiro over Beane, you’re overrating Shapiro.
Resident LGT beer kinda sewer
by mauichuck on
Jul 19, 2008 9:49 AM EDT
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I’d take Shapiro over Beane without blinking.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 20, 2008 3:41 PM EDT
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Then you’d be choosing with your heart and not your head.
Resident LGT beer kinda sewer
by mauichuck on
Jul 20, 2008 3:58 PM EDT
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Don’t foreget that in 2005 Beane bacame the first GM to hold an ownership position in a ML team.
by palcal on
Jul 19, 2008 1:53 PM EDT
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I did forget that (assuming I ever knew it). Although, that is not really saying a ton, seeing how there have been plenty of owners that have taken GM roles/duties to different degrees in baseball for years.
Still, that pretty much kills the argument that Beane has nothing to do with how the team spends money, markets itself, creates revenue, etc.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 20, 2008 3:43 PM EDT
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No, it doesn’t. He has a small ownership stake, not a controlling share, and those things are not within his job description. “Nothing to do” with those things, maybe that’s not true, but it’s also a false threshold test.
by Jay on
Jul 20, 2008 10:21 PM EDT
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If anyone cares: Cardenas is a top prospect, Outman an ok one, and the other dude is worthless.
by Joe. on
Jul 17, 2008 9:19 PM EDT
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To put Cardenas in perspective of some oft-mentioned names here, since they’re all in the 2008 Florida State League numbers:
Adrian Cardenas (Age 20)
.309 BA / .374 OBP / .444 SLG / .818 OPS
Taylor Green (Age 21)
.288 BA / .370 OBP / .421 SLG / .791 OPS
Matthew LuCroy (Age 22)
.319 BA / .374 OBP / .500 SLG / .874 OPS
Where is the line sitting currently for the PTBNL?
by The DiaTriber on
Jul 18, 2008 9:51 AM EDT
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Well, now the Phillies are out of chip. Singular.
I know they may as well have pulled the trigger, because they need massively retooled anyway, but it’s not always going to be sunny in Philadelphia with a system that barren.
by fleerdon on
Jul 18, 2008 9:53 AM EDT
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we mostly rec funny stuff, but this is a great post.
by Brick. on
Jul 18, 2008 9:55 AM EDT
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I’m beginning to prefer .312 BA / .407 OBP / .412 SLG / .819 OPS at age 21 in the Southern League. Plus more SB than SO.
by FredOx on
Jul 18, 2008 10:05 AM EDT
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This is a good move for the Indians. The Phillies were an unlikely destination for Byrd, with their homer-friendly ballpark, so this trade takes another starter off the market without taking away a key trading partner.
by Jay on
Jul 17, 2008 9:28 PM EDT
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Who are Byrd’s suitors?
I think St. Louis makes the most sense. Florida could make sense if they hang in there. Texas is only 6 back of the Wild Card, but Byrd in that stadium is scary. Detroit is actually a great fit. If Chan-Ho Park wasn’t rediscovering himself in LA, Byrd would be nice.
I hope Burnett ends up in the hands of an aggressive team rather quickly (Cards?) so the rest can fight over Byrd, Randy Wolf, and maybe Odalis Perez if the Nat’s decide they’re trading him.
by xrickx on
Jul 17, 2008 9:52 PM EDT
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Oh. The Yankees could make sense too. They know Paul Byrd quite well from last year. I don’t think Darrel Rasner and Sidey Ponson are to be trusted.
by xrickx on
Jul 17, 2008 9:57 PM EDT
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I don’t see the Yankee trading for Byrd with Alan Horne in their minors. Although if they don’t trust him, I wouldn’t mind a swap of those two pitchers at all. I think that’s the best we could fetch for him or Blake to be honest.
by Joe. on
Jul 17, 2008 10:01 PM EDT
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Horne’s had a bicep injury that knocked him out for quite a while this year. In his last start on June 29, he came out in the first inning and is back on the DL.
He’s a fair pitching prospect. It’s a shame CLE couldn’t sign him when they drafted him, but there’s no guarantee he’d have turned out this way. And Horne is a FINE return for Paul Byrd. It keeps you from paying Sindey Ponson $1M dollars to see what’s left in the tank, and, unlike Matt Ginter, Horne might make a career out of an opportunity.
And just knowing how the Yankees operate, I don’t see them going down the stretch unprotected. If Horne can come back later and contribute, fine…discard Byrd or Ponson. But right now, Horne’s no guarantee to help, and if you sit idle counting on him you end up leaving yourself exposed to a big letdown.
by xrickx on
Jul 17, 2008 10:10 PM EDT
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I can’t see them hording Horne when they haven’t had to give up Justin, Kennedy or Hughes. That’s not to say we can get him, but we might.
by Jay on
Jul 17, 2008 11:28 PM EDT
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http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/psplit.cgi?n1=blantjo01&year=00
Blanton’s Home/Away splits are pretty interesting. He is allowing almost a full run more on the road (near 5.00 ERA). Teams are batting 30 points higher against him on the road. Not sure how that will translate in Philly’s park.
I absolutely love that Cardenas. But he is a FULL two years away. 2011 A’s should be a fun team to watch.
by Toxicadam on
Jul 18, 2008 4:33 AM EDT
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Forget 2011. That team’s going to be unstoppable starting in 2010. It’s like the TrailBlazers in the NBA. You see what they’re doing and what team they’re on the cusp of being, and you almost want to cry out that it’s unfair.
by Joe. on
Jul 18, 2008 10:11 AM EDT
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Yeah right – the TrailBlazers.
Here’s a comp for you: Greg Oden = Sam Bowie
Resident LGT beer kinda sewer
by mauichuck on
Jul 18, 2008 10:03 PM EDT
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That’s a pretty harsh assessment of a guy who has yet to play an NBA game.
by Buckeye Brad on
Jul 19, 2008 11:02 AM EDT
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If he does it won’t be for long. Big guys with stress Fx early in their careers often have more stress Fx – like Walton and Bowie. The lone exception I can think of is Zydrunas Ilgauskas.
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by mauichuck on
Jul 19, 2008 11:55 AM EDT
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I don’t remember the specifics of his original injury, but Oden had microfracture surgery. That used to be a career altering if not ending procedure (Jamal Mashburn, Penny Hardaway, Chris Webber), but it seems like guys are coming back from it with more success lately (Zach Randolph and especially Amare Staudamire).
Regardless, the Blazers were solid last year without Oden, they had another productive off season acquiring young talent. Even in the brutal Western Conference, I’d call them a playoff team this year, even if he never plays for them.
by DaytonDogg on
Jul 20, 2008 3:56 PM EDT
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I’ll admit that SI is not the best source for medical news but here it is. The salient point is the first sentence:
The stunning news that Greg Oden will probably miss his rookie season after being diagnosed Thursday with a microfracture knee injury raises a number of questions for him and the Blazers
Originally I read it as you did: micro-fracture surgery to treat a degenerative cartlidge condition. Oden’s previous injury was described as a ligament injury – there was no mention of cartlidge damage let alone degenerative cartlidge. After reading the SI piece I’m a bit confused. But a 19 yo, 7 ft tall guy with two orthopeadic procedures (don’t forget his wrist surgery) in his chart is not a good injury risk – I don’t give a damn how they try to spin it.
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by mauichuck on
Jul 20, 2008 4:09 PM EDT
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So would he be rated like worse than a red traffic light? Maybe a train crossing? Or maybe just a big DO NOT ENTER sign.
by supermarioelia on
Jul 20, 2008 6:39 PM EDT
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I sure as hell won’t wager millions of dollars on him for whatever reason – but then again I thought Big Z was toast 10 years ago.
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by mauichuck on
Jul 21, 2008 7:16 AM EDT
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ERA+ takes ballparks into consideration, of course, and Blanton’s is 77 (thus exactly the same as Paul Byrd). The current Phillies rotation doesn’t show any clear trend for ERA splits:
Hamels 2.79 home / 3.72 road
Eaton 6.85 home / 4.81 road
Kendrick 4.69 home / 4.29 road
Moyer 4.70 home / 3.13 road
Myers 3.81 home / 8.18 road
by FredOx on
Jul 18, 2008 10:14 AM EDT
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