Transactions: DeRosa Dealt
Traded IF/OF Mark DeRosa to the St. Louis Cardinals for RHP Chris Perez and a PTBNL
If we go by the number of rumors flying around in the past two months about DeRosa, there were many other clubs besides the Cardinals who were interested in DeRosa. Because he can play five positions at least adequately (first, second, third, left and right), has been a very good offensive player for four years running, and has a rep for being good in the clubhouse, it's not surprising that many teams saw him as being the missing piece to their lineup. DeRosa is also a free agent at the end of this season, and would cost his new team about $3.0M in salary between now and September. So when the Indians finally fell out of contention after losing six straight games, the only question was when they'd be trading DeRosa, since they'd be getting a good return. I don't really think at this point the Indians got the return they could have gotten, though there's still the PTBNL to come.
For the Cardinals, who need help at both second and third, not to mention at the plate, DeRosa is an excellent fit. They were also willing to part with a major-league player, one that not only would help the Indians immediately in an area of desperate need (the bullpen), but also had less than one season of service time, and who wouldn't be eligible for arbitration until at least after the 2010 season. The PTBNL, noted by Mark Shapiro as an "important piece", is most likely a good minor-league prospect.
Chris Perez was drafted by the Cardindals in the Sandwich Round of the 2006 Draft (42nd pick overall). He was a reliever for the University of Miami, so he didn't have to go through the minor-league transition that college starters have to go through to become major-league relievers. He moved quickly, starting in Low-A after signing in 2006, then starting in AA and ending in AAA in 2007, and getting to the majors in 2008. At all levels, he's had great strikeout ratios (minor-league 12.0/9IP), great hit ratios (4.8/9IP), and horrid walk ratios (6.0/9IP). Those numbers have come with him to the majors, for in 62.1 innings with the Cardinals, he's struck out 72, given up 51 hits, and walked 37.
Stuff-wise, Perez sports two pitches: a mid-90s fastball with movement, and a slider. Both pitches are considered out pitches in the majors. The problem for Perez is staying in the strike zone, something that separates the Joe Nathans of the world from the Jason Davises and Fernando Cabreras. The Indians' coaching staff has some work ahead of them to turn Perez from a pitcher with a lot of potential to a late-inning stalwart. Given the recent track of relievers in this organization, I'm pretty skeptical that he'll make that transition in Cleveland.
SBN's Driveline Mechanics notes some problems with his mechanics:
A Mechanical Look at Chris Perez - Driveline Mechanics
Needless to say, I'm not enthused with this arm action. It often causes lateral displacement of the pitching arm and subsequently represents a timing flaw, since the arm needs to get from this displaced position to the high-cocked position quickly. In doing so, this causes the pitching forearm to lay back violently in shoulder external rotation, and while the result may create a higher value of Maximum External Rotation (MER) and thusly higher velocity, it is also the cause of "Late Forearm Turnover" which places a significantly high load on the ulnar collateral ligament.
So the same mechanical problems that are causing his wildness also indicates an elevated risk of arm injury. He's a high-risk/high-reward reliever; he could be the Indians' closer for the next 4-5 years, he could flame out quickly, or he could spend a lot of time on the Disabled List. I think the latter two outcomes are more likely.
It's too early to make a final judgment on this trade because one half of the return isn't known yet, but thus far I don't think the Indians got the kind of return that they could have. From a roster standpoint, this was the right time to deal DeRosa, for Asdrubal Cabrera will be activated today, and the Indians would like to see what Matt LaPorta and/or Michael Brantley can do in the majors. But I wonder if the Indians could have driven up the price for DeRosa had they held onto him for another week or two.
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I mean, look, nobody wants to give away a vet presence and a guy who was leading us in homers and rbi’s at different points in the season. But we all knew this was going to happen. The fact of the matter is that the Mets have traded away any prospects that they had, Atlanta wasn’t dropping any of their pitchers for 3months of Dero, not to mention signing McClouth already. St. Louis has had a great pen this year and we needed an upside fireballer out of the pen.
Hopefully combined with Betancourt and White (I know that’s hoping, but I think the Indian’s are going to give White a shot to make the pen out of ST) they might have three decent arms in the pen.
Let’s not forget that PTBNL. The Indians have flat out stolen great players in these kinds of deals (i.e. AstroCab).
I understand the argument that we need to hold onto proven guys, and we do….but Dero wasn’t going to resign with us. He wasn’t. And, we’ve got proven guys (Lee, Victor, Grady, Choo)…let’s take the extra 3million we saved by trading Dero and use it to extent LEE! There’s a thought.
by MooneysRebellion on Jun 28, 2009 11:56 AM EDT reply actions
I mean, look, nobody wants to give away a vet presence and a guy who was leading us in homers and rbi’s at different points in the season. But we all knew this was going to happen. The fact of the matter is that the Mets have traded away any prospects that they had, Atlanta wasn’t dropping any of their pitchers for 3months of Dero, not to mention signing McClouth already. St. Louis has had a great pen this year and we needed an upside fireballer out of the pen.
…
I understand the argument that we need to hold onto proven guys, and we do….but Dero wasn’t going to resign with us.
Who’s said we shouldn’t trade DeRosa?
by world dictator on Jun 28, 2009 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions
The problem for Perez is staying in the strike zone, something that separates the Joe Nathans of the world from the Jason Davises and Fernando Cabreras. The Indians’ coaching staff has some work ahead of them to turn Perez from a pitcher with a lot of potential to a late-inning stalwart. Given the recent track of relievers in this organization, I’m pretty skeptical that he’ll make that transition in Cleveland.
This. This. This.
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Force quit and move to trash.
Found this on Twitter from someone named Drew Silva:
Francisco Samuel and Jess Todd are on the short list of possible PTBNLs to finalize the Mark DeRosa deal. That’s uh… interesting.
Jon Paul Morosi reports in Rosenthal’s piece:
One official with knowledge of the transaction said minor league right-handers Jess Todd and Francisco Samuel are on the list of possibilities.
It’s not known if other players are on the list agreed upon by the clubs. But Todd and Samuel are hard throwers who could fit into Cleveland’s bullpen next year. And anyone who has watched the Indians play recently is aware that they have an immediate need for power arms at the end of the game.
Todd has appeared in one big-league game this season and has a 2.73 ERA in 28 appearances at Class AAA Memphis.
Samuel is 3-3 with a 4.55 ERA in 32 games at Class AA Springfield.
The Indians will receive the second player on or before Sept. 1. Until then, the box scores of Cardinals minor league games will be of great interest to Indians fans.
You know Selig? Ombudsman.
Why does the front office suddenly have an infatuation with relievers? I’m not arguing that the bullpen isn’t important, but between the draft and this trade it seems like the front office has been obsessed with the bullpen.
As I said when it was first revealed that Shapiro was looking for bullpen arms, its stupid to center a major trade around reliever prospects considering the volatile nature of bullpen arms. Like Ryan said, Perez might become our closer for the next five years, but its probably more likely he has an “eh” career in Cleveland frustrating management and fans alike right before he leaves for a contract that no GM in his right mind should pay him. (IE Danny Baez)
One of my favorite lessons in college came in supply chain management. It was about quality control: If you need 100 widgets within tolerance per day, and your current process is only churning out 90, you can either (A) take measures to reduce errors within the process, or (B) make more widgets.
You’re basically accusing the Indians of taking only option B, evidently at the expense of other priorities. But the fact that relievers are volatile talents doesn’t necessarily mean that they’re fungible talents. I don’t know whether the stats bear this out — maybe nobody does — but the facts that the Indians used their top-pick on a near-ready reliever, and that they flipped their best chip for at least one very well-regarded reliever? They suggest to me that there’s some option A action happening here as well. Given the fact that we currently have an entire system that is more or less devoid of healthy, effective relief pitching, I’m disinclined to complain if the Indians are trying something new.
by fleerdon on Jun 28, 2009 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions
That was a very well said summary of both of our arguments.
That being said, if the bullpen was my only concern then I’d be more inclined to focus on the bullpen. But I’m equally if not more concerned about our starting pitching depth in the minors, and the majors to a lesser extent.
The only quality pitching prospects our farm system has in AA or above are Rondon, Gomez, and Lofgren. Then there’s a lot of eh prospects with eh stuff
by world dictator on Jun 29, 2009 12:39 AM EDT up reply actions
I don’t really think there is anything else to do. We cannot credibly expect ANY of our relievers to be good next year. Not to say that some won’t be, but everyone has been so awful we can’t expect it. We have to get some new arms, and they have to be good arms, or at as good a shot at being good as a reliever will give you. If this trade nets two working bullpen arms for next year, Shap ought to be lauded.
I don’t know about the draft, but it does seem like we could use more reliever depth in the minors. If another couple of years generated some “exciting” relief talent, the draft could be good too.
Castro presents a criticism of the initial DeRosa acquisition in his latest blog post:
It’s that New Year’s Eve acquisition of DeRosa that should be more puzzling for Tribe fans….
In it, he brings up some interesting points which reminded me of my own initial skepticism of the trade:
I am in the hellhole known as southern california, and have been since before this transaction went down, and will be returning to an equally hellish hellhole known as Phoenix tomorrow for several days…but with that caveat, count me as a lone voice that does not like this trade. Perhaps fuller digestion will change my opinion, but I feel like this particular 3 for 1 is not so great. It doesn’t in my mind create a satisfying resolution to our infield solution for next season while giving up 3 guys who all are marginally (at least) interesting. Stevens I’m sure will be a contributing major league bullpen guy as early as 2010. Archer, not as promising as Joey Mahalic, but still an interesting young arm. Gaub who is an old(ish) low-A reliever, but also has something going for him enough that he was second in all of the minors in K-rate. For a guy who is a super-utility guy making a transition from a small park-NL team to a neutral park AL team. Color me skeptical…
I guess my concern is that I see Asdrubal as being our SS of the future. That means Peralta has to be moved, either off the team or to 3B. 3B seems like a better choice than off the team. The acquisition of Valbuena provides a reasonable in-house solution, though certainly no sure thing, about our 2B of the future. I’d rather whatever acquisition we made accelerated that future by making the Asdrubal-Peralta shift now. I like DeRosa’s super-utility and on-base credentials, and I’ll probably end up liking this deal, but right now I’m dissatisfied.
I think it will be a long time before we can really sort of the full list of pros and cons on this deal…but definitely something to think about.
I find castro’s argument unpersuasive. As he himself points out, there was a non-trivial risk of asdrubal regression. Even if not, there was no way to be sure Valbuena was going to be ready to be the everyday second baseman. We simply had a temporary middle infield problem, in a year we were trying to contend, and DeRosa fixed it. Moreover, his argument about DeRosa playing different positions is self-refuting—isn’t this the beauty of the super-ute? I have to think that line-up flexibility has something to do with us having a league leading offense despite only three guys OPSing over 800 (one of whom was…Mark DeRosa).
In retrospect, I think you were probably right about trying to do the Jhonny to 3B shift at the start of the season. But nonetheless, this is how I break it down:
What we got: a productive bat, line-up flexibility, at least one good ML ready reliever, possibly two.
What it cost us: about two million dollars and three “interesting” but nowhere near ML-ready arms, who might well have already been replaced in the system by this year’s draft.
I think my complaint was that the primary short-term hole should have been considered second base (till Valbuena was ready), not third base. DeRosa wasn’t a good fit for 2B, but was argued to be a good fit for 3B. There were other potential second basemen available. I’m not sure getting DeRosa was the wrong decision, in that thread and later I admit that I like him. But I think I would have liked him to be a super-utility guy from the start, with Peralta starting the season as the primary third baseman. DeRosa’s limited ability to play 2B didn’t really allow for that possibility, though.
I don’t have a good handle on what DeRosa can and can’t play—I do remember the speculation was that he was a corners guy. OTH, here is Castro:
“regardless of the fact that he played primarily at second base for the Cubs and, by all accounts, played it well.”
Anyway, I basically agree with you on the infield switch. But I still think that the trade makes a bunch of sense both prospectively and retrospectively.
“by all accounts” — no real scouting or analysis behind that statement.
Well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.
here is the facsimile of real analysis:
Year Position Games Rtot
2002 2B 32 4.3
2003 2B 29 4.5
2003 3B 25 -3.0
2004 3B 72 -6.1
2006 2B 26 .6
2006 3B 40 .4
2007 2B 93 .4
2007 3B 37 5.4
2008 2B 95 – .9
2008 3B 22 1.5
Rtot is a baseball reference defensive score in runs that I know nothing about, it may be crap. But what this says to me is that the difference between DeRosa at second and DeRosa at third is minimal. Over a large sample, he is basically an average defender. Over a small sample, he has had good runs at both positions. So while castrovince has over-stated something off the cuff, I think it cuts against both anti-Derosa arguments being made. DeRosa’s flexibility was probably a major part of his acquisition; it hedged against problems with both Valbuena and Asdrubal not being up to snuff; and though neither happened, his flexibility was still an asset.

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