Joe Pos led All-Time Indians having good season
Posnanski is the manager of the All-Time Indians in a historical baseball sim league. Other notables in the league include Bill James (Red Sox) and Curt Schilling (Pirates?).
Anyway, the Indians are in 1st at the start going into September. Pos links to the league and you can look at the standings, stats, and other detail. I found it a fun waste of a few minutes.
almost 3 years ago
Ryan Kelsey
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This is, no doubt, one of those things where the problem is that they only did one simulation. No doubt, if you ran a million simulations, Feller comes out on top, but just not in this one.
Well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.
Isn’t the fun that its just one simulation? i.e.- if we could tell before hand who would come out on top, what’s the point?
by Ryan Kelsey on Mar 13, 2009 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions
I agree with that, I was just point out to Chuck why it’s not necessarily a flawed result.
Well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.
Pos says that at one point – in this simulation – Feller’s 3 and 7 with a 7.28 ERA. Since we’re clearly mixing eras here, I’m gonna assume that you would use your pitcher at the heighth of his talent, which, for Feller would be his age 21(!) season when he pitched 320 innings, had an ERA of 2.61 and a ERA+ of 161. It’s hard to make the simulation stats align with his real stats. Now maybe I’m wrong about which Feller they’re using for the simulation – maybe they’re using the 2009, 90 yo Feller. Now then he might have a 7+ ERA, but not in 1940.
true.
Couple other things:
- I think it considers information a from Feller’s entire career, not just one season.
- Like jhon says, the competition factor is big- he is pitching to Ruth, Williams, etc.
- At a glance, all pitchers stats seem a bit high to me in this leauge
- He has “regressed” back towards his norms since the 3-7, 7.28 start- he is now 14-9 with a 5.28 ERA.
It may be his whole career, but it must be a peak-age projection.
We actually saw almost this exact same circumstance in real-life just one year ago — the reigning Cy Young was the worst starter in the majors for all of April, then came back to be arguably the best pitcher in baseball from May through September. So once in a blue moon, it does happen.
Well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.











