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Grady Sizemore Query

Hello again. Just your friendly neighborhood muppet dropping by for another chat. The folks over at AthleticsNation have been talking a lot about the A's offense (or lack thereof as the case most certainly be) and various names have been bandied back and forth as possible targets to acquire. One of the more prominent personalities on AN brought up your very own Ryan Garko and that got me thinking about your roster.

So, what would it take to pry Grady Sizemore out of Cleveland's line-up?

Yeah, I know. Spare me the cries that the Indians would never trade Grady. You're telling me the Tribe faithful would be happy if the Front Office turned down a Sizemore trade that could make the franchise better? No one is untouchable... anyone can get traded. Hell, even guys who have full no-trade protection can get traded!

A-Rod got traded.

Therefore Sizemore could get traded, if a team was willing to pay the price. My question to this board is, what is that price?

I only have one stipulation: You cannot ask for someone not readily available. The players have to be in the A's organization today AND they must be eligible to be traded. So don't go asking for Inoa because MLB rules state a player must be with his signing organization for 1 year before he can be traded.

So, gun to your head... you've got to trade Sizemore to Oakland. Who do you get in return?

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Dear Mr. Sabean, I hear you have a reputation of being stupid. Want to deal Lincecum or Cain? You can pick THREE of these 4 players for either: Borowski, Dellucci, Blake, Byrd.

by westbrook on Jul 25, 2008 7:22 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

For what?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 9:11 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You’re telling me the Tribe faithful would be happy if the Front Office turned down a Sizemore trade that could make the franchise better?

That trade doesn’t exist.

by Ryan on Jul 25, 2008 7:27 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The Indians are 44-56

$44 million tied up in Hafner, which you’ve got to be wondering about.

Blake is on his way out.

Your big league rotation has issues, although if Westbrook and Carmona come back healthy next year they would mitigate some of the problem. But Byrd is a FA-to-be, Laffey (whom I like) needs to grow, Sowers looks like a flop and your top SP prospect is hurt again.

You’ve got some talent in the upper minors (Huff, LaPorta, Hodges) but you’d need them all to be big league ready next year to fill all the holes you have. As Asdrubal Cabrera showed, sometimes young guys can really struggle.

Basically, I see room for improvement.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 9:42 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

of course there’s room for improvement. it just happens that trading grady sizemore is a really dumb idea.

by Gradyforpresident on Jul 25, 2008 9:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

A really dumb idea...

Like the A’s trading Hudson and Mulder in 2004? Or trading Haren and Swisher prior to this season?

If I was Cleveland’s GM, trading Sizemore would not be the first thing I’d think of to improve the ballclub. But if I had a team call up and offer carte blanche for the chance to acquire him I’d at least go through the motions of looking at their organization to see if maybe there’s a fit.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 9:54 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

carte blanche, like, 2 everyday major league players under service for more than 4 years and 2-3 B+/A prospects?

by Gradyforpresident on Jul 25, 2008 10:57 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Let me put it this way…

The only guys you can’t ask for are the guys who MLB says can’t be traded now. So no 2008 draftees and no Inoa.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:06 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

can someone give me a read on what hudson and mulder’s contract situations were when they were traded?

by Gradyforpresident on Jul 25, 2008 11:11 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hudson was 1 year away (and Beane refused to let anyone talk extension, something I’ve always thought was a mistake but oh well) while Mulder was 2 years away.

For further referrence, Haren was 3 years away from FA and Swisher was 5 years away.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:16 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Swisher’s best season to date is 93 RC. Sizemore’s three full seasons: 107, 124, 124. And that’s not counting defense. And age.

by Ryan on Jul 26, 2008 12:31 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I wasn’t comparing performance. The question was about contract status.

I was just trying to answer the question.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 1:06 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

All problems to varying degrees, but trading Sizemore would not improve the club, unless we’re talking a one-for-one for another superstar (David Wright, Chase Utley, etc). And even then, Sizemore has better value than just about any player in the majors.

Sizemore is 25, he’s been consistent, injury-free, and a quasi-MVP candidate for several years already. This year he’s a clear contender for the MVP. He’s signed to a ridiculously team-friendly contract (he won’t make over $8M until 2012!), and he still has some upside.

I hate to be a killjoy, but this is really a pointless exercise. It’s like asking the Lakers what it would take to trade for Kobe Bryant.

by Ryan on Jul 26, 2008 12:23 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

And the Lakers did investigate trading Kobe. They had the conversation… which is pretty much all I’m trying to do here.

If the A’s already had a superstar bat like Sizemore I wouldn’t be here asking the question.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 1:08 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Generally when a team trades a player in the last year or two of his contract, they’re banking on the prospects they receive back to pay back in future value what they’d have the present value. Hence six years of Matt LaPorta, one of baseball’s best prospects, was traded for a half-year of Sabathia, baseball’s best current pitcher. (there were other aspects to the trade, but let’s keep it simple). And let’s face it, the Indians didn’t have a choice; they almost had to trade him.

In trading Sizemore at this juncture, there is essentially no player or group of players that can, even in the long run, match the value the Indians will be getting from him over the next 4.5 years (all, keep in mind for below-market dollars). I doubt six years of any prospect currently in the minors is going to top that.

by Ryan on Jul 26, 2008 1:37 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The Lakers had conversations about trading Kobe because he demanded a trade. I don’t recall Grady doing that recently. Again, not a good comparison.

You’re really grasping for straws here, grover.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 26, 2008 11:36 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Kobe wasn’t my comparison, Brad. Thanks for paying attention.

Snark coming from the guy who goofed on Cabrera’s FA status, thought the Tigers HAD to take Willis and imagines that Shapiro places his public image over building his team.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 11:58 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I know Kobe wasn’t your comparison, but you continued with it. I just pointed out that it wasn’t valid.

You’re right, I was wrong about Cabrera’s FA status. I admitted that, and thanked you for correcting me. And I NEVER said that Shapiro places his public image over building his team, or even implied that! Shapiro has made many trades that have caused most Cleveland fans to call for his firing—the Colon and Sabathia trades to name a couple. And he just traded Blake, which I’m sure is going to piss of a lot of fans. I just said trading Grady would cause a riot, even bigger than those examples I just stated. I’m sure that doesn’t bother him, and it shouldn’t.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 26, 2008 4:10 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Actually, the Kobe comp was valid in that the Lakers did have actual conversations about trading him and I am trying to engage in a conversation about Sizemore.

And now that it’s clear that Shapiro doesn’t care about how a trade would rile up the Cleveland faithful, hopefully I won’t have to read any more comments about how a Sizemore deal could never happen because it would piss off the fan base.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 7:31 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Oakland doesn’t have anything left.

by palcal on Jul 25, 2008 7:40 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sizemore could only be traded for one of the top major leaguers who also has a friendly contract.
I don’t think Oakland has anybody that falls in that category.

by palcal on Jul 25, 2008 10:20 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Is that a special clause in his contract?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 10:23 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

no, but it’s his value.

by Gradyforpresident on Jul 25, 2008 10:57 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

you have got to be kidding me.

by Gradyforpresident on Jul 25, 2008 7:45 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Nope

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 9:44 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Grady’s contract >>>>> A-Rod’s contract

Grady will not be traded.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 25, 2008 7:59 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sizemore is perhap the most valuable player, - in terms of contract status, age and talent - in the entire major leagues. As the above posters have hinted, there is literally nothing that could be more valuable to the Indians than Grady over the next 3-4 years. Nothing. No. Thing.

Burn on, big river, burn on...

by Turkmenbashi on Jul 25, 2008 8:01 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Really?

Miguel Cabrera, who sported an OPS+ at least 25 points higher then Sizemore in 2006 and 2007, got traded along with Dontrelle Willis for 6 players. You’re telling me that there isn’t a team in baseball that has 6 players worthy of trading for Sizemore?

I’m calling BS on that.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 9:48 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Dude, it’s all about contracts. As Turk stated above, with Grady’s age, skill level, and reasonable contract for the next 4 (?) years, there possibly isn’t a greater asset in baseball. Maybe Evan Longoria, who’s younger and just signed a ridiculous deal with Tampa Bay. But he hasn’t proven himself in the majors for the past few years like Grady has. You could also argue for David Wright, Hanley Ramirez, maybe Chase Utley. Grady is one of the untouchables in baseball.

Cabrera has virtually no defensive value, while Grady is a gold-glove winning centerfielder, so that is not a good comparison. Plus he was about to become a free agent (I think) and they had to take Willis, who sucks.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 25, 2008 10:06 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

First off, Cabrera was a better hitter and was 2 years away from FA. Second, the Tigers wanted Willis.

There is no such thing as an untouchable player. Anyone can be had for a price. The price for Sizemore would be extremely steep for all the reasons listed.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 10:27 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, I know Cabrera was the better hitter. I didn’t argue that. But Grady was the better fielder, and at a premium defensive position. Getting one of those who also hits like he does is very, very rare.

OK, so Cabrera was 2 years away from free agency. Grady is 4 years away NOT including this year (including the team option). Huge difference. And if the Tigers wanted Willis then they are dumb.

Maybe there is a price for Sizemore. But it would be so steep that no team would want to give it up, and Shapiro would never consider trading him because of all the backlash it would incite in Cleveland. You think the fans were mad about trading CC—that would be NOTHING!!

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 25, 2008 10:59 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

There is a price for Sizemore, I’d like to know what it is.

As for the Tigers wanting Willis… hey, to each their own.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:07 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Dude, this is so ridiculous. How could any of us even begin to come up with a “price” for Sizemore, knowing that there is literally a 0.00% chance he’ll be traded in the next 3 years?

But if you just want some names, sure. How about Pujols + Longoria + oh hell I dunno, Ted Williams and Rickey Henderson.

by mrich on Jul 26, 2008 12:46 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

A year ago I would have told you there was a 0% chance that the A’s would trade Haren in the offseason.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 1:05 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sizemore > Haren

Dear Mr. Sabean, I hear you have a reputation of being stupid. Want to deal Lincecum or Cain? You can pick THREE of these 4 players for either: Borowski, Dellucci, Blake, Byrd.

by westbrook on Jul 26, 2008 1:22 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Wasn’t suggesting otherwise.

But when was the last time a mid-level team traded an established SP who was 3 years from FA? And no, the Garza/Young deal doesn’t quite count.

Haren>Garza.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 7:33 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

who are you callin a query

by mrich on Jul 25, 2008 8:10 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Heh.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 9:49 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’d consider trading Grady for Fausto

by Brick. on Jul 25, 2008 8:31 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So yeah...

I was expecting some discontent when I posted this diary but I’m a little disappointed in the lack of imagination being shown thus far.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 10:05 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If you thought Shapiro would seriously consider trading Grady then you don’t understand how to value baseball players.

Also, if you haven’t noticed, we don’t use the subject lines around here. They’re pointless and it make for a much easier read without them.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 25, 2008 10:09 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

And if you’re telling me there isn’t a single team in baseball that has 6 players that could be traded for Grady Sizemore then you have even less understanding of how to value baseball players.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 10:22 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

No, there really isn’t. There are not six tradeable players worth Grady Sizemore now. It’s that simple. Even if such a thing existed, Oakland wouldn’t even be close.

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 25, 2008 11:45 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So you’re saying if Tampa, for example, called up and left a message saying “Price, Davis and Hellickson for Sizemore… gimme a call.” Shapiro wouldn’t even return the call?

Somehow I don’t think so.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 1:02 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Longoria and Price. I would do it.

by JesseAK on Jul 26, 2008 1:04 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He may return the call but that is just because he is polite.

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 26, 2008 10:34 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Then his momma raised him right.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 10:47 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You’re asking us to do the legwork on something that would 1) never happen 2) would not improve the team in 09.

Hit us back up in 2012 when Grady will probably be trade bait.

by Toxicadam on Jul 25, 2008 10:21 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

I’m asking you to think about what you’d want in return if you heard that Sizemore was getting traded. If you’ve got questions about the A’s system then go ahead and ask, but I’m not going to try to divine what it is you want.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 10:28 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

As much as everyone hates him here .. it would have to be a guy like Joba Chamberlain. Extremely young, cheap and under (contractual) control for 3-4 years. Lincecuem would be another fine choice. Elite starting pitching would be the only thing I would give up for Grady.

I don’t see anyone in the A’s system that would project or even come close to that. Sorry.

by Toxicadam on Jul 25, 2008 10:56 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So Brett Anderson and Trevor Cahill don’t even come close to that?

That doesn’t jive with what most folks say about ‘em.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:10 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

“Most folks” said Andy Marte was going to be a superstar. Prospects are only prospects. Real PROVEN MLB talent still means something.

So, until one of those guys comes in and dominates the league .. they are just names you pin your hopes on for a brighter future.

by Toxicadam on Jul 25, 2008 11:18 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I completely agree. Which is why the Indians, if they dealt Sizemore for a prospect-heavy package, would insulate themselves from failure by asking for more then 1 guy.

This is like pulling teeth.

Where are the Indians weak? If they were going to make ANY trade, what area would they try to improve first?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:22 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Okay, that’s a fair question. Our biggest needs in 2009 will be:

1. A middle-of-the-rotation starter. We’ve got Fausto and Lee at the top and should be able to put together a 4 and a 5 from from our system, but especially if/until Westbrook comes back from TJ, we’ll need a guy to fit between them. Two of them wouldn’t hurt.

2. A middle infielder. With Barfield looking more and more uncertain, and Cabrera looking away than we may have hoped, and with Peralta’s defense making him a sub-optimal long-term candidate at shortstop, we need a 2B/SS type who can handle a bat. We’re particularly thin here on the farm.

3. A corner outfielder, preferably a right fielder. This may just be me, but I’m not banking on solid contributions from LaPorta until 2010, which is also the optimistic ETA for our only real big-bat prospects, Mills and Weglarz. Dellucci isn’t the answer to anything. So in between now and the arrival of the next wave, somebody’s got to play the outfield corners. Gutierrez, Choo, and Francisco are much more attractive players if they only have to man one position between them.

4. Relievers with options left, as many as we can get. From our current bullpen, only Perez and Mujica look like decent bets to contribute much in 2009.

RE: Pulling teeth… I think several posters have already explained it. Grady is in the top ten in all sorts of offensive categories, plays fine defense at a premium position, and is cost controlled for, what, 4 more years? And flipping him for anything short of another superstar would be public relations suicide. Shapiro himself has said that he doesn’t think equal value exists for Sizemore in the trade market. I don’t know how to parse that anymore. Try Granderson.

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 10:10 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Screw public relations.

But thanks for the reply.

Here’s what I don’t get… you’ve got a few holes. I knew you guys weren’t too keen on Peralta at SS, you’re pencilling Marte (I guess) to play 3B, 1B isn’t exactly an offensive Mecca (or is Vic Martinez headed there full time after having his arm repaired?) and if Martinez does shift to 1B then who’s catching?

So if you were going to trade Sizemore, why would you be so insistent on getting 1 superstar in return… how does that help fill the holes on your roster? Let’s face it, swapping Sizemore for Wright (as an example) would be 95% of the deal. There might be a AA reliever or a Low-A SS going one way or the other but nothing of immediate significance.

What’s the problem with trading your superstar for 3 or mor good players? Does Shapiro really think he’d get lynched for that?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 10:20 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I expect a three-way platoon: Shoppach to start at C and Martinez at 1B most games, with Victor catching and a left-handed 1B (we’ve got a couple) playing a game or two a week against tougher righties. We love Peralta at SS, we just don’t think he can do it forever. I won’t get into Marte, but I think he’s a safe bet to turn in a passable 2009 at 3B.

You’re over-stating my post when you call them “holes.” They’re areas I’d like to improve. The only hole I see - defined, at least to me, as having to use a replacement-value guy - is second base, and possibly our 5th starter slot, depending on how our refurbishments in Buffalo come along.

In any event, I think your attachment to the idea that Grady could be moved for “three or more good players” (as opposed to superstars) is misplaced. It’s about the contract, not just the talent. In 2010 or 2011, when Grady will only have a few years left, then we’ll think about using him to plug multiple gaps (including the one that will be created by his departure—yikes). But for four years of him, playing for less than his market value … words are failing me a bit here, grover. He really is THAT GOOD.

If what you really came for was an assessment of the A’s, there are definitely some people who could give you good answers about that. I admire Beane’s vision - there’s no use being mediocre, so let’s cash in our chips and see what we get. As for the guys he picked up, that 2B looks pretty good. What I think these last few years have taught me is that, at least as far as baseball goes, the a-hole Yankees fans have been right about this much. It takes stars. You can’t count on average-ish guys over-performing - you can’t bank on being the ‘06 Cardinals. They run out of talent eventually. Just like in golf, when you can’t assume you’re going to hit miraculous shots the whole round, you have to plan on guys performing at their career average, and the only way average is enough is if it’s higher than everybody else’s average.

Grady Sizemore is exactly that kind of player, that averages-above-average guy, and he is doing it for less than average money - much less - and he will continue to do it for four years. We don’t want to trade him because we don’t want to lose.

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 11:27 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

Solid response except for one point.

Marte turning in a passable 3B next year is a fantasy.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 12:26 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

No, just solid. Fleerdon is right that It’s the contract that makes Grady untouchable right now. In a couple of years, he’ll be in the position that Bartolo Colon was in when we dealt him for Grady, Cliff Lee, and Brandon Phillips. I think Colon had 2 years (or less) left on his contract then, not 4. Keeping Sizemore as part of the core gives us a shot at competing in 2010 and maybe 2011. Our FO would probably reassess at the end of the 2010 season. Now if you’ll excuse us, there’s a party going on on another thread.

"Lotta heart in Cleveland." - Ian Hunter

by Denver Tribe Fan on Jul 26, 2008 2:32 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

DTF: I believe you mean a par-tay.

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 5:22 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Enjoy your party.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 7:34 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It’s not discontent or lack of imagination, it’s pragmatism. Turk and Buckeye explained why Sizemore is not going anywhere. Why can’t you accept that?

by LeftyCatcher on Jul 25, 2008 10:25 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I understand how unlikely this scenario is, but to me this is an intellectual exercise that helps me understand a non-Oakland fan’s view of of the A’s assets.

‘Course it helps if the other guy actually puts out some effort.

What would the Indians want in return? Pitching, hitting, outfielders, infielders, catchers… what? Where do you feel are the gaping holes in the organization. Yes, we’d be creating a new hole in CF if you guys actually traded Sizemore but isn’t it possible that that hole and others could be filled by the return?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 10:37 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

so you come to our blog with an insanely unlikely scenario, that’s not even in the realm of discussion, and then chide us for not putting out some effort? give us a break.

actually. here. read this.

by Gradyforpresident on Jul 25, 2008 11:00 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Great link. I was trying to find that but forgot where I read it. Do what he says—read that.

I could maybe see a trade for Grady if it involved David Wright or Evan Longoria. But neither of those are going to happen. Definately not anybody Oakland has. If they had someone who matches Grady’s value, the wouldn’t want to trade him. That’s what you’re not realizing grover.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 25, 2008 11:05 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

nice follow up point. the cost to the A’s would be so high that Beane would never even imagine the thought.

by Gradyforpresident on Jul 25, 2008 11:08 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

See my comment below.

And do not presume to know what I would or would not agree to. I realized when I wrote this we’d be talking high stakes.

I’m perfectly fine with that.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:18 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thanks for the link.

First off, I’m not Billy Beane. Which kinda sucks for me because his job is better then mine.

And I don’t think the A’s have 1 player, or even 2 players in their organization that would make such a deal tempting. 3 players though? Hmm…

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:14 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

i’m gonna dial it back a bit and say, i didn’t mean to be rude. but really, the real value for grady is far north of what any GM would pay.

by Gradyforpresident on Jul 25, 2008 11:20 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Again…

I don’t have the power to actually make this deal happen. That said, I have seen deals that made me do a spit take when I saw them.

Cincy traded Austin Kearns and Felipe Lopez for a couple middling bullpen arms. The Nationals just traded Jon Rauch for Emilio Bonifacio. The Yankees traded Soriano for A-Rod when they already had Jeter at SS!

What would the Indians want if they made ANY trade? What are their organizational weaknesses?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:27 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Our hitting coach and medical staff.

by Toxicadam on Jul 25, 2008 11:33 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Then we’re screwed! Our hitting coach is probably worst then yours.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 25, 2008 11:40 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

interestingly, that trade has worked out very well for the Reds—and the best player in the deal was some set up guy. Jon Rauch for Bonifacio isn’t a significant deal, at all. The Rangers would have traded A-Rod for 2 bags of balls if the Yankees would have paid the contract.

Bad comps. The closest you had was Miguel Cabrera. But, as mentioned, he only had 2 years left, not 4.

by DaytonDogg on Jul 26, 2008 2:50 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’ll be in the minority here and say that Grover’s premise isn’t all that crazy. As has been stated a couple times before on this site, if an incredible trade came along for Grady, you would have to listen. What if the Brewers offered Ryan Braun and Gallardo for Grady? You would turn it down?

I would use Braun and Gallardo as what I would expect in return: an elite established hitter under control for the next five years, plus an elite established pitcher under control for the next five years. Problem for the A’s is that they don’t have anyone who is close to either Braun or Gallardo. They have A+ prospects, but they don’t have young guys who have established themselves in the bigs.

So Grover posts a reasonable question, but the A’s don’t have the goods to make it happen.

by JesseAK on Jul 25, 2008 11:45 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yes, I would turn that down. An unproven, injured SP and a LF with power who plays defence like Eduardo Silva do not equal one of, if not the best, assets in the game.

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 25, 2008 11:52 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Saying Braun is a “LF with power” is like saying Randy Johnson is a “pitcher with a fastball.” But fine.

by JesseAK on Jul 26, 2008 12:21 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

No question, but don’t we already have an outfielder with tremendous power who plays much, much better defence, steals bases, gets on base more, is barely a year older, is under contract for a great deal for four more years, has been in the majors and proven himself since he was 21 and has a fan club comprised completely of women? Why would we trade that guy to anyone for anything?

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 26, 2008 10:43 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Like I said up in the thread, it would have to be a (semi) proven, elite, young pitcher or nothing else. Justin and Tiny Tim are about the only two that qualify.

by Toxicadam on Jul 26, 2008 12:10 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think the biggest problem with this scenario isn’t “trading Grady,” it’s “trading Grady to Oakland.” Every player has a price. If Shapiro decides the existing core isn’t good enough to make a run in 2009-2010, he could decide to blow up the team. In such a case, Grady could be available, but only for a large package of prospects.

The problem is, Billy doesn’t make those deals. Well, he makes them, but always from the other side.

by SuddenSam on Jul 26, 2008 11:46 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Lucky for all involved… I ain’t Billy.

Wait a sec, it’s not lucky for me!

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 11:59 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Rec for Pee Wee Herman reference,

by Ryan on Jul 26, 2008 12:39 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Grady Sizemore’s trade value is reduced to packages involving maybe 5 players in the entire major leagues + at least one truly elite prospect.

There is no way to overwhelm this with quantity-it doesn’t matter that the A’s might have 3 players that sort of kind of equal one of those 5 players. The trade must involve one of those 5 players or else the deal simply cannot be consummated.

So, yes, you’re asking a question with no answer. The A’s could literally offer their 10 best minor leaguers, who are pretty decent I know, and I still don’t think the trade would happen. You can’t take on any uncertainty, even if mitigated by quantity, when trading a player of Grady’s value.

So, if Hanley, Longoria, Lincecum, Kazmir or David Wright aren’t in Oakland this is a total non-starter. There is no “price.”

Additionally, the Cabrera situation is entirely different because of both Cabrera’s physique “problems” and his contract. Any comparison between him and Grady is forest for the trees. It lacks nuance.

by afh4 on Jul 26, 2008 12:52 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   2 recs

Thank you—that’s a nice summary of what I was trying to say in my many posts above.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 26, 2008 11:32 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

do you have jose reyes or hanley ramirez?

if not, go get them and well come back to your original question

As General Manager of this team, I demand to know when I'm getting a start.

by bigbrabbs on Jul 26, 2008 1:43 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Let me preface this by saying that Shapiro would never deal Sizemore at this juncture (two years from now? maybe). I would not deal him either by the way.

But since you asked, I’ll try to come up with a list of names.

Ignoring all vets on your roster, not that you have many of them left, the players with friendly contracts that would need to be discussed would include:

Street (although he is not going be cheap the next two years, so maybe not)
Duchscherer (again, in arbitration years, might not be in play – never mind already has over 4 years of servcie time before this season)
Travis Buck
Daric Barton
Braden
Gallagher
Carlos Gonzalez
Greg Smith
Gio Gonzalez

From the minors, I would guess the following names:
Brett Anderson
Adrian Cardenas
Aaron Cunningham

If I was Shapiro, and I was going to deal Sizemore, I would want one bonafide stud back, two-three solid major leaguers, and two-three top notch prospects.

So out of that list of names I listed, I don’t see the A++ stud. But if you twist my arm, the deal would include Greg Smith, Barton, Carlos Gonzalez, Gio Gonzalez, Gallagher, Cardenas AND Cunningham/Anderson. Yes, that is 7 players.

Although I still don’t like the deal. Too much pitching and not enough hitters there.

by talonk on Jul 26, 2008 2:15 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Too much pitching and not enough hitting is why I’m here. Thanks for the reply.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 9:43 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

And plus, the problem with his “quantity” premise, is that when you take on this many guys, you have to make room for them, which would soon require the release of some of our current major leaguers. So not only do you have to factor in the fact that Grady is virtually untouchable, but you have to consider the Value above Replacement Minor Leaguer factor. And I don’t think anyone’s minor league system is talented enough to make up for that difference across seven guys.

by supermarioelia on Jul 26, 2008 9:45 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

another excellent point. Now go back to celebrating your son’s boon.

Dear Mr. Sabean, I hear you have a reputation of being stupid. Want to deal Lincecum or Cain? You can pick THREE of these 4 players for either: Borowski, Dellucci, Blake, Byrd.

by westbrook on Jul 26, 2008 1:35 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thinking about it, I’d rather start with Carlos Gonzalez, Trevor Cahill and Brett Anderson and build from there.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 10:05 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I must be missing something... maybe I'm overlooking the obvious

I don’t pretend to have an in-depth knowledge on the Indians and their organization. When I looked at your team in the preseason I saw a group geared for a run in 2008 but would have some questions in 2009, especially if you couldn’t hold on to CC.

Well, when I got here CC was gone and you were 12 games under .500. Westbrook and Martinez had elbow surgery, Carmona and Hafner were injured and your bullpen had basically imploded. 2009 wasn’t looking all that promising from my perspective.

What does 2009 and beyond look like from your perspective? Judging by what you know today, do you see the Indians 11 games over .500 this time next year, 11 games under .500 or hovering around .500?

‘Cause if you see the 2009 squad 11 games over .500 it really is a waste of my time to talk about Sizemore. However, if you see the Indians around .500 or worse, when do you expect a rebound? Because if you aren’t seeing a rebound in 2010 (and I admit that’s a long way off) then this is a relevant topic… if perhaps a season premature.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 10:04 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Our best current minor leaguers, LaPorta and Huff excepted, are good bets to show up in 2010 and 2011. Grady will still be under contract, affordable, and 27.

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 10:21 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I see them hovering around .500, if they catch a few breaks and have a few players exceed expectations. A lot of people believe the Indians will miraculously return to 11 games above .500 simply through the benefit of a new calendar year. I think there is a possibility of a stronger rebound in 2010 with the arrival of bats mentioned above (LaPorta, Weglarz, Mills).

by odradek on Jul 26, 2008 10:22 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Problem is that the Tribe doesn’t seem to take a linear path. Three seasons ago we ended with a very promising push and near playoff contention. Two seasons ago we tanked. Last season we were a game away from the WS. This season we tank. In the seasons that tank we have horrible bulpens, but in the good seasons we’re set. Many times this comes with pretty much the same base of guys. I honestly don’t know what to expect from next year’s team, honestly.

I also see a bunch of offseason moves to try and make us better. This season is dead. But we get back a bunch of guys next year as well (Carmona, Martinez, Hafner, and eventually Westbrook). Honestly we will attempt to contend again next year. That will be based upon having Sizemore. I know that might be difficult for you to understand, but it is the simple truth.

Still the local "Barfield Bounces Back Believer" and also has hopes for Gutz. Free Marte.

by mjmarble on Jul 26, 2008 10:35 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

At least you’re very… honest.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 10:48 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

To flesh out that point, we could blow up the team right now with the intent of contending in 2010, and we still wouldn’t be trading Sizemore.

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 10:23 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   2 recs

Exactly.

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 26, 2008 10:44 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Alright, lets say you do decide to blow up the team. Let’s look at your tradable pieces.

You’ve got Sizemore.

Cliff Lee
Casey Blake
Ben Francisco (Can he play CF? That would boost his stock.)
Jhonny Peralta (Yes I had to look up his name to spell it correctly!)
Kelly Shoppach???
Rafael Perez
Masahide Kobayashi

Victor Martinez is going to have to come back and prove he’s healthy, so no trading him until the offseason less Shapiro wants to sell way low.

Travis Hafner, because of his contract and injury, probably has negative trade value.

We’re agreed you could get a ton for Sizemore and you’d get a very good return on Lee, but after that… Peralta’s your best trade trip and I know there are plenty of people who question his defense. When I stopped by in the offseason (back when the A’s were shopping Haren and the Indians were interested in buying) I heard time and again that Tribe fans were hoping A. Cabrera would be the starting SS in 2008. Folks around here wanted that to happen so much most refused to talk about including him in a package for Haren. So without looking up Peralta’s defensive metrics, I’m guessing his glove isn’t going to add any extra to his trade value.

Blake’s a rental, Kobayashi and Perez are solid arms but nothing special and I don’t see Shoppach bringing in a haul.

So blow up your roster and tell me who’s going to bring in the new blood.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 12:23 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

BenFran in CF? HAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAH. More like DH.

Dear Mr. Sabean, I hear you have a reputation of being stupid. Want to deal Lincecum or Cain? You can pick THREE of these 4 players for either: Borowski, Dellucci, Blake, Byrd.

by westbrook on Jul 26, 2008 1:36 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Haha I know – I originally hoped it read (Can he play OF? That would boost his stock)

by joeee on Jul 26, 2008 2:58 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hey, I didn’t want anyone to think I was low-balling your disposable assets.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 7:36 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

grover, the element you’re missing here, even more than you’re missing (or being willfully blind to) the fact that Sizemore’s value is nigh-impossible to match on the open market, is need. We’ve got two excellent, cost-controlled veterans coming back next year in Martinez and, eventually, Westbrook. We’ve got a number of young players having sophomore slumps, and they’re every bit as likely to come back strong next year as Johnny Q Athletics-Prospect. And we’ve got a platoon of prospects due in a couple of years.

Trading Grady Sizemore would be a desperation move—filling an empty cupboard because we had no hope, literally NO HOPE of contending before his contract expired. Quite simply, that’s not our situation. In fact, we’re probably contenders in every year remaining on his contract, and better contenders at that for having him around. You’re predicting the Indians’ course using a sample of data which seems to go about as far as last winter. That’s a waste of your time.

If Billy Beane ran the Indians, he wouldn’t be trading Grady Sizemore. I can’t be any more clear.

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 3:52 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We’re having a nice conversation here and I don’t mean to be rude, but who are these young players having sophmore slumps? Only guy I saw that would qualify is Garko and next year it appears that Martinez will be getting the bulk of the starts at 1B.

OK, I missed an obvious one… Carmona. Sorry about that.

I’m not predicting the Indian’s course. I’m keeping things simple. The Indians will either be real good, they’ll suck or they’ll be mediocre. You can use those generalizations about every team in baseball so don’t take offense.

I look at the Indians and see… areas that need improvement at 3B, 2B, the bullpen and the OF corners. (I’m assuming Vic to 1B as you suggest above.) You’ve got enough prospects in the system that if most of them hit your trouble spots are covered, especially in the OF. However, as Adam Miller and Chuck Lofgren have shown Indians’ fans (I don’t feel like crying, so I won’t go over the A’s casualty list) even the best prospects can flame out.

I wouldn’t consider trading Sizemore a desperation move on the part of the Indians. I’ll agree it’s a little early to make a move, there’s enough juice in the farm system to give hope for a quick bounce back. But I couldn’t help to notice that Shapiro took a page from Beane’s book and tossed in a bunch of cash when he traded Blake so as to improve the package he got in return from the Dodgers. (Beane did the exact same thing with Kendall and later Kotsay, and those guys sucked!) Don’t be surprised if 2009 is another rough year for both the big league club and the farm system and you start to hear whispers that Sizemore could be available. Dan Haren got traded with 3 years left on his deal and post-2009 Grady will be in the same situation.

But that’s all speculation and hypotheticals and it’s too early to start talking about the 2009-2010 offseason! Thanks for the chat. You’re welcome at AN any time.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:13 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

By the way, that bit about “if 2009 is another rough year” is a BIG IF, parallel universe IF and not an attempt to call the Indians’ 2009 season.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:16 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Cabrera and Gutierrez.

by afh4 on Jul 26, 2008 8:39 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Lewis, if that didn’t show up right. Hell, Sowers, Laffey. Garko (ish).

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 8:51 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

OK.

I was counting Cabrera as a rookie, the guy barely had enough at bats last year to lose his official rookie status.

And I thought Gutierrez just sucked.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Re: sending cash in a trade, Beane learned this one trick from Shapiro, who did it multiple times in 2002.

by Jay on Jul 26, 2008 9:22 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Perez is well on his way to being something special. He’s certainly far better than Masa. You keep missing the point; even a roster blow-up is no reason to move Sizemore. The city blowing up isn’t even a good reason to move him.

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 26, 2008 6:30 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Time out.

Perez… so he’s on his way to being something special but he’s not there yet. Have I offended by calling him solid?

I’ve read everything folks have been saying. Fleerdon brought up “blowing up the team right now” to contend in 2010. Are we agreed that wasn’t my idea?

OK, if you do blow up the team you don’t have a lot of parts that are going to net you much in return. Unless, of course, Shapiro does what he did with Blake and offers up enough cash that he’ll be playing for the Dodgers without them having to do more then cover his per diem.

Imagine the haul you could have had if you had offered to pay CC’s salary for the Brewers!

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 7:50 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’m still missing the compelling reason to blow up the team but whatever. The simple fact is that Grady is not going anywhere and, even if he were, the A’s don’t have the assests to get him.

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 26, 2008 8:18 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Ask fleerdon about the blowing up the team.

Fine, the A’s don’t have the assets. I can live with that. Moving on.

The trade Sizemore for a David Wright type doesn’t make sense to me unless you have a CF who can cover Sizemore’s position. Do the Indians have a CF coming up in the minors?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:34 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Franklin Gutierrez is a better CF than Grady Sizemore, right now.

by afh4 on Jul 26, 2008 8:38 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

OK.

Honest question… can he hit enough to play as a regular?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:40 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

no but who the hell said we were trading grady sizemore for david wright…this is so ridiculous

by hans on Jul 26, 2008 8:42 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Read the thread.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

you read the thread. this thread is just terrible. At no point do you counter the point that by all accounts of player valuation linked to within this thread there is a player in the Oakland system anywhere near as valuable as Sizemore….yet this this goes on and on and on. Its like asking what it would take to trade for Lebron, its just not going to happen.

by hans on Jul 26, 2008 8:55 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

With his defense? In CF? Yeah, almost certainly.

by afh4 on Jul 26, 2008 8:42 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don’t think it’s almost certain.

by Jay on Jul 26, 2008 9:23 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well, Crisp got 16 win shares last, about 8 each from his glove and his bat, and he ended up being pretty good-in the DeJesus, Gary Matthews Jr kind of mould.

I’d like to think Franklin is about that good with his glove and all Crisp had to OPS was .712.

Franklin’s at .622 this year and I think his true ability is probably at least sort of higher than that.

So, could Franklin be really good? No. But I think he could be a few WSAB which is probably good enough to stick there in this scenario where we’re trading Grady Sizemore.

by afh4 on Jul 26, 2008 9:29 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

grover….I said “we could blow up the team….”

....we could….

It was a hypothetical, designed to show that, even in most of our worst-case scenarios, we don’t trade Grady Sizemore. You lit on it because you felt like it reinforced your point about how much we NEED to trade Grady Sizemore. We don’t.

I’m aware prospects don’t pan out all the time, that crap could still hit the fan. That’s why we shouldn’t trade Grady Sizemore for prospects.

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 8:50 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Apologies for the formatting.

by fleerdon on Jul 26, 2008 8:53 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We do, however, have a gritty 3B with a killer beard available. Now.

"Lotta heart in Cleveland." - Ian Hunter

by Denver Tribe Fan on Jul 26, 2008 11:20 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

now gone; look what we got for Blake and then compare Grady’s long-term value to the Indians to Blake’s

by palcal on Jul 26, 2008 1:52 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

covering the rest of his salary does help get you better prospects.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:16 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

You mention this like its a revelation to us; Shapiro has been doing this for a while.

by bewwolv on Jul 26, 2008 8:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Why do people from other SBN sites come over here and always want to play fantasy trade games?

LGT's resident beer connaisseur.

by LGT Patrick on Jul 26, 2008 11:25 AM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sheesh… sorry for being neighborly.

And I object to the “fantasy trade games” comment. It belittles those who are curious to know who might be coming over in a trade. I assume when the Brewers came calling for CC some BrewCrew fans came over to try and find out how steep the price was going to be from some folks with an entirely different perspective on the matter.

There’s nothing wrong with that.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 12:04 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The difference my friend is that Sabathia was available and everyone knew it. No one has ever implied Sizemore was on the market.

by LeftyCatcher on Jul 26, 2008 12:37 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So?

A guy can’t come and ask?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 12:59 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah and then once he realizes no one is interested, he can pack up and call it a day.

by supermarioelia on Jul 26, 2008 1:29 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Seriously. You’re wearing out your welcome pretty quick with the obnoxiousness of all this.

We get it. Everyone is tradeable at a certain price. Now get us: there is literally nothing the A’s have that could interest us. Nothing.

Il faut d'abord durer.

by CU Adam on Jul 26, 2008 1:34 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What would you do if a flying saucer landed in your back yard?

by odradek on Jul 26, 2008 2:24 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

Please respond in essay format, 500 words minimum. Spelling and usage will count.

by odradek on Jul 26, 2008 2:27 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well as you have already found out, and should have known before coming here, the A’s don’t have the talent or cash it would cost to get Grady.

LGT's resident beer connaisseur.

by LGT Patrick on Jul 26, 2008 12:44 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I disagree on the talent part and have no clue what you’re inplying with the cash bit. The A’s aren’t THAT poor.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 12:58 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I am saying that on top of the crappy talent in the A’s organization they would have to ship over a crap load of cash.

LGT's resident beer connaisseur.

by LGT Patrick on Jul 26, 2008 5:21 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   2 recs

I’ll rec that.

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 26, 2008 6:31 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Let’s hijack this thread and talk about something a little more interesting.

So, Grady’s agent walks up to the Indians Office and says, “Grady loves it in Cleveland and wants to sign a 10 year extension, starting next year. How much would you offer?”

I’d got 10 years, $15m/per without thinking about it.

by gte619n on Jul 26, 2008 12:50 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well, that might be a little high. Let’s go $12.5m/yr.

by gte619n on Jul 26, 2008 12:50 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If Sizemore is as wonderful as you all say he is, then his agent will laugh in your face.

$15 million annual on a 10 year extension? Congragulations, there is nothing I’ve said on this thread that is more out of touch with reality then your idea. Beltran’s making $18.5 million. Hanley Ramirez signed an extension that tops out at $16 million, David Wright signed an extension two years ago that tops out at $16 million.

And you think $15 million per is even going to come close to getting an extension done?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 12:57 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, but you need to look at the total value of the contract, not just annual value. A 10-year contract is a lot more risky than a 5-year, so you’re going to get a lower annual value for more guarenteed years.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 26, 2008 4:17 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

grover … I was starting to think people have been hard on you … but you’re now making an ass out of yourself.

Sometimes people on a forum are going to pronounce things—happens all the time. What you shouldn’t do is pronounce things when you’re in over your head.

Grady is already under control for four more seasons, with only $18 million in guaranteed money. So a ten-year deal for $150 million would actually be picking up his 2012 option ($8.5 million) three years early, plus a further six-year extension for $124.5 million — nearly $21 million per season.

Now, I daresay Grady would go for something not far from this even if he were about to be a free agent, right now. But of course he isn’t going to be right now — this would be an extension preempted by four whole years. For risk reasons alone, this would represent a massive over-payment on the team’s part.

There is not one player living or dead, at any age or level or ability, who as of July 2008 is worth a guarnateed $120 million for the 2013-2018 seasons. Any player offered half that amount would be smart to take it, and if he didn’t, it wouldn’t be because of the money.

by Jay on Jul 26, 2008 4:54 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Jay

I can only respond to that which is actually said. The guy said 10 year extension, not a renegotiation.

In 2005 Carlos Beltran signed a 7 year/$119 million contract with the Mets. That averages out to $17 million annual. So after 3 years of inflation, Sizemore is going to come in and sign a contract worth $15 million annual. As you said, the renegotiation angle makes no sense for the Indians. And an extension based on 10 years/$15 million annual makes no sense for Sizemore.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:28 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So, Grady’s agent walks up to the Indians Office and says, "Grady loves it in Cleveland and wants to sign a 10 year extension, starting next year.

by afh4 on Jul 26, 2008 8:40 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Which would be a renegotiation, not an extension.

Does it matter? The numbers are crap either way.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:41 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

No, you can respond to what is said in the context of reality.

A ten-year extension starting next year cannot exist, because the extension can’t start next year.

But an extension that takes the form of a ten-year contract, starting next year, can exist, so that’s what I went with.

What you went with, I have no idea.

by Jay on Jul 26, 2008 9:26 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Fine. You want an offer for Sizemore. You’re top ten prospects. Yes 10 for 1. Enough said. Regardless of how bad this season has been, the front office would be facing the biggest PR nightmare by trading Sizemore. This move would be worse than Alomar, Colon, Thome, and Vizquel combined from a PR standpoint. I think you would have a better chance of getting Hamilton from Texas, seriously. For example, would the Cavs trade Lebron before his contract is up. Its about that likley.

by jerseywahoo on Jul 26, 2008 1:32 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Less likely. Trading Lebron at the deadline next year might not be the worst decision of all time if the team isn’t looking championship caliber.

Though it’d be roughly equivalent from a PR standpoint.

Il faut d'abord durer.

by CU Adam on Jul 26, 2008 1:36 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

And by next year, I meant two years from now.

Il faut d'abord durer.

by CU Adam on Jul 26, 2008 1:42 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yes 10 for 1.

Grady = 2 x Von Hayes

by SuddenSam on Jul 26, 2008 3:05 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Like I, or Shapiro for that matter, should care about the PR fallout.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:37 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Shapiro does. The Indians are a business and Grady’s impact on sales, both merchandise and ticketing, would be considered seriously before he were moved.

He’s completely unlike Blake, Colon, or Sabathia.

by afh4 on Jul 26, 2008 8:41 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Totally disagree with this. Sabathia was the club’s best pitcher in more than 30 years, its longest tenured player and the reigning Cy Young winner. Sizemore is not bigger than Sabathia in terms of ticket sales.

by Jay on Jul 26, 2008 9:28 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sabathia was only contributing that for 4 more months. That’s all I meant.

by afh4 on Jul 26, 2008 9:30 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Oh.

I’m bored and sleepy.

by Jay on Jul 26, 2008 9:39 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Oh yea, when was the last time Beane and his mastery made the playoffs?

Dear Mr. Sabean, I hear you have a reputation of being stupid. Want to deal Lincecum or Cain? You can pick THREE of these 4 players for either: Borowski, Dellucci, Blake, Byrd.

by westbrook on Jul 26, 2008 1:38 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

YAWN

If you’re going to play that game, when was the last time the Indians won a WS title?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:30 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

How long do you plan on keeping this up?

Il faut d'abord durer.

by CU Adam on Jul 26, 2008 8:36 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I see the bottom of the thread.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 8:38 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

And yes, he’s now a converted starter….and still sucks. Give Shap credit for cutting him when he did, as easy a decision as it might’ve seemed at the time.

by supermarioelia on Jul 26, 2008 1:50 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Unfortunately, Shap apparently thought Breslow would end up there as well.

"Lotta heart in Cleveland." - Ian Hunter

by Denver Tribe Fan on Jul 26, 2008 4:23 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Just reading this thread, with grover’s annoying stubbornness, has given me one wild headache. Jesus Christ.

by JRontherim on Jul 26, 2008 5:34 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Next time, let’s have a discussion on who Osama Bin Laden’s running mate should be when he’s running for President of the U.S.

by Buckeye Brad on Jul 26, 2008 9:24 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well, that was surreal.

Proud supporter of the Cleveland.

by fwembt on Jul 26, 2008 9:57 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Just for the record...

I knew when I came over here this would be a rough conversation, but you’ve got to understand that I root for a team that had its GM nearly trade himself to another team! So the idea of any baseball player being “untouchable” in completely ludicrous to me. That said, I apologize if my temper got the better of me. I can only take having stuff thrown at me for so long before I start to fire back. Call it a character flaw.

Anyways, if any of you drop by AN and try to start a legit baseball discussion you’ll receive a fairly warm reception. Don’t get me wrong, you’ll run into some knuckleheads and the more sensitive the subject matter the more knuckleheads will show, but there’s a group of us that will always be interested in having conversations like this one.

And on that note… here’s hoping your injured guys get healthy and your healthy guys stay that way. Sorry, got nothing inspirational for the ones who just suck. See ya around.

But probably not until the offseason at the earliest!

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 26, 2008 9:44 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Anyways, if any of you drop by AN and try to start a legit baseball discussion you’ll receive a fairly warm reception.

Same here. Try it next time.

by NickFantana on Jul 26, 2008 11:45 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Good God, this thread made my head hurt.

by Ryan on Jul 27, 2008 4:24 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Not that this guy didn’t bring it upon himself, but I’m surprised not even one person tried to appease him by making a potential deal!

If I had a gun to my head, I would start at Sean Gallagher, Carlos Gonzalez, Trevor Cahill, Brett Anderson, Gio Gonzalez, and Aaron Cunningham. Although to be honest, I see that deal being worse for the A’s than the Indians. Not that either side would ever do it obviously.

by Joe. on Jul 27, 2008 6:46 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Why did I just read this entire thread? Boredom? Masochism? The hope of an incredibly mean-spirited response? The hope that Stomper the mascot would be part of an imaginary trade? Whatever it was, I deeply regret my actions and should probably donate a half hour of time to a local charitable organization just to have something beneficial come from this monumentally wasteful experience.

by Fredward on Jul 28, 2008 7:32 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I wasn’t mean enough?

I actually had a fairly serious response I wanted to write, but when I got down to the $150 million contract talk, I had to preempt it for something more in the “STFU Donnie” vein.

by Jay on Jul 28, 2008 7:38 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well, at the very least, we’ve got this around for the next time somebody suggests it. I have a feeling it’s going to happen again.

by fleerdon on Jul 29, 2008 11:21 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I can’t believe this thread still has legs. No more posts, LGTers!

"Lotta heart in Cleveland." - Ian Hunter

by Denver Tribe Fan on Jul 29, 2008 4:28 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I can’t explain my $175 million valuation on Sizemore?

by Jay on Jul 29, 2008 5:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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