Cleveland Indians Talk: The Intentional Underreaction Thread

Time for reality. - Jason Miller

From time to time we trot out an overreaction thread when the Indians go on a long losing streak (which has been often in recent years), but I think it's time to trot out its evil twin.

I'll start.

The Indians have now won 18 out of their last 22 games, which ranks among the hottest streaks ANY team has had over the last decade. And the last four games? Wow, just wow.

So it's time to stop back and look a bit more realistically at this team. This team will not continue to win at this pace for much longer, and it's best to prepare ourselves for that stretch of mediocrity. Of course, we all would have loved mediocrity last August, but I suppose our expectations have changed a bit.

The starting rotation is still a giant question mark, as shown yesterday. Scott Kazmir, who has become one of the best stories of the season so far, had an outing reminiscent of his time with the Angels. We don't know how long the transmogrification will last on Ubaldo Jimenez, and we don't know whether we can repeat the transmogrification. Zach McAllister hasn't thrown a full major-league season. And then there's Brett Myers...

The Indians are getting contributions from everyone in the lineup or on the, from Yan Gomes to Ryan Raburn to Drew Stubbs, but you can't count on those contributions to continue to happen exactly when needed. The Indians are batting .274/.345/.492 with Runners in Scoring Position - that's not likely to continue at that rate, even if the Indians continue to score runs at their present rate.

The Indians have also had a remarkable close-and-late record, and the club has been winning in recent games despite the bullpen giving up home runs. Either the bullpen needs to stop giving up home runs, or the Indians won keep winning those close games.

The Indians also have a brutal schedule coming up between now and the middle of June, with games against Detroit (5), Boston (4), New York (3), Cincinnati (4), Texas (3), Tampa Bay (3), and Washington (3), all teams presently above .500, and only Tampa Bay is not in either first or second place in their division.

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