Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Recap
Box Score
Win Probability Added @ Fangraphs
Highest WPA:
Rafael Perez .044
Ryan Garko .040
Casey Blake .035
Lowest WPA:
Grady Sizemore -.142
David Dellucci -.121
Victor Martinez -.121
The game wasn't too interesting. The Red Sox got an early lead, Josh Beckett shut the Indians down, the Indians made a semblance of a comeback, but ultimately came up short. Time for some topical opinions:
(1) Trot Nixon should be platooned. And by platooned, I mean benched when the Indians face a left-handed starter. And benched when facing a left-handed reliever in the late innings. I don't care if this is Nixon's only trip to Fenway Park, he needed to be pinch-hit for in the ninth inning. Jason Michaels is on this team for a reason.
Some relevant statistics:
Nixon vs. LHP, career: .214/.308/.324
Okajima vs. LHB, 2007: .094/.216/.094 (small sample size)
The whole idea behind the outfield of platoons is that the Indians could leverage a two players' disparate splits in such a way that the combined at-bats for the position would resemble a pretty good corner outfielder. They've given Nixon almost as many at-bats (40) versus left-handers as Kelly Shoppach has had in total (46). Not surprisingly, Nixon's splits are in line with his career averages.
(2) Andy Marte should still be in Cleveland. I understand that they needed an extra arm in the bullpen, and Rafael Perez will help. But would there be anything wrong with giving Andy 2-3 weeks' worth of regular at-bats? Now the option has been exercised, and the Indians will be forced to keep Andy in Cleveland in 2008. So where do you play Casey Blake 3-4 times a week? The outfield, where he should be. Both Nixon and Dellucci need to sit against left-handers, and Dellucci hasn't exactly been hitting right-handers with much authority either. Will Dellucci eventually figure it out? Probably, given his career numbers. But if you have other options, why not use them while he does work out of it? There is a way to fit Marte into the rotation, but it's obviously too controversial for Eric Wedge to address.
Note that I'm not saying "play Marte until August because he has promise!" Maybe he'll never hit. Perhaps Casey Blake will be the best option at third base in 2007. But instead of burning Marte's last option, the Indians had the opportunity to see whether he could stay in the majors, and had the backup plan in place. If he still isn't hitting by the end of June, then go ahead and send him back. The problem is that I don't see any chance of him coming back before September unless Casey Blake gets hurt, thanks to the way both Ben Francisco and Franklin Gutierrez are hitting.
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Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Oh wait, that is not going to happen. Does anyone still believe that Marte has a future as an above average 3B?
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Meanwhile, grand slam, Josh Rodriguez. The elementary school crowd goes crazy.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
by homelytourist on May 30, 2007 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Did you at least get the ball?
By the way, Marte with a towering 3 run shot in Indy.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
by homelytourist on May 30, 2007 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
by BostonWahoo on May 30, 2007 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
by dgcambridge on May 30, 2007 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
by drerikbrady on May 30, 2007 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
by drerikbrady on May 30, 2007 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
He's been in pro baseball since he was 17 and was probably scouted since he was around 15. I'd like to think people who've watched him develop physically have a good understanding of his age, though maybe that's naive.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
by woodsmeister on May 30, 2007 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
I always had a soft spot for the thirsty scholar because of the name and image of a bunch of scholars sitting around drinking after a hard night at the science library.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
My under-educated, low-rent opinion is that when the division lead is on the line, you go with your best options. 2008 will sort itself out. Today you play to win today.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
As for Marte, I'm less concerned. He can play his way onto the team earlier than September by hitting. A 850+ OPS would be nice. I guess the Blake situation makes it seem like its a competition between Marte and Francisco/Gutz, but the latter two have significantly more veteran competition.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
a permutation on the ricciardi method of handling "injured" pitchers
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
On the brighter side, Hafner's last two PAs were promising, rifling a triple (his second!) and drawing a walk off of a guy who destroys lefties. Hopefully, this is a sign of things to come.
by one size more on May 30, 2007 2:57 PM EDT reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
This is the kind of positive energy that Pronk needs for us to keep pointing out.
by woodsmeister on May 30, 2007 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
So Marte has the youth thing going for him, but maybe not as much as we would like.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Old player skills do fine for many guys, anyway. They just tend not to age well into their thirties which is fine for the Indians.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
If I remember correctly (correct me if I'm wrong), young player skills: batting average, speed (steals and triples), prime defensive position (CF or SS), overall athleticism.
Old player skills: Walks, power.
Sizemore and Barfield are your prototypical young players. Garko and Pronk have more of the older skills, but still have the important batting average skill (and they are older). Peralta is a mish-mash. Marte definitely is on the older side with his skills.
It is not that old players skills are bad, it is just that young players who exhibit only these skills don't seem to work out very well. And its not like they work out for a while and then they decline quicker, they often don't work out at all.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Looking at Thome, Glaus, and a couple of other guys it appears you're probably right.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
I have to believe he has pressed when in the majors.
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
by woodsmeister on May 30, 2007 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
Re: Game Fifty: Red Sox 4, Indians 2
I don't think so. It was an opportunity to give Cabrera a shot; not a mop-up situation but relatively low risk.
If the Indians had not allowed a run in that inning already, the Tribe would have come back to tie it.

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