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Sabathia rules out contract extension

Through a statement posted on his official web site, C.C. Sabathia has ruled out further negotiations on a contract extension until after the 2008 season.

There will be time after the season for the Indians and my representatives to discuss my contract status.  I remain hopeful that these discussions will result in a contract extension that will keep me with the franchise for many years to come.

Let me be really clear about this:  This means C.C. will not be a Cleveland Indian after 2008.  Despite his polite encouragement, there is no real rational reason to believe he will choose to re-sign with the Indians once he is eligible for free agency at the end of the season.  This announcement also contradicts directly his prior statements, in which he said he intended to engage with his agents in the process of working out a deal once he reported to Spring Training.

Even the most elite players often opt to extend contracts with their current teams before they reach free agency, passing up significant potential money in the process.  While it would have been an uncharacteristic risk, the Indians conceivably could have extended C.C.'s contract along the lines of other top pitchers in similar circumstances.  Indeed, the Indians reportedly made an opening offer to Sabathia in the range of $70 million over four additional years, ending in 2012, an offer more generous than those accepted by Roy Oswalt, Roy Halladay, Mark Buerhle and Jake Peavy over the past 18 months.

It is unknown whether Sabathia's agents ever seriously engaged the Indians in negotiations after that initial offer.  No subsequent offer, counter-offer or discussion was ever reported.  What is known is that the Indians will not be serious bidders in a free agent market which in Sabathia's case conceivably will exceed $150 million.  And hometown discounts, to the extent that they are ever given, are rarely given by major players who are already looking at competing offers from other teams.

If Sabathia had any serious intention of accepting a shorter (and thus smaller) contractual commitment from the Indians, at any time, there is no conceivable reason why he wouldn't instruct his attorneys to strike the best deal possible right now.  At this moment, his value is at its peak, and he faces significant risk of a devaluing (or even career-ending) injury in the coming year.  He simply stands far more to gain by re-signing with the Indians now rather than doing so at the end of the season, and the Indians' bottom line is not going to move much in that time.  The inescapable conclusion, therefore, is that he does not intend to settle for a shorter contractual commitment with the Indians, now or at any future point.

So unless Sabathia unexpectedly does a 180 on his negotiating stance mid-year, he really is as good as gone.  That being the only reasonable supposition, the Indians are now obliged to consider seriously any trade offers involving Sabathia over the next month, and one can assume that they will take seriously any offer that preserves their overall ability to compete in 2008.

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Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
May as well win the whole thing this year, then.

by maledicta on Feb 14, 2008 2:06 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
This is not unexpected.  However, I think Shapiro would be willing to accept an AL pennant, with a chance at the WS title for the 1st time in 60 years, in 2008 in exchange for letting CC walk at the end of the season.  If CC is moved while the Indians are still in contention, the lost attendance and interest may be far more costly than the benefit of what is received in trade.  If the Indians fall out of contention, then it would make sense to trade him to a contender.

CC will get a chance early to show if he is still improving.  His 2nd start of the season will be in Oakland (essentially his home-town team), where he has been nototiously unsuccessful during his career.

by palcal on Feb 14, 2008 2:38 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
+1 . . . except for that little 'aside' paragraph at the end, which makes no sense whatsoever.

by DocNo on Feb 14, 2008 5:48 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Ride him hard, put him away wet.

by pdx on Feb 14, 2008 5:34 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Yep.  I think this is why Shapiro is not sounding any alarm bells.  The Indians still have one last hurrah with a pitcher in his prime.  

by Spidey on Feb 14, 2008 8:55 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Nolan Ryan's age 27 season?  332 IP.  The bar has been set, CC.

by mkwng on Feb 14, 2008 9:17 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
 I was thinking the same thing after reading the article

by tribe204854 on Feb 14, 2008 11:09 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
This is a really tough call for the FO. I dont envy their position.

While they may see some appealing offers early on, there is always going to be the temptation that one of the big spenders will be a couple games out around the all-star break and willing to shell out prospects and some show-ready talent for an impact pitcher like CC.

CC just moved you into check Shapiro, tough move.

As General Manager of this team, I demand to know when I'm getting a start.

by bigbrabbs on Feb 14, 2008 6:26 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Well it doesn't really bother me that he's going after the money and contract length.  However, I yelled "BOOOOOO" at my computer when I read this.

by Rachie on Feb 14, 2008 7:07 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Well what can I say?  I wasn't holding out much hope for a contract extension, mostly cuz a "reasonable" extension would probably be a bad deal for CC and a bad deal for the Tribe.
"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Feb 14, 2008 7:26 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Hey Chuck, you want that six pack in bottles or cans?  

by NickFantana on Feb 14, 2008 8:50 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Kegs bro, kegs
"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Feb 14, 2008 9:32 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Yeah I've gotta hand it to you. You definitely called this.

by supermarioelia on Feb 14, 2008 10:32 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Is it possible that he said this just so he has a good reason to not have to answer questions about it all season?  I would have to believe that agents & FO are still talking but CC wants to concentrate on pitching...

by stuart dean on Feb 14, 2008 7:49 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Dude, CC's just not that into you (us).

by rog on Feb 14, 2008 10:41 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
This team and this front office have never been about betting the farm on one player, and if we were to commit 17-18 million to C.C. over a course of 4-5 years, that's what we'd be doing (barring a dramatic increase in payroll).  This should leave us with additional flexibility to shore up our corner positions, or to make a trade mid-season to get a number of high-level prospects in return.  The Yankees may not put together the same package they did for Santana, but that was the offseason.  Middle of a pennant race, looking up at Boston, pitching staff sucking wind, jobs on the line, let's see how close they come.  I'll bet they could be squeezed.  Of course it depends primarily on whether or not we're competing at that point.

by maledicta on Feb 14, 2008 7:53 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Trade him. May-ish to June-ish would be great. Maybe Miller will be ready by then, or maybe Cliff will have pulled his head out of his compound noun. I will admit though, that

Fausto
Westbrook
Laffey
Cliff Lee
Byrd
Miller?

does not scare anybody.

by gte619n on Feb 14, 2008 7:58 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Very well stated Jay.  

It's time to look to a future that does not include C.C. in a Tribe uniform as he has made it very clear as to his long term intentions.

Business is business.  Trade him to the highest bidder, preferably a NL team, but I wouldn't preclude a trade to ANY team if the Indians get a great offer.

by SpringTrainingFun on Feb 14, 2008 8:11 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Ya know those pinstripes are slimming.
"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Feb 14, 2008 8:16 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
How about:

CC to the Dodgers
Kershaw and Kemp to the Tribe?

by gte619n on Feb 14, 2008 8:15 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Find a way to include Broxton in the deal and I'll sign off right now.  

by Fundamentals on Feb 14, 2008 10:54 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
As far as I'm concerned they absolutely HAVE to trade him, especially since he did them the favor of coming right out and saying it rather than continuing to "negotiate" which, as Jay points out above, may not have ever occurred in earnest.  

Can we lift the swearing ban for the day?  CC has really broken my heart with this.

by NickFantana on Feb 14, 2008 8:52 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Couldn't agree more with your sentence, especially about the swearing. I actually feel sick here.

by supermarioelia on Feb 14, 2008 9:02 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I'll probably be posting on this diary sporadically throughout the day since my head is spinning right now from the news.

My first reaction though is frustration at not even knowing who to be most upset with since we have no clue what the last offer was. Is Shap being cheap? Is C.C. demanding too much? Of course based on how the negotiations have gone so far we'll have no idea what the answers are until he either signs or is traded. So for now we just sit in limbo being mad at the world in general.

by supermarioelia on Feb 14, 2008 9:14 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
No, I don't think anyone inside the Cleveland organization is beign cheap - just realistic.  So in the end CC is no different than Belle or Manny or Thome.  

Like I said before, $20M per year is just too damn much money for anyone on the Tribe's payroll - and CC will get every nickel of that as a free agent.  But it's not too much for half a dozen other ML teams. Here's all you really need to know.  Cleveland's the 24th largest market in America and shrinking.  There's no way in hell the Indians can generate the same revenue as the top five metro areas.  Simple economics.

Like Michael Corleone usta say,"it's just business".

"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Feb 14, 2008 9:41 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Well, that's not an entirely accurate statement.  You must look at the COMBINED statistical area to see Cleveland's market size, which is really 15th in the nation.  And Cleveland's potential market outside of the CSA is strong as well, since the state has fairly dense population even in the extreme outer reaches, perhaps all the way into Columbus market (Canton, for instance, is not in the CSA yet would clearly be part of the Indians market.  Even Youngstown could be fertile territory since the Pirates are not natural rivals).  But, yeah, I still get your point.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Table_of_United_States_Combined_Statistical_Areas

by William Gerard Nahorodny on Feb 15, 2008 2:36 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
OK, say you're estimate is better.  Now we're 15th at just under 3M, while the NY area is a little over 21M.  The over top eight are at least twice as large as Cleveland - and they're all growing while the Cleveland CSA is still shrinking.

No, anyway you slice it we can't compete economically with the Big Boyz.  We gotta out smart 'em that's all.

"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Feb 15, 2008 7:08 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I think we need to hold onto him this year and go for it.

by Roger Dorn on Feb 14, 2008 9:29 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
With CC's stated intention of not signing a contract extension, he will not have nearly as much trade value. The Twins were able to get what they did for Santana as the Mets were basically trading for 1 year of Santana plus exclusive bargaining rights.

The tribe cannot get Philip Hughes and another prospect for CC. They can't even get just Hughes.

CC has the most value for a team competing for the playoffs. He only gets traded if the tribe falls out of contention in 08. And I don't want to think about that.  

Jay, you have been correct on the CC situation for over 2 years now. I'm impressed.

by oxforddave on Feb 14, 2008 9:43 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I agree, Sabathia's situation is different than Santana because he is not currently open to negotiations like Santana was.

Unfortunately, the Santana trade screwed things up on a second front as well, setting a poor precedent for what the Tribe would get back in a trade (not Hughes).  That really bothers me and was my biggest fear once NY and Boston took their initial offers off the table for Santana.  

It's not that the front office moved too late in negotiations (I think they did as much as possible, both in terms of the contract and the timing), but I think the Santana trade may have thrown a wrench in their plans.    

Before Santana, I would have traded Sabathia, but now I say hold on to him and go for it in 2008.

by Pronk33 on Feb 15, 2008 4:23 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I would not assume that C.C. won't discuss an extension with another team right now, it would just have to be something that approached Santana's numbers.  Essentially, he's done the same thing that Santana did, he just turned down a potentially record-setting extension with his team.

Hughes was always a ridiculous expectation for Santana or Sabathia, in my view, and it's not at all clear that the Yankees would have gone through with it at any point.  What really got screwed up is that the two biggest rich-sucker teams, the Mets and Mariners, have already gotten their aces.  Those two teams being out of play alone makes it far less likely that we'll get a truly tempting offer.

by Jay on Feb 15, 2008 8:20 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Oh, and happy valentine's day.

Sigh.

by afh4 on Feb 14, 2008 9:45 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Oh I cannot WAIT for March 13th to be within feet of this man. He'll definitely be getting a piece of my mind.

Feel free to reply with comments you too would like thrown CC's way. PG-rated of course.

by supermarioelia on Feb 14, 2008 9:53 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
"Hey CC, I'm glad you have a severly elevated risk of heart disease."

by KevinV on Feb 14, 2008 10:03 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
One other thing. If CC remains healthy and pitches the way he is capable of pitching (e.g. the last 2 years), he will obtain the largest contract ever for a pitcher. I really think this is big motivation for CC.

My open letter to CC:
CC, if you want the cash that you believe that you are worth, you might try to perform in the playoffs this year.

by oxforddave on Feb 14, 2008 9:54 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
". . . the largest contract ever for a pitcher. I really think this is big motivation for CC."

Isn't C.C. tight with LeBron? Doesn't LeBron speak openly about his goal to be the wealthiest man alive?

by ploni on Feb 14, 2008 12:04 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
One of my first thoughts about this is that LeBron is a goner also. I guess Chuck will be happy that the Cavs will spend another 10 years below .500.

by oxforddave on Feb 14, 2008 1:31 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Don't mischaracterize my intentions here.  I want LeBron gone - out of Cleveland - and the sooner the better.  The only way I can see him leaving before his contract is up is if he demands a trade.  A think a year or two of him working his butt off and losing might- might - motivate him to demand a trade.  That's the only reason I want the Cavs to lose.

Like the general once said, "sometimes ya gotta destroy a village to save it."

"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Feb 15, 2008 8:35 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Hey Chuck, just my two cents here but when you're quoting US strategies from Vietnam to augment your sports philosophies, it might be time to take a step back.

by NickFantana on Feb 15, 2008 9:14 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
See Nick I was trying - subtly  - to underscore the ridiculousness of my position.  Self-destructive hate is one of my family traditions.

I guess subtleness is not my strong suit - or sarcasm for that matter.

"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Feb 15, 2008 9:27 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Now I'm just shocked that you stepped out of character and took me serious.  I was just trying to give you a hard time.  And prove that I knew enough to know what foreign policy debacle that quote came from.

For what it's worth, I haven't watched a second of Cavs basketball since LeBron wore that hat to the Indians game.  He and the team are dead to me, until he goes.  So as far as villages go, burn em all down.

by NickFantana on Feb 15, 2008 10:08 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
In Shaprio I trust.  Did we ever decide what type of deity he is?

by Thommy on Feb 14, 2008 9:59 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I'd like to think he's part of the Norse Pantheon.

by KevinV on Feb 14, 2008 10:04 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
If I had to say whose avatar he is, I think it would be Mímir.

"a primal deity in Norse mythology who was renowned for his knowledge and wisdom. "

Sounds about right to me.

by KevinV on Feb 14, 2008 10:21 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Well I think we all saw this one coming. It's still somewhat depressing to hear.
I swear, next year is it.

by fwembt on Feb 14, 2008 10:03 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
After dealing with the Belle, Manny, and Thome negotiations, I'd kinda resigned myself to this outcome, though it's still depressing to hear it. On the plus side, it does nothing to diminish our chances this year & as they say, flags fly forever.

And hey, pitchers and catchers report today, so let's bring on the actual baseball & stop thinking about all this depressing stuff. If CC goes 20-6 on the way to winning a World Series, I'll congratulate the guy & hope he sucks for the next team that signs him.

by zempf on Feb 14, 2008 10:05 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Why hope he sucks after that? Why can't we all just root for the guy to win it all with us this year and give him a fond farewell?

If it's simple economics, as many of you say, then C.C.'s decision is not reprehensible. I know I will always be rooting for him.

by Voltaire on Feb 14, 2008 10:14 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
No, I totally understand his decision & will still like the guy, but if he signs with the Yankees or the Red Sox I'll definitely be hoping he gives up 5 runs a game. Nothing against the guy, just rooting for the best interests of the Tribe in the end.

by zempf on Feb 14, 2008 10:17 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I have the simple rule that if you're a professional athlete making over 5 mil/yr and you leave my team for more money from another team (when we present you with an offer), you become nothing to me. And I boo you mercilessly. And may Jeebus have mercy on your soul.

by supermarioelia on Feb 14, 2008 10:19 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
So you are really close to hating, with a passion...Scott Elarton?

by Voltaire on Feb 14, 2008 10:22 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
When did we offer Scott Elarton over 5 mil and he bolted to another team? Am I forgetting something?

by supermarioelia on Feb 14, 2008 10:25 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
After '05 he signed with the Royals for $4 million. I'm pretty sure we entertained signing him to some sort of super-cheap deal but then the Royals wanted to sign our #5 guy as their ace, so...gone.

I know you're making a joke (but seriously communicating your views). Nonetheless, they seem kind of silly to me. That's all.

by Voltaire on Feb 14, 2008 10:27 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
And I realize you're looking into the future of Elarton's dominance out of the pen, followed by us being unable to match an offer of 5.5/yr from KC...and in that case, yes Elarton would join the list of the hated. I'm just a volatile guy.

by supermarioelia on Feb 14, 2008 10:27 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I've started typing this post 5 times, and every time what comes out is "I say we trade him."  Maybe it was the fan in me, but I held out hope, undiminished hope, that we'd be able to sign him.  This is obviously not going to happen now.  I don't know why I continue to expect that baseball players are any different than you or I in wanting that last buck for our "work".  Maybe it's because I see mid-market team after mid-market team able to sign players with the supposed hometown discount.  I mean, we got a bit of one with Pronk (who hopefully slimmed down/found the downstroke in his swing/reclaimed his mojo) so I really can't complain, but still.  I just want to see players I've rooted for have loyalty like I have loyalty.  

Really, I'm just sad.

Trade him and see if he'll waive that not going sign a contract before the end of the season nonsense.  The Tribe is just not offering "Fair market value."

F*$K!

Now that the Bedard bandwagon has officially crashed into the Maritime Seas, solely the local "Barfield Bounces Back Believer."

by mjmarble on Feb 14, 2008 10:17 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Well, to be honest, I was still holding out some hope, so I guess this is a little upsetting.

That said, this also gives Indians fans an idea of exactly what's going on.  Here's hoping that the average fan understands this one a little better then they did the other free agent signings...

Keep C.C. this year and see if he can man up in the playoffs.  If you tank, then worry about trading him to one of those desperate contender types.

by painaxl on Feb 14, 2008 10:17 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I don't agree with Nick and Mario that CC MUST be traded now.  But my acceptance of trading him before or mid-season did just go up a few notches.  But it's still behind the 'strike when the irons hot' and ride CC to the finish this season attitude.

by APV on Feb 14, 2008 10:19 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Is it bad that this taught me C.C. HAS an official website?

by Voltaire on Feb 14, 2008 10:29 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Seriously, to me that was bigger news than the fact that he had tabled negotiations.  

by cheech99 on Feb 14, 2008 10:31 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
So, CC thinks we can't give him enough money for what he's worth, and the front office thinks we can't afford him at the going rate. Fine.

The only thing that bugs me is the assumption behind both stances - ie, "the going rate". A little over a year ago, CC remarked with a laugh "you give me Oswalt money and I'm here to stay", referring to the 5 yr/73 ml contract Oswalt had recently inked.

The laugh had two sides to it: one, that that was a stinkload of money and he'd be glad to sign up for that, it'd be a no brainer. Two, the recognition (backed by the silent assent of everyone from  fans to management to press), that it would be a warm day  in hell for the Indian's to make an offer like that, since it was clearly out of their comfort zone.

So, a mere year and change later and that laugh rings very hollow: "Oswalt money" is suddenly very affordable for the Tribe, and "the going rate" has moved to where CC would laugh at that same offer not because it was too much but because it was obviously too little.

Who wants to bet that within a couple years, we will look back similarly on this situation? The point being that despite success in '07, the Tribe's money situation has not changed so radically so that what was inconceivable a year ago is eminently affordable now. But our comfort zone has remained the same - we can't afford "the going rate".

I don't want to pay him a $100m either, but I'm just wondering if we'll end up thinking that was not such a big deal for a stud pitcher in his prime.

by mcrose on Feb 14, 2008 10:34 AM EST   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
In five years, the annual salary will look more reasonable - if he is healthy.  But, currently there is a big difference between $20M and $17M.  That $3M can buy a solid player.

CC's value rises as he continues to stay healthy.  He made it through 2007 without injury, so his asking price goes up.  If he gets injured in '08, he will not get $20M.  It does not mean the Tribe will still be able to afford him (our top offer will go down, just like with every other team).  So, CC might get $15M on the open market (while the Tribe would only offer $12M), but that's the risk CC is taking.

by Spidey on Feb 14, 2008 10:56 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Again, I don't think the issue with CC will be annual $$$ - it will be length of contract.  The Indians will offer a very competitive annual salary for CC, just not for the length of time that he wants - certainly not a five-year extension (six total counting 2008) that Santana received.
Free Andy Marte!

Pronk Needs You

by woodsmeister on Feb 14, 2008 11:01 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
That $3M can buy a solid player.

eh, $3M isn't what it used to be. Maybe you could get a decent reliever for it.

If he gets injured in '08, he will not get $20M.

Depending on the injury, I doubt he'll get less than $20M on the open market. An injury might shorten the deal, but I doubt it will lower the $/season.  

by Ryan on Feb 14, 2008 11:10 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
That reflects the point - we have defined ourselves as the team that "can't pay top dollar". Problem is, what that really means is "this year's top dollar". By next year, even without a commensurate change in resources, we will pay that same money that was then inconceivable, because it no longer is "top" and is now magically within our comfort zone as second tier budget team.

by mcrose on Feb 14, 2008 11:27 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
That effect is real, but it isn't magic.  We really can afford more in successive years, because as the market is changing, revenues from the MLB central fund have gone up dramatically.  At the same time, as we've moved from rebuilding into the thick of contending, our own revenues have gone up, as well as has the projected ROI on a major signing.

A third factor is price of other options, which also is rising all the time.  We can condone certain salary levels in 2008 that could not have been condoned in 2006, because of other available options.  For all three reasons, the Indians quite non-magically can afford at one point in time what they could not have considered two or three years ago.

by Jay on Feb 14, 2008 12:27 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Even with increasing revenue forms - cable and the internet - along with inflation, I don't think you're gonna see a $100M payroll for the Tribe in the next half dozen years.  Meanwhile the Yankees have doubled that, the BoSox surpassed it a few years ago and teams like the Angels, Dodgers and Mets will/have surpassed that salary level.

No, get used to it - as long as there is no salary cap the Indians will always be in the lower half of salaries.  

"the most vehement Yankee-hating guy I know" - Jay

by mauichuck on Feb 14, 2008 12:39 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
I don't disagree, but your knee-jerk reply is totally off-topic.

mcrose pointed out that contracts that seem unthinkable often seem totally thinkable a couple of years later, implying that there is something either dumb or fraudulent about believing right now that we can't afford X dollar amount, when in a few years we'll be wishing the player would stay for that same X dollar amount.

My reply was just to say, yes, that does happen, but it isn't dumb or fraudulent, it's caused by specific factors that raise the norms for the Indians in particular (at this moment) and all teams in general.

I never said anything to the effect that this would move the Indians out of the bottom tier.  It may move them out of the basement, but they probably will not be in the top half of payrolls even at the peak of the current generation of players.  The absolute numbers may move considerably, but the relative numbers will not.

by Jay on Feb 14, 2008 1:10 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Re: Sabathia rules out contract extension
Here's what I'm talking about.  Here's the Indians team salaries for the last eight years:
2007    $61,673,267
2006    $56,031,500
2005    $41,502,500
2004    $34,319,300
2003    $48,584,834
2002    $78,909,499
2001    $93,360,000
2000    $76,500,000

In 2001 I woulda bet money that they'd exceed $100M by 2003 - but they didn't.  But I also woulda bet that they wouldn't pay anybody more than $15M out of that $100M.

Here's what I'm getting at: even if they hit $100M a year in salary they still won't pay any one player more than $18M a year - bargain or no.  Meanwhile, top tier teams with $120M+ salaries now can afford to take on a $20M pla