Ben Lindbergh from Baseball Prospectus has a post on ESPN Insider comparing the Indians' good start this year to last year's start and explains why this year is different. Last year the Indians were playing well with performances that were unsustainable and that led to regression after the first two months. The article explains why this year's team is winning without too many players exceeding expectations; he says the offense could be expected to stay the same or even get better but the pitching might be due for some regression. Even so, their PECOTA projections forecasts a .522 winning percentage for the Indians the rest of this season. Their projections give the Indians a slightly larger than 50% chance of winning the division and about a 60% chance of making the playoffs.