Trade Profile: Justin Masterson
Of the multitude of players who joined the organization in the deadline week trades, Justin Masterson is the only one already with Cleveland. He made his debut with Cleveland in Saturday’s 12-inning, 3-4 loss to Detroit, but Masterson himself got off to a great start. While he has been used primarily as a reliever this year for Boston, Cleveland is hoping to stretch him out and return him to the rotation before the season is over. In Saturday’s game, Masterson pitched three innings, allowing two hits, no runs, a walk, and four Ks. Here’s a little more info on the newest member of the Cleveland Indians pitching staff …
As many have noted, Masterson was actually born in Kingston, Jamaica, where his father was the dean of students at a theological seminary. When he was still quite young the family moved to Beavercreek, OH, where he remained through high school. Masterson pitched for San Diego State in college before being drafted by the Boston Red Sox in the 2nd round (#71 overall) of the 2006 draft. While Masterson had a great debut campaign with the short-season Lowell Spinners, it was his 2007 season that put him on the baseball prospect map. Beginning with a successful 17-start stint in high-A Lancaster (his longest continuous stint in the minors), Masterson spent his final 10 starts with AA Portland as just a 22-year old, pitching particularly well for the Sea Dogs (8.2 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 68% GB, 3.08 FIP).
After the 2007 season he was listed as the Red Sox #4 prospect by Baseball America and was credited with the system’s "best fastball" (fellow Tribe acquisition Nick Hagadone was #8 on the list that year and #3 last year, credited with "best slider" in both publications). Baseball America also identified Masterson as the #64 prospect in all of baseball that year. That same offseason John Sickel’s, of SBN sister-site minorleagueball.com, had Masterson as the Sox #6 prospect and a "grade B" talent. Kevin Goldstein, of Baseball Prospectus, had Masterson as the #3 prospect in the Red Sox system, listing him as a "Four-Star Prospect", and #53 in all of baseball. Goldstein said that Justin’s heavy sinker was "arguably the best in all of the minor leagues."
By April 2008, when the Red Sox needed an emergency starter, Justin Masterson was ready to step in. By June he was a regular part of the pitching staff, albeit with a move to a bullpen role. The key to Masterson’s rapid rise and the key to his pitching success is something which should be familiar to Cleveland fans, an excellent 2-seam fastball with great sinking movement that sits right around 90mph. This graphic from Baseball Prospectus provides a nice summary of Masterson’s repertoire.

He has just average strikeout ability and occasionally poor control, but he has a great deal of success at inducing groundballs. In the minors, his GB-rates varied from a very good 56% all the way up to an incredible 70%. Coming up in the Red Sox system, this drew a lot of comparisons to Derek Lowe. With the Indians, the more apt comparison is Jake Westbrook. At the moment, however, Masterson doesn't quite have the full complement of pitches that Jake does.
Masterson is a big guy, listed now as 6’6" 250. He has an interesting low-angle arm slot which helps him generate his tremendous sink (see below). This approach is particularly tough on right-handed batters, but makes him vulnerable to lefties. In his minor league career he showed stretches of struggling against lefties, while always dominating right handed batters. In his major league career thus far he has held right handers to an impressive .594 OPS, but allowed left handers to hit a worrying .820 off of him.
While Justin’s fastball is clearly an effective major league pitch (especially against right-handers), his secondary stuff could still use some work. Working out of the pen, Masterson has essentially become a two-pitch pitcher, complementing his sinker with a slider. The slider is less consistent than the 2-seamer and, when it is flat, is an attractive pitch to hitters. His changeup, which he rarely uses in relief, is much more of a work in progress and will likely become more important as he transitions back into the rotation and faces batters two and three times a game. How well he can develop these secondary pitches may determine what kind of a ceiling Masterson has and where he is "slotted" in the rotation. Having just turned 24 in March and barely 3 years of professional baseball, Masterson certainly still has time to develop these pitches, though he’ll likely have to do so at the big league level. According to a Boston Globe article, before the season, when the Red Sox were still unsure whether to use Masterson in the rotation or in the bullpen, pitching coach John Farrell had three goals for Justin:
1. Stretch him out so that he'll be able to return to the starting rotation if the need arises;
2. Get him back to using his full windup, something Masterson abandoned when he went to the bullpen;
3. Get him to use his changeup more. Masterson was primarily a fastball/breaking ball pitcher in 2008.
I assume the Indians will be following a similar plan.
One attractive aspect of Masterson for Cleveland is his contract status. Coming into 2009, Masterson had 108 days of service time, meaning he shouldn’t become arbitration eligible until after the 2011 season, and he's under contract through 2014.
Masterson’s demeanor on and off the field has allowed him to earn the trust and respect of both fellow players and coaches. It is worth noting that despite his young age, Masterson is coming to Cleveland with playoff experience. Masterson made 9 appearances in the 2008 post-season, picking up a victory in relief in game 5 of the ALCS against the Tampa Rays. In the same Boston Globe article listed above, Red Sox manager Terry Francona had this to say regarding the use of Masterson in the post-season:
"There was just no reason not to give him the ball with the game on the line. He was gonna throw the ball over the plate. He could get you the ground ball, he could get a strikeout. He really seemed to rise to occasions."
Hopefully Masterson will have the same opportunity, and the same success, here in Cleveland. Welcome to Cleveland, Justin.
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So in putting this piece together I admit that my excitement for Masterson grew. At the same time, though, it is clear that Masterson has a few very real issues he needs to overcome. He needs to find a way to get out lefties if he is going to be a starter, either by changing his delivery or improving his secondary stuff. And he needs to improve his secondary stuff. One thing to remember about Masterson is that he’s only really had three years of pro ball, and even that might be generous since his conversion to the bullpen stunted in some ways the development of his secondary stuff. In other words, he has basically had the same developmental time as a guy like Hector Rondon, but done a significant amount of it at the major league level and from a bullpen role. Clearly his ceiling will depend on how well he can do that. His 2-seam sinker is the real deal. If he can develop his slider and an effective changeup, I think he could be a very good starter. If he can’t, he can probably still be a lesser and less consistent starter or an effective bullpen guy. Obviously I hope the former becomes true.
It’s also clear why the Indians love this guy. Scouts loved him after 2007. As long as you like groundball pitchers, which the Indians obviously do, there is a lot to like in his off-the-charts GB-rates coupled with his respectable K-rates. And his makeup seems outstanding, including his outstanding performance during last year’s post-season.
He needs to find a way to get out lefties if he is going to be a starter, either by changing his delivery or improving his secondary stuff.
1. This might be an impossible question to answer, but what kind of secondary stuff does Masterson need to develop in order to increase his effectiveness against left handers? Is it just his changeup or is there another pitch he’s working on?
2. I know pitchers can change their delivery if men are on base. Is there a history of pitchers changing their delivery depending on if he’s facing a righty or lefty?
"sometimes the internet is hard for me." - ClemsonGirl
I really like Masterson. I think he can be a dominant GB pitcher with higher K rates than most sinkerballers. In his first relief appearance the STO gun showed some mid-90’s heat with one topping out at 97 MPH. Maybe the gun was a bit juiced and he obviously won’t throw that hard as a starter, but it’s nice to know he can reach back for more. When his slider is on, it’s pretty damn nasty as well.
From the looks of it he really needs to improve his changeup, but maybe it wouldn’t be such a bad thing if he learned a cutter as well. With his arm slot, a cutter could be really effective against lefties, because most of the other stuff moves away from them (except his slider). I dunno, just throwing that out there.
If he flames out as a starter, do his splits suggest he’s only a matchup/situational RP, or are splits like this not altogether uncommon for relievers?
Low three-quarters? It looks pretty darn close to sidearm to me. No wonder he’s having trouble with lefties. When he learns how to handle lefties, maybe he can help Joe Smiff.
by ken from alexandria on Aug 3, 2009 2:40 PM EDT reply actions
He was hitting between 93 and 95 in his appearance with the Indians, and on one of his strikeouts STO clocked him at 97. I doubt 97 is something we see a lot in the rotation.
Steel Nick
hell, I’m excited to see 97 out of the bullpen. That’s much harder than I thought he threw
"sometimes the internet is hard for me." - ClemsonGirl
by world dictator on Aug 3, 2009 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions
I think that’s his “when I rear back” speed, not something he would be sitting at. And for all we know STO is just wrong.
Steel Nick
Yeah i know he’s not sitting at 97. But even still being able to top off at 97 is an accomplishment in and of itself.Its much harder than I thought he threw.
"sometimes the internet is hard for me." - ClemsonGirl
by world dictator on Aug 3, 2009 8:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Justin’s heavy sinker was “arguably the best in all of the minor leagues.”
No pressure for 2010 and forward, Asdrubal and Valbuena.
Steel Nick
If I were a gb pitcher I would be much happier to turn around and see Jhonny/Droobs/Louie V/Agent M than DeRosa/Jhonny/Droobs/Garko…
Stuart Dean
by stuart dean on Aug 3, 2009 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Very much so.
But with this staff going forward we should really think about trying to sneak Mark Ellis into a seventh made-up infield position. Dress him as an umpire maybe.
Steel Nick
by nickjs21 on Aug 3, 2009 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Just think how awesome it’ll be when Farrell becomes the next manager of the Tribe.
by FredOx on Aug 3, 2009 6:21 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
I think TJ House is really flying under the radar. I made a top 30 of the system now (excluding White) and I have him at #10 fwiw. Really like his stuff and the results so far.
contrary to what my obsessive posting might suggest, I prefer to think people don’t exist till they get to Kinston
by APV on Aug 3, 2009 7:48 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Good call … BA has him at #9 post-trade … link below.
by FallsTribeFan on Aug 3, 2009 8:31 PM EDT up reply actions
If everyone thinks so … I’ll toss one up.
by FallsTribeFan on Aug 3, 2009 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions
might as well.
"sometimes the internet is hard for me." - ClemsonGirl
by world dictator on Aug 3, 2009 8:42 PM EDT up reply actions
worse comes to worse we’ll just start talking about The Office or something
"sometimes the internet is hard for me." - ClemsonGirl
by world dictator on Aug 3, 2009 8:43 PM EDT up reply actions
So did you just z right through that discussion?
Who needs affection when you can have blind hatred?
He probably used the nuclear option: the Shift-A
by Logodaedalus on Aug 4, 2009 12:06 AM EDT up reply actions
My new Indians boyfriend! I’m actually cautiously excited about our Justin.
Who needs affection when you can have blind hatred?
What’s the count up to now? And do they have to be a member of the big league club to qualify?
Here Lies the Victor Martinez Era:
Sept. 10, 2002 - July 31, 2009
I quit trying to figure out who my Indians Boyfriend was when I realized they were all my boyfriend.
slut
"sometimes the internet is hard for me." - ClemsonGirl
by world dictator on Aug 4, 2009 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions
I tried to count but I haven’t decided on the qualifications. I think my for sure boyfriends are Grady, Choo, Droobs, our Justin, Tony Sipp (Clemson), and Jhonny. I haven’t decided if the minors count yet.
Who needs affection when you can have blind hatred?
This has to be the first white guy on our staff that’s ever been born in an exotic locale, right?
Steel Nick
by nickjs21 on Aug 4, 2009 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
Ever been to Arkansas? Seems pretty exotic to me.
by Toxicadam on Aug 4, 2009 4:53 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Speaking of Terrible Tom, his Japanese team just had him “dropped for readjustment”.
Sounds painful.
Not enough death on the death ball.
"It's all part of life's rich pageant, you know?" - Inspector Clouseau
by woodsmeister on Aug 4, 2009 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs

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