Matt Laporta, First Baseman?
Tipping my hat to notthatnoise from the Game 26 post-game wrap up where he posted about Matt Laporta quietly having a solid year thus far. notthatnoise mentioned Laporta's .818 OPS (135 OPS+) and particularly his GO/FO ratio that may be a key to the overall success thus far. I wanted to see how Laporta is doing compared to the other first baseman in the league because when I first saw the OPS, my thought was that it wasn't that good for a first baseman. Then quickly considered the 135 OPS+ and remembered that my mind has been trained to think that an .800 OPS was league average, which of course is nowhere near the truth these days. So optimistic about Laporta all of the sudden, I wanted to see where he stacked up against the rest of the American League's first baseman.
Baseball Prospectus doesn't yet have their 2011 individual player valuations up yet, so my original plan on including multiple points of reference went by the wayside there. Instead I just scanned Fangraphs wRC+ leaderboard for qualified AL first baseman and discovered the following:
|
17.60% |
13.50% |
0.302 |
0.325 |
0.333 |
0.454 |
0.635 |
0.454 |
194 |
||
|
15.70% |
26.80% |
0.293 |
0.273 |
0.256 |
0.392 |
0.549 |
0.408 |
161 |
||
|
15.70% |
24.30% |
0.243 |
0.321 |
0.284 |
0.393 |
0.527 |
0.397 |
160 |
||
|
11.60% |
17.30% |
0.253 |
0.305 |
0.280 |
0.372 |
0.533 |
0.394 |
150 |
||
|
16.40% |
13.50% |
0.167 |
0.338 |
0.313 |
0.431 |
0.479 |
0.390 |
149 |
||
|
11.20% |
19.50% |
0.234 |
0.254 |
0.247 |
0.337 |
0.481 |
0.359 |
131 |
||
|
8.60% |
16.20% |
0.143 |
0.368 |
0.314 |
0.379 |
0.457 |
0.367 |
131 |
||
|
7.70% |
15.20% |
0.200 |
0.286 |
0.286 |
0.350 |
0.486 |
0.362 |
128 |
||
|
5.10% |
18.90% |
0.160 |
0.291 |
0.274 |
0.308 |
0.434 |
0.323 |
105 |
||
|
2.20% |
26.10% |
0.193 |
0.279 |
0.239 |
0.264 |
0.432 |
0.305 |
93 |
||
|
16.20% |
22.00% |
0.088 |
0.264 |
0.209 |
0.342 |
0.297 |
0.296 |
89 |
||
|
6.90% |
16.10% |
0.129 |
0.240 |
0.226 |
0.287 |
0.355 |
0.293 |
85 |
||
|
Royals |
13.60% |
32.40% |
0.135 |
0.265 |
0.203 |
0.310 |
0.338 |
0.295 |
83 |
|
|
10.20% |
23.70% |
0.062 |
0.301 |
0.237 |
0.315 |
0.299 |
0.285 |
76 |
||
|
Twins |
7.20% |
14.50% |
0.079 |
0.262 |
0.224 |
0.289 |
0.303 |
0.270 |
68 |
Laporta's 131 wRC+ ties him for sixth in the AL for first baseman with Adrian Gonzalez of Boston, who has gotten off to a slow start himself. I think if anyone would have told the majority of us here at LGT that Laporta would be the sixth best offensive first baseman in the the AL and carrying a 131 wRC+ or 138 OPS+, we would be ecstatic. If Laporta can maintain his presence in the top 8 of first baseman in the AL for the rest of the season, would you still be satisfied with him or would some of that previous prospect projectionism come back into play and raise expectations that he moves up the list?
notthatnoise made this point, but check out the baBIP, Laporta is at .254 coming into today. Both his BB% and K% are adequate when compared to his peers at the position, and there is a more than .100 point spread between his AVG. and OBP. indicating that low OBP is likely mostly the function of his poor baBIP than poor plate discipline (I will mention this caveat that his O-Swing % is 32.1, one of the poorer percentages at the position thus far and certainly a sign of caution about his prospects). As things normalize, and he can keep his approach consistent, we could see Laporta climbing these rankings. For some reason I was surprised by his ISO being near the top grouping of players at the position as well. I guess with all of the bombs Carlos Santana, Grady Sizemore, and Shin-Shoo Choo have hit recently Laporta's hits are going under the radar for me. Though once again, this might just be a function of the baBIP. I would love to see that SLG. climb into the .500 territory and stay there. At that point we could be talking a near .900 OPS and in this age, that would be something.
As briefly noted above, Laporta has some points of caution in his plate discipline percentages. In addition to his out of zone swing percentage, he has the third highest swinging strike percentage of the group (12.2%) and overall has the contact percentage on his swings (76.5%). These can be troubling signs that he is struggling with pitch recognition and adjusting to major league quality off-speed pitches. I would be interested in what those who have been able to watch him (I mostly listen to the games on the radio as I don't have cable and am blacked out of mlb.com because I live in Cleveland zone) what you think of his plate discipline and ability to recognize and lay off of breaking balls out-of-the zone is thus far.
Finally, what's the consensus feeling on Laporta at this point, are you still in "wait and see" mode or have you moved past worrying about him and now see him as a legitimate answer for the position through the near future.
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LaPorta being an average AL first baseman is definitely satisfactory, especially given the context of this team. Being so strong offensively up the middle (santana/cabrera/sizemore) is exactly what allows for this team to be fine with an average 1b. Becoming at least average at 3b and 2b.. that is the key right now..
I’m encouraged that LaPorta seems to be taking the ball the other way with some authority on this last home stand. If he starts hitting the ball where it’s pitched and can continue to pound mistakes out of the park to left, he really could be everything that he was advertised to be. Surprisingly, he seems to have more trouble hitting lefties than righties, rather surprising for a right-handed batter. I’d say it’s a small sample size (which certainly applies this year), but it has been the trend the last couple of years as well.
"I’ll happily embrace elevated hopes if that is the price to pay." - APV
On Twitter at @grantgw - sports and Cleveland and Columbus stuff
Thanks for the hat-tip, glad it led to so more in-depth research. Like I said in my comment, since this is such SSS, it’s hard to say whether it will continue or not, but I’d be ok with this current level of production, and am hopeful that a little bump in BABIP could raise that OBP a little, making him a clearly above average option at first.
His defense has also been pretty good, and while that isn’t so important at his position, it is certainly a bonus and shouldn’t be ignored.
"An intelligent man is sometimes forced to be drunk to spend time with his fools" -Hemingway
Wow, sorry for the run-on sentence there.
"An intelligent man is sometimes forced to be drunk to spend time with his fools" -Hemingway
by notthatnoise on May 2, 2011 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions
Actually, as long as we continue to run Grandpabrera out there at 2b, with his extremely limited range, first base defense is critical given our ground ball staff. Anything LaPorta can give us by ranging to his right will help make up for continuing to run Grandpa out there.
"I’ll happily embrace elevated hopes if that is the price to pay." - APV
On Twitter at @grantgw - sports and Cleveland and Columbus stuff
by woodsmeister on May 2, 2011 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions
He looked a bit defense in the dugout when a couple people were talking to him about it, up until Sandy spoke to him, he seemed to take what Sandy said, and the way Sandy just walked away after saying it (as in he didn’t care to hear any rebuttal from LaPorta) I think it was fair to say Sandy was pretty direct with him.
Correct me anyone if I am wrong, wasn’t there some thought that LaPorta was a bit stubborn and not as willing to use the coaching afforded him?
I’ve never heard that, that I can recall. The rumblings I remember were about his evangelicalism potentially being an issue.
I may be off on it, for some reason though it popped up in my mind when I was watching that exchange in the dugout with him following the missed infield pop up.
Maybe it’s David Huff I’m thinking about.
Also interesting and encouraging is that LaPorta has made the improvement this year while facing one of the lowest percentage of fastballs (~46%) of anyone in baseball.
It’s clear what the scouting report is against him and it’s clear that he’s making adjustments.
BAbip isn’t a magical number; it’s more than a mere reflection of lucky or unlucky bounces, but an indicator of a hitter’s abilty. LaPorta hasn’t played enough to enable us to figure out what his likely BAbip level is, but his 281/250/270 BAbips in his three partial seasons is less an indication of him laboring under a BAbip curse that an accurate reflection of how many dinky ABs he’s compiled. Most of his contemporaries at 1B had 2 or 3—or 7, in Miggy’s case—seasons of 300+ BAbip by the time they were LaPorta’s age.
But he’s clearly getting better, and I will note that Justin Morneau also had a 261 BAbip for his first three seasons before bustin’ loose, and that even a 270 BAbip, which Matty’s sporting at the moment, can go along with an 850 OPS just fine.
My initial reaction when LaPorta got off to a slow start was that he just looked bad at the plate. Very little of his lower half involved in his swing and too much arms. Now that he’s hitting with more power, I think that’s just his natural swing. He doesn’t generate much from his hips and legs as far as I can tell.
I’m encouraged by his progress. He’s still developing, but I don’t foresee him becoming an elite level power hitter that was maybe expected, or hoped for, following the trade.
Defensively, he’s been adequate at worst. With offense down, this aspect of his game, and everyone’s game for that matter, is significant.

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