Revisiting 2010 Pecota Projections
Slow day at work today, so much so that I was taking a look at our reglars' 2010 Pecota projections compared to where we are through 120 games. Thought I would post for others to see.
2010 Pecota Indians record: 69-93 (.426)
Indians record: 49-71 (.408)
Batters
Choo 2010 Pecota: .272/.370/.430
Choo 2010: .291/.389/.467
3 word synopsis: Big league Choo
Crowe 2010 Pecota: .233/.282/.437
Crowe 2010: .253/.310/.253
3 word synopsis: Crowe is Crowe
Hafner 2010 Pecota: .267/.350/.442
Hafner 2010: .271/.375/.444
3 word synopsis: Shoulder still hurts
LaPorta 2010 Pecota: .246./333/.435
LaPorta 2010: .239/.315/.368
3 word synopsis: Ryan Garko plus
Donald 2010 Pecota: .241/.324/.345
Donald 2010: .256/.315/.393
3 word synopsis: Jamey Carroll who?
Cabrera 2010 Pecota: .303/.357/.409
Cabrera 2010: .287/.344/.371
3 word synopsis: Feeling better now
Pitchers (ERA, WHIP)
Carmona 2010 Pecota: 5.00/1.49
Carmona 2010: 4.14/1.369
3 word synopsis: Best on staff
Masterson 2010 Pecota: 4.87/1.48
Masterson 2010: 5.23/1.615
3 word synopsis: Lefties like Justin
Talbot 2010 Pecota: 5.42/1.60
Talbot 2010: 4.25/1.456
3 word synopsis: Pleasantly solid starter
C. Perez 2010 Pecota: 3.43/1.37
C. Perez 2010: 2.28/1.204
3 word synopsis: rage, rage RAGE!
T. Sipp 2010 Pecota: 3.82/1.46
T. Sipp 2010: 4.86/1.489
3 word synopsis: Hit and miss
R. Perez 2010 Pecota: 4.14/1.38
R. Perez 2010: 3.33/1.543
3 word synopsis: Welcome back Raffy
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Comments
So they predicted Crowe to have as much power as Hafner?
In the new Geico commercial, Marte sings "Let me be myself" on Wedge's front lawn (with the cavemen).
Glad I’m not the only one that thought that jumped out as absurd
Where's your crown, KIng Nothing?
by Turkmenbashi on Aug 23, 2010 1:36 AM EDT up reply actions
Interesting how Crowe is overrated. I wonder why anyone thought he would be good, yet the Indians and Pecota saw something I don’t see.
This is a nice roundup. I do think it’s noteworthy that the PECOTA numbers undoubtedly were generated with a higher expectation of run scoring, league-wide. If you translate the original PECOTA for 10% less scoring (or whatever it is at the moment), then the avg, obp, slg, ERA and WHIP numbers would all go down a bit.
Which makes the prognosis for our rotation that much worse.
by Logodaedalus on Aug 25, 2010 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions

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