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2008alcentral

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Turn to page 76 of your Indians Annual. There you'll see the 2008 AL Central Pennant Race feature. I was delighted when I saw this in the Annual - and then crushed. I'm a fan of baseball graphs myself and was elated to see their inclusion, but the two styles shown are vastly inferior to what I present here.

The reasons are thus: the "Winning Percentage" graph is crazy and meaningless near the start of the season - note that the graph doesn't even begin until April 30 - and the rest of the season is "compressed" together, as more games played means the more resistant the percentage is to change.

The "Cumulative Wins" graph is just five lines with minutely different slopes. I think the weaknesses of this format speak for themselves.

Shown above is the 2008 AL Central presented in the "Games Over/Under .500" format. It looks like a pennant race. Everyone starts out at the same spot - zero. A win will change your position on the graph just as much in September as it will in April. The teams diverge noticeably, and it's easy to tell why one team changes places with another in the standings. Why did Detroit pass Cleveland for third place in June? It wasn't an Indians collapse (yet); Detroit was just red-hot.

Some notes about the graph: the x-axis is rendered in days, not games played. Double-headers are compressed into the day played. This unfortunately means splitting a double-header looks the same as a day off. I could fix this if I wanted to be precise.

Full disclosure: the above is my personal summary of a chapter from John Davenport's fantastic (out-of-print book) Baseball Graphics (1979).

almost 3 years ago Voltairev_tiny Voltaire 6 comments 0 recs  | 

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Interesting.

But, If you’ll notice, long horizontal lines on the cumulative # of wins chart actually indicate losing streaks.

Travis Hafner is overrated. Clarity is underrated. David Dellucci is David Dellucci.

by westbrook on Mar 12, 2009 6:25 PM EDT reply actions  

True.

I still prefer the presented format. The aesthetic appeal of have teams below .500 well, below something, combined with the much more dramatic separation of teams that makes small winning/losing streaks easier to see, put the Games format ahead.

by Voltaire on Mar 12, 2009 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

I should also add the appeal of a win pushing you up and a loss pushing you down (instead of…horizontal?). It also allows for a distinction between days off and losses.

by Voltaire on Mar 12, 2009 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you want to get into the little details of graph format…I think we should have some labels along the x-axis.

by dgcambridge on Mar 12, 2009 7:10 PM EDT reply actions  

I whipped this up in about an hour. Obviously this isn’t a knock against the format; just my laziness.

by Voltaire on Mar 12, 2009 7:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m sure that I’d much prefer your CC write-up, but I guess this’ll hafta do.

by mauichuck on Mar 13, 2009 12:39 AM EDT reply actions  

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