I've been getting ready for the 2012 fantasy baseball season the past two weeks; and of course the first and most detailed team that I am projecting will be the Cleveland Indians. Last year I projected some players almost perfectly (Hafner, LaPorta, Santana, Brantley, both Perez's) and missed big on others (had Choo penciled in for 22 bombs and Asdrubal for 7. 450 plate appearances by Grady and missed Fausto's ERA by over a run.) Here are my 2012 projections that we could all be laughing at eight months time....
A few notes:
- I have Hannahan & Chiz sharing time at around a 65/35 split. I simply think that Hannahan's defense is too valuable to not being playing on a semi-regular basis. I also like Hannahan's approach at the plate. I think he's a solid player.
- I tried to go conservative but I do think this "could" be a bounce back season six years in the making for Travis Hafner. If he plays the way he has the previous five seasons I seriously doubt his option will be picked up in 2013 (see Grady Sizemore from last year.) If "Pronk" does fail to deliver a decent season this year - he could be done in the majors. Vladimir Guerrero and Johnny Damon - two probable future Hall of Famers - and to a lesser extent
Chris GimenezRaul Ibanez and Hideki Matsui, currently can't find work and they have a better track record than Pronk. The market for a DH isn't what it was even just a few years ago - more teams are using it as a revolting door to give guys a day off, using it as a platoon, ect. Travis Hafner dosen't peg me as the type of guy to play for the money; and I don't think that he hasn't been giving 100% the past five years, but I have to imagine the thought of this possibly being his last year in the majors - or at least last year as a starter (I guess he could find a Jim Thome role somewhere) isn't in the back of his mind somewhere. - Speaking of Pronk, I have him and Grady penciled in for one DL stint a piece, because frankly it seems silly not to predict that.
- I have "Fausto Carmona" coming back sometime around the all-star break. He was the hardest to predict. I also put my rose colored glasses on and am imagining that this entire false identity thing being lifted from his shoulders might make him a bit more relaxed and maybe we'll see more of the "good" Fausto than the "bad."
- No projections on guys that I think will have less than 150 AB or 25 IP. Too small of a sample to really make a prediction. Remember David Huff was actually Cliff Lee for about 25 innings last year and Orlando Cabrera was a .300 hitting RBI machine for a few weeks.
Onto the Predictions...
Starters:
POS: SS
H/AB: 170/592
R: 92
2B: 35
HR: 17
RBI: 84
BB: 48
SB: 18
BA: .287
OBP: .344
SLG: .453
OPS: .797
POS: C, 1B
H/AB: 147/565
R: 87
2B: 37
HR: 31
RBI: 97
BB: 103
SB: 4
BA: .260
OBP: .374
SLG: .497
OPS: .871
POS: RF
H/AB:165/572
R: 83
2B: 34
HR: 20
RBI: 86
BB: 78
SB: 22
BA: .288
OBP: .374
SLG: .472
OPS: .846
POS: 2B
H/AB:142/512
R: 78
2B: 32
HR: 18
RBI: 72
BB: 47
SB: 10
BA: .277
OBP: .341
SLG: .465
OPS: ..806
POS: LF, CF
H/AB:137/503
R: 70
2B: 25
HR: 8
RBI: 58
BB: 41
SB: 18
BA: .272
OBP: .333
SLG: .395
OPS: .728
POS: 1B
H/AB: 131/472
R: 50
2B: 28
HR: 9
RBI: 53
BB: 51
SB: 1
BA: .278
OBP: .352
SLG: .407
OPS: .759
POS: 3B
H/AB: 117/439
R: 58
2B: 28
HR: 14
RBI: 62
BB: 31
SB: 3
BA: .267
OBP: .318
SLG: .435
OPS: .753
Grady Sizemore
POS: CF, DH
H/AB: 104/437
R: 63
2B: 32
HR: 21
RBI: 61
BB: 38
SB: 4
BA: .237
OBP: .305
SLG: .459
OPS: .765
Travis Hafner
POS: DH
H/AB:116/412
R: 49
2B: 22
HR: 16
RBI: 62
BB: 50
SB: 0
BA: .281
OBP: .365
SLG: .452
OPS: .816
Bench:
Jack Hannahan, 3B/1B: 295 AB, 76 H, 37 R, 6 HR, 37 RBI, .258/.336/.389/.726
Jason Donald, Util: 237 AB, 68 H, 32 R, 2 HR, 24 RBI, .287/.357/.388/.745
Shelly Duncan, 1B/LF: 225 AB, 60 H, 29 R, 12 HR, 38 RBI, .267/.329/.480/.809
Lou Marson, C: 212 AB, 53 H, 25 R, 2 HR, 21 RBI, .250/.318/.344/.662
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rotation:
IP: 208
W/L: 15-11
ER: 75
SO/BB: 192-84
HR: 14
OAV: .237
ERA: 3.61
WHIP:1.28
IP: 204
W/L: 14-10
ER: 76
SO/BB: 162-68
HR: 12
OAV: .258
ERA: 3.73
WHIP:1.31
IP: 184
W/L: 11-9
ER: 82
SO/BB: 101/31
HR: 24
OAV: .254
ERA: 4.44
WHIP: 1.21
IP: 192
W/L: 10-12
ER: 87
SO/BB: 131-67
HR: 16
OAV: .278
ERA: 4.52
WHIP: 1.41
IP: 131
W/L: 6-7
ER: 60
SO/BB: 108-28
HR: 20
OAV: .282
ERA: 4.58
WHIP: 1.37
Fausto Carmona:
IP: 107
W/L: 8-5
ER: 44
SO/BB: 60-35
HR: 11
OAV: .267
ERA: 4.12
WHIP: 1.34
Bullpen Mafia:
Chris Perez, CL: 65 IP, 38 SV, 49-27 K/BB, .212 OBA, 1.16 WHIP, 3.47 ERA
Rafael Perez, LHS: 63 IP, 0 SV, 36-21 K/BB, .258 OBA, 1.28 WHIP, 3.51 ERA
Tony Sipp, LSU: 61 IP, 2 SV, 61-30 K/BB, .207 OBA, 1.21 WHIP, 3.44 ERA
Vinnie Pestano, RSU: 61 IP, 6 SV, 78-26 K/BB, .195 OBA, 1.11 WHIP, 2.96 ERA
Joe Smith, RHS: 60 IP, 0 SV, 48-23 K/BB, .212 OBA, 1.23 WHIP, 3.18 ERA
Dan Wheeler, Long: 58 IP, 0 SV, 48-14 K/BB, .232 OBA, 1.14 WHIP, 3.81 ERA
Robinson Tejada, Mop: 52 IP, 0 SV, 45-34 K/BB, .254 OBA, 1.33 WHIP, 3.95 ERA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AL Central Standings:
1. Cleveland Indians (89-73)
2. Detroit Tigers (88-74)
3. Chicago White Sox (80-82)
4. Kansas City Royals (78-84)
5. Minnesota Twins (71-91)
Cleveland Indians Team MVP:
1. Carlos Santana
2. Ubaldo Jimenez
3. Shin-Soo Choo
4. Justin Masterson
5. Asdrubal Cabrera
Opening Day Lineup:
Asdrubal, Kipnis, Choo, Santana, Pronk, Grady, Kotchman, Chisenhall, Brantley




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