How good (or bad) is Asdrubal Cabrera's defense? This recent comment by johnf34 sent me off to Fangraphs, Baseball Reference, Baseball Prospectus, and other sites on the interwebz to do some research. John thinks his defense is "poor at best"; I'm not so sure.
Droobs has played shortstop exclusively for the past 3 seasons; Fangraphs' UZR is pretty negative about his performance there.
2010: -7.7 (UZR/150: -13.4)
2011: -11.8 (UZR/150: -12.6)
2012: -9 (UZR/150: -10.3)
3-yr. average: -9.5 (-12.1)
So UZR sees him as a poor defender. Probably the best thing I can say here is that Jhonny Peralta was fourth best in UZR each of the last two seasons. I mean, really?
At Baseball Prospectus, FRAA had him slightly above average last year, but atrocious in 2011 and slightly below average in 2010.
2010: -2.7
2011: -19.0
2012: 2.5
The 3-year average is -6.4, heavily skewed by the terrible 2011.
Total Zone (which you can find at Baseball Reference as Rtot) looks better for Droobs. It flipped positive last year, leaving him perfectly average the last 3 years.
2010: -3
2011: -6
2012: +9
3-year average: 0
Defensive Runs Saved (Rdrs at BR) says he's basically average:
2010: -1
2011: 3
2012: -5
3-year average: -1
If you combine all four metrics for just 2012, he comes out at -3: a little below average.
I don't know who this blogger is, but he discusses problems with UZR and then says he will calculate his own Zone Rating and fielding runs from the simple RZR and OOZ figures at Fangraphs. This is how 2012 shortstops stack up according to his Zone Rating. The results end up looking weird. I won't bother with the fielding runs.
ZR = (PM + OOZ) / (BIZ + OOZ)
Ian Desmond: .874
Jhonny Peralta: .874
Mike Aviles: .871
Yunel Escobar: .869
J.J. Hardy: .868
Alexei Ramirez: .865
Brendan Ryan: .856
Clint Barmes: .855
Zach Cozart: .855
Brandon Crawford: .850
Ruben Tejada: .850
Elvis Andrus: .847
Everth Cabrera: .845
Jimmy Rollins: .838
Asdrubal Cabrera: .831
Jose Reyes: .831
Erick Aybar: .824
Starlin Castro: .819
Rafael Furcal: .816
Alcides Escobar: .791
Derek Jeter: .787
About the only thing that really makes sense here is Hardy being top-5 (defensive metrics usually say he's average at worst, often better, and they uniformly love his 2012 season), and Jeter being the worst. This makes Peralta look like a Gold Glove candidate, but in the real world, no one mistakes him for that kind of defender. Same goes for Desmond: he may be average, but he's not a world-beater. Droobs is tied for 15th here, but with the other problems, I can't trust this. The blogger admitted this will underrate players who make a lot of plays outside their zone of responsibility, and the rankings according to his calculation end up more messed up than UZR.
That little exercise was kind of futile, so let's do something else. Going back to Fangraphs: Droobs is at .750-.800 consistently in RZR, which is below average, but better than poor. However, he was tied with fifth in baseball with 77 out of zone plays. In 2011, he was fourth with 74. In 2010, he played only 825 innings, but among all five shortstops with 800-900 innings (Uribe, Hardy, Wilson, Furcal), he led easily with 42 out of zone plays. Obviously there are problems with this since things like defensive positioning could skew it, but it should probably be given a little consideration.
If you calculate Innings/OOZ for 2012 shortstops, Droobs comes in third. Here's the top 8:
J.J. Hardy: 13.20
Brendan Ryan: 13.45
Asdrubal Cabrera: 15.08
Rafael Furcal: 15.43
Mike Aviles: 15.59
Everth Cabrera: 15.78
Starlin Castro: 15.93
Elvis Andrus: 16.06
And bottom 5:
29.21: Ruben Tejada
28.48 Ian Desmond
28.42 Jimmy Rollins
26.06 Jhonny Peralta
25.18 Jose Reyes
What to make of this? In some ways the results make more sense than the previous exercise. Hardy and Ryan make sense at the top, because Ryan is awesome and Hardy had a great year. Aviles and Andrus are considered good defenders. Reyes has really declined, Desmond isn't known for great defense and has been bad in the past, Tejada is not a special defender, Rollins has declined, and the world has been turned right-side up again with Peralta. Furcal doesn't make as much sense; he was known for his defense but has been declining according to other stats. Castro and Everth Cabrera aren't considered defensive whizzes; FRAA is the only one of the four major defensive metrics that likes Cabrera, and Castro improved to league average according to the metrics last year.
This Tigers blogger used defensive metrics developed by Colin Wyers to rank 2012 shortstops. Here is his explanation of the acronyms and the table:
Table 1: Runs Saved by MLB Shortstops According to RZR, OOZ, 2012
| Player | Team | Inn | RZR | OOZ | PIZ AA | OOZ AA | PMAA | RSAA |
| J.J. Hardy | BAL | 1,439 | .833 | 109 | 13 | 31 | 44 | 33 |
| Brendan Ryan | SEA | 1,170 | .816 | 87 | 4 | 24 | 28 | 21 |
| Mike Aviles | BOS | 1,107 | .839 | 71 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 16 |
| Yunel Escobar | TOR | 1,250 | .846 | 72 | 16 | 4 | 20 | 15 |
| Alexei Ramirez | CHW | 1,392 | .837 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 11 |
| Elvis Andrus | TEX | 1,333 | .811 | 83 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| Everth Cabrera | SDP | 915 | .814 | 58 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera | CLE | 1,161 | .792 | 77 | -3 | 14 | 11 | 8 |
| Zack Cozart | CIN | 1,163 | .824 | 66 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 7 |
| Clint Barmes | PIT | 1,159 | .832 | 61 | 11 | -2 | 9 | 7 |
| Cliff Pennington | OAK | 805 | .840 | 42 | 9 | -2 | 7 | 5 |
| Rafael Furcal | STL | 1,034 | .777 | 67 | -8 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Starlin Castro | CHC | 1,402 | .779 | 88 | -9 | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| Brandon Crawford | SFG | 1,101 | .830 | 49 | 10 | -11 | -0 | -0 |
| Jhonny Peralta | DET | 1,277 | .853 | 49 | 16 | -20 | -4 | -3 |
| Ian Desmond | WSN | 1,139 | .855 | 40 | 14 | -22 | -7 | -6 |
| Erick Aybar | LAA | 1,189 | .793 | 57 | -3 | -7 | -10 | -8 |
| Ruben Tejada | NYM | 964 | .830 | 33 | 7 | -19 | -12 | -9 |
| Jose Reyes | MIA | 1,410 | .805 | 56 | 1 | -20 | -19 | -14 |
| Alcides Escobar | KCR | 1,379 | .750 | 73 | -19 | -2 | -21 | -16 |
| Derek Jeter | NYY | 1,186 | .747 | 61 | -18 | -3 | -21 | -16 |
| Jimmy Rollins | PHI | 1,364 | .815 | 48 | 5 | -26 | -21 | -16 |
According to this, Droobs is actually above average.
What to believe? Well...decide for yourself, and use more than one metric. If you just want to use your eyes, fine. At best, he's a bit above average; at worst, he's poor. I think he's around average, or maybe a little below.
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