Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians 3
Recap
Box Score
Win Probability Added @ Fangraphs
Highest WPA:
Franklin Gutierrez .254
Chris Gomez .089
Victor Martinez .055
Lowest WPA:
Asdrubal Cabrera -.247
Jhonny Peralta -.227
Casey Blake -.216
Another game, another dreadful display of offense. I suppose this quote states it better than I can:
"You have to be positive. I don't think anyone is panicking. In the past, I think some people might have pushed the panic button. We have to believe we're going to do it."
You could argue that Pettitte was simply on his game today. But if so, then virtually every pitcher the team faced in the past month has been on his game, a probability on par with a pig flying past my window in the next hour. And when a lineup full of talented hitters all struggle at the same time, wouldn't the most reasonable explanation be what Blake is talking about?
The most frustrating thing about this stretch of losing is that the Indians have just now fallen into second place in the AL Central, and a couple wins from regaining the lead.
Next Up: Detroit comes to town on Tuesday. Bonderman vs. Sabathia, 7:05 PM.
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Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
GO TRIBE!
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
And I'm delighted that CC has the next start, and that it's against the recently languid Bonderman of all people. In baseball nothing is a foregone conclusion, but I like the way we're positioned for this series.
by homelytourist on Aug 12, 2007 11:23 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
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Brother Blake's stats so far this year: .265 .339 .443
I was gonna give you the league average for third baseman but then I realized it wouldn't make any difference. You just wanna vent or argue or some other time wasting conflict.
Casey Blake is a decent third baseman. Enough said.
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
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3
If we let Detroit walk all over us and let Tampa Bay off the hook .. I don't see how we can recover going forward.
Looking at how the Yanks are playing and how favorable the Mariners schedule is ..I'm not sure if the wildcard is a realistic goal at this point. Winning the division seems much easier.
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I keep expecting them to turn it around, but it's been about a month of just really bad production.
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
1st Half: 655 SO, 333 BB
2nd Half: 235 SO, 86 BB
Don't swing at pitches outside the strike zone, you get to swing at pitches inside the strike zone.
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
I hope someone starts getting hot, because I think Garko might be coming back down to Earth soon and he's been one of the only productive bats in the lineup.
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Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Part of me is grateful for the season they have had thus far. I never would have predicted them being in the race this far into the season. But the other side of me is pissed at the lackadaisical (sp?) attitude. "It's tough" says Casey. That to me sounds like depression as opposed to aggravation. I would rather hear "We suck, a lot of us in here need to stop playing like a bunch of p***ies and pick it up, now."
by BoDiaz1974 on Aug 12, 2007 11:57 PM EDT reply actions
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
by BoDiaz1974 on Aug 13, 2007 2:38 AM EDT reply actions
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Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Sometimes, you need to set an example that mental errors such as his will have consequences.
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
by Bill Glynn on Aug 13, 2007 8:29 AM EDT reply actions
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
it reminds me of '05, last game, at the jake. you know, the one against the sox, no W/C, wickman tossing balls into the crowd, his fat ass off to retirement.
i'm standing behind this lady who, after a tribe hitter walked, said, oh, good grief, enough with the walks.
oh, sweet, sweet, bill glynn, my boy.
by thetravishalffull on Aug 13, 2007 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions
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by tborish on Aug 13, 2007 9:22 AM EDT reply actions
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by Turkmenbashi on Aug 13, 2007 9:55 AM EDT up reply actions
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by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions
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it's such i'm-a-baseball-know-it-all snobbery, and it wouldn't be your opinion if it didn't happen to be billy bean's in moneyball.
clutch exists. it's simply blown out of proportion by baseball-media douches.
by thetravishalffull on Aug 13, 2007 9:22 PM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 9:32 PM EDT up reply actions
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by thetravishalffull on Aug 13, 2007 9:34 PM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions
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Second, clutch only exists (to me, anyway--from here on out this is all opining) in the opposite way people think it does. Baseball players buy into the media just like baseball fans do, and can therefore psych themselves out/think too much/distract themselves/whatever during these tight game-on-the-line situations. To be clutch is to not be psyching yourself out.
But I do not, for one second, believe that a major league baseball player can somehow raise his standard of play for one at-bat when he wasn't already doing that for every at-bat over the course of his entire career. I do not believe that any player's chance of getting a hit increases outside of his normal abilities. To that matter we will have to agree to disagree.
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by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 9:36 PM EDT up reply actions
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well stated, and i can't say it doesn't nudge me toward your side.
whether it exists, i just find it kind of funny that the haughtiness (oh, sp) surrounding the issue didn't pop until moneyball hit the shelves.
by thetravishalffull on Aug 13, 2007 9:40 PM EDT up reply actions
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bean's personality in the book comes off as very persuasive. he's opinionated and readers, at least i had this experience, want to be on his side for fear of suffering his wrath. (i'm not a baseball ignoramus, billy.)
i'm sure if he was more measured in his anti-clutch stance, the anti-clutchers in LGT and elsewhere wouldn't act like such dick schofields about it.
of this, i'm confident.
by thetravishalffull on Aug 13, 2007 9:50 PM EDT up reply actions
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Highlights:
(about Jeter) "Mr. Clutch is actually Mr. Exactly the Same No Matter What Month You Are Talking About. He is Mr. Equally Excellent Hitting SS Every Month from April to November. He is Mr. Outrageously Similar Statistics Every 30 Days."
(on Jason Bay's mysterious dip in AVG with RISP over the past three years) "How is that the conclusion?! The conclusion should be: in small numbers of data points, there is bound to be enormous fluctuation. This is like saying: yesterday it was sunny, today it poured. Surely, some Fertility God disapproved of our elk sacrifice."
(about the AVG with RISP statistic) "So what does that teach us? It teaches us that it's not that crucial a stat, relatively speaking, because if the team isn't getting anyone on base, you can hit .300 with RISP and you won't score as many runs as other teams with lower BA and SLG with RISP. See?"
(on pitching around Eckstein to get to Pujols) "Well. I'm not "inside the game," which invalidates my opinion in the eyes of some. But isn't this quality merely one aspect of what determines a "good" player? And thus, isn't it sort of making our argument for us? In other words, the players one thinks of as "clutch" are just always good. Or, in Eckstein's case, "clutch" is simply a false notion, since very basic statistics show that he is no better in "clutch" situations than in regular situations. The end."
Brilliant stuff.
by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions
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Freddy Sanchez:
He rolled his eyes, remembering those four consecutive strikeouts in a game last week in Milwaukee.
"Trust me: If I'm feeling lousy at the plate like that, I'm not just going to walk up there with bases loaded and get a hit because I'm some great clutch hitter."
Jason Bay:
I'm not trying to be snide, but I disagree with your claim that anyone who plays at a high level believes in clutch hitters.
I would like to add that I 100% agree with Jason Bay.
(Oh, yeah, the link.)
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We could argue all day about clutch, but the fact is that some players don't let the pressure affect them. They feed off of it. I think that the reason that people don't like clutch is that it messes up their numbers. Clutch isn't some stat. It's feeling you can and will accomplish what you need to do. Don't get me wrong I'm all for stats, but the Game is about more than just stats.
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I think that anyone who has played baseball at a reasonable level would agree that there are clutch hitters. I'd like to ask what's the highest level you've played at? Not trying to sound arrogant, I'm just wondering.
This is possibly a long tangent, but I actually think it works the opposite of the way you think it does. Reasonably good college players probably would like to think of themselves as more similar to major leaguers than to little leaguers, but that doesn't make it so.
A key factor in all of this, I believe, is professionalism. And by that I mean, it's your job, and you get up every day and do your job -- playing baseball in this case. And there is a consistency that goes along with that, and common sense tells us that the consistency of approach and mechanics of any professional ballplayer must vastly, vastly exceed that of a college player, purely based on days and hours and reps alone.
So my guess is that the higher up you go, the less that "clutch" matters, because there's far less variability between your good moments and bad moments -- that is professionalism. You raise your skills to the point where you still give a good performance on a bad day, and you're still one of the best in the world. That certainly is the case in the performing arts, which has its own athletic and mechanical and mental aspects, and I don't know why it would be different in pro sports.
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Anyone who has come close to excelling on a small leve at anything has been faced with a situation that is roughly equivalent to what even a high level college player or minor leaguer can lay claim to. A lawyer taking the bar, a doctor taking the boards, anyone working a job where they're on a hard deadline, hell, a student who has to do well on an exam is under a level of pressure, in terms of the impact on the rest of their life and others, as somone who's playing college baseball but isn't a prospect. Similarly, the head of a major corporation goes through situations that you might equate to a major leaguer.
The way people think of "clutch" isn't unique to baseball. Everyone faces situations like this. They vary in significant ways but there's no reason sports, or for the purpose of this conversation those who like to think of themselves as high level or former high level amateur athletes, can be claimed as the place where clutch matters the most or whatever. It's just in a particular media spotlight.
And I don't buy that the media spotlight is what matters. If a CEO screws up at work today thousands of people can lose their job. It's not the same as being in the media but it matters in it's own way that you could argue is more important.
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If shit hits the fan across a CEO's desk, it can be literally anything and, in many cases, they cannot make a mistake.
You can try to explain it away but I don't think it's any more than speculation on either of our parts. High level professionals have to perform at a high level under intense pressure. Baseball doesn't get to corner the market.
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I would agree that clutch is all mental, and I would agree that some people handle pressure situations differently from others. My point is that at the highest professional levels, the skill and preparation level mean that mental differences are translating into vanishingly small physical differences, possibly non-existent ones.
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Every single time, you know what my approach was? The same as it was in the first inning: get on base. The only things racing through my mind were the scouting reports on the pitcher and what I had seen from him in the past. At no point did I ever worry or panic because the game was on the line...and anybody who ever played baseball can tell you that.
IMO, if anyone has a "clutch ability" to raise their performance when the game is on the line, it is so incredibly small that it wouldn't make a bit of difference in their actual performance.
by Kos @ Let's Go Tribe! on Aug 14, 2007 8:03 PM EDT up reply actions
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by Kos @ Let's Go Tribe! on Aug 15, 2007 5:40 AM EDT up reply actions
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Chaire Holloway: Here in Cleveland? I didn't know they still had a team!
Jake Taylor: Yup, we've got uniforms and everything, it's really great!
COULD HAVE FOOLED ME!!!
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
by SpringTrainingFun on Aug 13, 2007 10:22 AM EDT reply actions
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:badum-dump:
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by Tribe Alive on Aug 13, 2007 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions
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Maybe they all have carpal tunnel syndrome, and it's affecting bat speed?
by JulioBernazard on Aug 13, 2007 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions
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"Our offense is fine...they are one of the top run producing offenses in baseball."
-heard by optimistic Indian fans a million times a year for the last 3 years
GOOD ONE!!! HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!
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by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions
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Bad luck I've been told. More like bad hitting and yes, lack of clutch hitting.
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Pre-All Star: 471 RS (2nd), .350 OBP (5th), .442 SLG (4th), 655 K (5th most), 333 BB (3rd most)
Post-All Star: 122 RS (28th), .316 OBP (26th), .382 SLG (T-27th), 241 K (MLB high), 88 BB (22nd most)
by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions
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by Turkmenbashi on Aug 13, 2007 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions
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by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions
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Outscore opponents 14-7, but lose series. That seems to be how things have been going.
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by Tribe Alive on Aug 13, 2007 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game One
Don't worry men, we'll get them tomorrow...
Don't worry men, we'll get them tomorrow...
Don't worry men, we'll get them tomorrow...
Don't worry men, we'll get them tomorrow...
Don't worry men, we'll get them tomorrow...
by tborish on Aug 13, 2007 10:45 AM EDT reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions
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by Turkmenbashi on Aug 13, 2007 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions
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by Rayman @ Let's Go Tribe! on Aug 13, 2007 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions
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by NickFantana on Aug 13, 2007 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen:
He's probably just expressing frustration at the fact that he doesn't get to write about Wedge's furious outburst at Peralta in the dugout or how Wedge showed Peralta up by pulling him from the game and berating him.
Wedge didn't deny that he made a mistake, he just didn't throw a Guillen-esque temper tantrum. That's just fine by me.
by NickFantana on Aug 13, 2007 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions
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by JulioBernazard on Aug 13, 2007 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions
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The guy is the anti-Ozzie Guillen .. quit trying to crucify the guy for being himself.
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This is just the media and the fans wanting something To Be Done in public view.
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If Peralta would hit like Manny his bonehead play would be overlooked.
Peralta will be moved in the off season - to either 3B or out of the organization, IMO
by SpringTrainingFun on Aug 13, 2007 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions
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But the question of where we draw the line in terms of the tradeoffs is still open, I think. Are we at the point where we should consider getting rid of him? I don't think so. But the notion isn't ridiculous enough to me mocked.
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IMO, from what I've seen of Cabrera in spring training and in limited play so far on the ML level, he looks to be a superior defensive SS than Peralta.
Cabrera being a switch hitter, I could see him batting second in the lineup. he has above average speed and I think he is probably a better bunter than many others in the lineup, which would help him in advancing runners.
Peralta has improved over last year, no question. One of the best things he has learned to do is go the opposite way. That's a sign of a hitter maturing, IMO.
I think Peralta's range projects him more to that of a third baseman. If this would occur next year, Blake could move into the position of 'super-sub' playing a combination of 1B, 3B, and outfield.
We had this conversation regarding Peralta switching to 3B at length in the past and I think Jay was against it - although my memory could be wrong.
Who knows what will happen with the "major league ready" Andy Marte.
by SpringTrainingFun on Aug 13, 2007 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions
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Agree with this, if Cabrera is in fact ready for the majors. But realistically speaking, I think they'll give Asdrubal another year in the minors unless they totally give up on Marte.
Re: Game
Miserable. Stupendously miserable. Sitting three seats from a Yankees fan who thought it was clever to yell "Grady Sucks" repeatedly. It didn't dawn on him that in 6 years or whatever Grady will be playing CF for the Yankees I guess.
I don't know what to say. I am just going to hope it works out. I'm not sure how many more games I'll watch unless they seem to have definitely turned it around. I can't put myself through this.
Oh, and Alex Rodriguez is like nothing I've ever seen. Unbelievable.
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by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions
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Link: http://blog.cleveland.com/metro/2007/08/grady_and_the_gang_play_ball.html
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions
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I love baseball.
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You can't really fault Datz. I watched the super slow-motion replay, and you can see him lunge towards Peralta in a yelling motion as soon as he saw Phillips running towards 1st. Maybe a half-second later than you would hope, but Phillips was pretty damn sly in sneaking towards 1st. I guess you could argue that Datz should have reminded JP about Pettitte's pickoff move.
The main culprit for what transpired was the fact that Jhonny was basically standing upright, not the size of his lead. He was about to take a secondary lead while still basically upright when he saw Pettitte motion towards 1st and heard Datz at the same time. He was terribly off balance, which was why we fell down awkwardly before even getting to 1st.
Let's not forget that it was a great at-bat that got Jhonny to 1st to begin with. I'd like to think that he would be able to maintain his focus after such an intense at-bat, but who knows.
by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions
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by Chagrin Rick on Aug 13, 2007 8:46 PM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 9:30 PM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions
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by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions
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"We have a stopwatch too!"
by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 8:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
For individual regulars (see: qualified players) on the Tribe, compared to their AL counterparts at specific positions...
1B Ryan Garko: 5th of 9 in Range Factor 9.29 - 7th of 9 in Zone Rating .824 - 9th of 9 in Fielding PCT .992
2B Josh Barfield: 4th of 12 in Range Factor 5.14 - 11th of 12 in Zone Rating .805 - 11th of 12 in Fielding PCT .977
3B Casey Blake: 7th of 11 in Range Factor 2.64 - 12th of 12 in Zone Rating .720 - T-8th of 12 in Fielding PCT .955
SS Jhonny Peralta: 2nd of 13 in Range Factor 4.68 - 10th of 13 in Zone Rating .801 - 5th of 13 in Fielding PCT .972
CF Grady Sizemore: 8th of 10 in Range Factor 2.66 - 1st of 10 in Zone Rating .929 - 4th of 10 in Fielding PCT .993
C Victor Martinez: 3rd of 8 in Range Factor 6.96 - 8th of 8 in Zone Rating .800 - 3rd of 8 in Fielding PCT .995
P Fausto Carmona: 1st of 38 in Range Factor 2.61 - 29th of 38 in Zone Rating .963 - 20th of 38 in Fielding PCT .978
P C.C. Sabathia: 37th of 38 in Range Factor 0.83 - T-1st of 38 in Zone Rating 1.000 - 30th of 38 in Fielding PCT .941
P Paul Byrd: 14th of 38 in Range Factor 1.84 - T-1st of 38 in Zone Rating 1.000 - T-1st of 38 in Fielding PCT 1.000
And just for clarification if you don't know how those statistics are calculated...
- Range Factor: ((PO + A) divided by innings) (more here)
- Zone Rating: The percentage of balls fielded by a player in his typical defensive "zone," as measured by STATS, Inc. (see here)
- Fielding Percentage: ((PO + A) divided by (PO + A + E))
by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions
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by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 13, 2007 9:15 PM EDT up reply actions
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 10:01 PM EDT reply actions
Re: Game One 3
:shrug:
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by supermarioelia on Aug 13, 2007 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions
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by Rayman @ Let's Go Tribe! on Aug 13, 2007 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions
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Good thing i've been in 1st/2nd for the whole season in my other one, or i'd be pissed at myself.
by Rayman @ Let's Go Tribe! on Aug 14, 2007 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions
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Q: Do you think the Indians are kicking themselves for failing to take advantage of the Tigers woes? They could easily be in command of the Central. This next stretch with the Yanks and Indians will show if the Tigers can get out of their funk and be true contenders -- which I think they can. Remember, Yanks still have zero pitching.
washingtonpost.com: If the Indians attempted to kick themselves right now, they would most likely swing and miss.
Re: Game One Hundred Eighteen: Yankees 5, Indians
by CarnegieAndOntario on Aug 14, 2007 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions

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