Yeah, he's finally getting his at bats.
No, he's not producing.
What gives?
Looking over his stat line, it's not surprising to see why his numbers are so low: a BABIP of .221.
In 2006, in the same numbers of at bats he has YTD, he put up a respectable 707 OPS at the age of 22. Has he really regressed that far?
In 2006, he had an XBH in about 1 of 8 at bats. This year, it's more like 1 in 18.
Walks are down slightly, from few to very few, while Ks have held steady.
His LD% is the same and he's hitting fewer grounders, but the flyballs aren't flying enough.
Even in 06 his BABIP was unusually low at .264, about .030 lower than expected, and this year it's more than 40 points lower.
So is it just prolonged awful luck, small sample size (he's approaching a full year's worth of PA for his career) or can he just not hit?




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